本文關(guān)鍵詞：引擎技術(shù)預(yù)見模型的構(gòu)建及實(shí)證研究　出處：《圖書情報(bào)工作》2017年13期 　論文類型：期刊論文

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【摘要】：[目的 /意義]構(gòu)建一個(gè)引擎技術(shù)預(yù)見模型(ITFM),可用于預(yù)見引擎技術(shù)。[方法 /過程]該模型包含四類指標(biāo):技術(shù)生命周期(專利演化)、國(guó)際環(huán)境、合作(專利權(quán)人合作網(wǎng)絡(luò))和影響力。通過專家咨詢選擇生命科學(xué)領(lǐng)域的四個(gè)技術(shù)用于驗(yàn)證分析,并對(duì)ITFM模型進(jìn)行量化,其中DNA重組技術(shù)(Rb DNA)和單克隆抗體技術(shù)(mAb)作為引擎技術(shù),發(fā)酵技術(shù)(FT)和ELISA診斷技術(shù)(ELISA)作為非引擎技術(shù)對(duì)照組。[結(jié)果 /結(jié)論]引擎技術(shù)進(jìn)入成熟期后專利數(shù)量穩(wěn)定在一定的水平;重大政策、計(jì)劃和規(guī)劃往往會(huì)推動(dòng)引擎技術(shù)的快速發(fā)展;引擎技術(shù)的專利合作程度更高;引擎技術(shù)的專利件均被引頻次更高。合成生物學(xué)技術(shù)(SynBio)被用于開展實(shí)證分析,實(shí)證分析表明,ITFM模型可揭示出合成生物學(xué)技術(shù)尚處于發(fā)展的成長(zhǎng)期,具有演化為引擎技術(shù)的潛力。
[Abstract]:[Objective / significance] to construct an engine technology foresight model (ITFM), which can be used to predict engine technology. [The model contains four categories of indicators: technology life cycle (patent evolution, international environment). Cooperation (patentee cooperation network) and influence. Through expert consultation, four technologies in life sciences are selected for validation and analysis, and the ITFM model is quantified. Among them, DNA recombination technique (RB DNA) and monoclonal antibody (McAb) were used as engine technology. Fermentative technique (FTT) and ELISA diagnostic technique (ELISAA) were used as control group of non-engine technique. [Results / conclusion] the number of patents was stable at a certain level after the engine technology entered the mature stage. Major policies, plans and plans tend to drive the rapid development of engine technology; Higher degree of patent cooperation in engine technology; Patents for engine technology are cited more frequently. Synthetic biology technology SynBiois used to conduct empirical analysis, which shows that. The ITFM model can reveal that synthetic biology technology is still developing and has the potential to evolve into engine technology.
【作者單位】： 中國(guó)科學(xué)院成都文獻(xiàn)情報(bào)中心科學(xué)計(jì)量與科技評(píng)價(jià)研究中心;
【基金】：中國(guó)科學(xué)院文獻(xiàn)情報(bào)能力專項(xiàng)項(xiàng)目“生物經(jīng)濟(jì)未來(lái)引擎技術(shù)挖掘研究(2012)” 中國(guó)科學(xué)院2013年度“西部之光”人才培養(yǎng)計(jì)劃“引文耦合網(wǎng)絡(luò)演化分析及在科技評(píng)價(jià)與預(yù)測(cè)中的應(yīng)用研究”(批準(zhǔn)號(hào):科發(fā)人字[2013]165號(hào)(3-6))研究成果之一
【分類號(hào)】：G353.1
【正文快照】： 1引言眾所周知,人類社會(huì)的發(fā)展離不開技術(shù)的進(jìn)步,未來(lái)社會(huì)的進(jìn)步也只能通過更多新技術(shù)的出現(xiàn)以及更好的管理才能得以實(shí)現(xiàn)[1]。然而,并非所有的技術(shù)進(jìn)步都為社會(huì)的進(jìn)步和發(fā)展做出實(shí)質(zhì)性的貢獻(xiàn),僅有少數(shù)技術(shù)進(jìn)步?jīng)Q定人類社會(huì)的突破性發(fā)展,可以促進(jìn)、引領(lǐng)和推動(dòng)科技發(fā)展和技術(shù)進(jìn)，

本文編號(hào)：1392231