本文選題：農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng) + 蘋果園管理��； 參考：《山東農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：鑒于農(nóng)業(yè)問(wèn)題的多樣性、復(fù)雜性和我國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展的不平衡性,農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)在農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化發(fā)展中的地位是無(wú)可替代的。農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)可以應(yīng)用到只有農(nóng)業(yè)專家才能解決的問(wèn)題,有效指導(dǎo)農(nóng)民科學(xué)種田、養(yǎng)殖,實(shí)現(xiàn)農(nóng)業(yè)的持續(xù)優(yōu)質(zhì)、高產(chǎn)、高效發(fā)展。然而因?yàn)槿狈νㄓ玫膶＜蚁到y(tǒng)開(kāi)發(fā)平臺(tái)、無(wú)法編輯知識(shí)庫(kù)等問(wèn)題制約了專家系統(tǒng)在農(nóng)業(yè)領(lǐng)域的推廣應(yīng)用。研究開(kāi)發(fā)一套通用的農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)開(kāi)發(fā)工具,具有理論意義和應(yīng)用推廣價(jià)值。本研究運(yùn)用專家系統(tǒng)原理和系統(tǒng)工程知識(shí),構(gòu)建農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)的通用框架結(jié)構(gòu),建立一個(gè)簡(jiǎn)單易用的農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)開(kāi)發(fā)工具,并總結(jié)蘋果園管理的知識(shí)經(jīng)驗(yàn),收集數(shù)據(jù)構(gòu)建相關(guān)模型,最終搭建一套蘋果園管理專家系統(tǒng)。具體研究?jī)?nèi)容及成果如下:(1)通用的農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)開(kāi)發(fā)工具。通過(guò)分析專家系統(tǒng)制作平臺(tái)的功能特點(diǎn),以及所生成的專家系統(tǒng)的結(jié)構(gòu),研究農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)的通用工具;在對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)行分析的基礎(chǔ)上,將其歸結(jié)為基于“選項(xiàng)”、“輸入?yún)?shù)”、“選項(xiàng)+輸入?yún)?shù)”3種模式組合成決策條件鏈的定量與定性多層次的決策服務(wù)。根據(jù)通用性的要求和設(shè)計(jì)原則,對(duì)系統(tǒng)進(jìn)行架構(gòu)、功能、邏輯設(shè)計(jì),最終完成通用的農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)開(kāi)發(fā)工具的研發(fā)。(2)蘋果園管理知識(shí)與模型。運(yùn)用模糊綜合評(píng)價(jià)、聚類分析等數(shù)學(xué)方法,對(duì)建園策略、栽培管理、品種評(píng)價(jià)等問(wèn)題進(jìn)行研究,完成蘋果建園評(píng)價(jià)及品種評(píng)價(jià)模型的構(gòu)建,同時(shí)對(duì)蘋果園管理技術(shù)知識(shí)進(jìn)行歸納總結(jié)。根據(jù)土壤、氣象指標(biāo),完成對(duì)建園條件的評(píng)價(jià),為蘋果樹(shù)的“適地適樹(shù)”栽培提供依據(jù)。結(jié)合山東省各地市的氣象數(shù)據(jù),對(duì)適栽品種給出了建議。根據(jù)抗寒、抗旱、抗?jié)�、耐鹽堿、高產(chǎn)、優(yōu)質(zhì)六大指標(biāo),完成對(duì)栽培品種的評(píng)價(jià),對(duì)蘋果品種的選育、推廣具有應(yīng)用價(jià)值。(3)蘋果園管理專家系統(tǒng)。將蘋果園管理知識(shí)與相關(guān)模型導(dǎo)入農(nóng)業(yè)專家系統(tǒng)開(kāi)發(fā)平臺(tái)中,完成蘋果園管理專家系統(tǒng)的開(kāi)發(fā)。應(yīng)用該系統(tǒng)可以有效促進(jìn)蘋果園生產(chǎn)管理的科學(xué)化、定量化,滿足果農(nóng)隨時(shí)隨地的專家咨詢需求,更加便捷地解決生產(chǎn)管理中遇到的難題,實(shí)現(xiàn)蘋果優(yōu)質(zhì)豐產(chǎn)低耗,提高果農(nóng)經(jīng)濟(jì)效益。
[Abstract]:In view of the diversity and complexity of agricultural problems and the imbalance of agricultural development in China, the position of agricultural expert system in the development of agricultural modernization is irreplaceable. Agricultural expert system can be applied to the problems that only agricultural experts can solve. It can effectively guide farmers to farm and breed scientifically and realize the sustainable development of high quality, high yield and high efficiency of agriculture. However, due to the lack of a general expert system development platform and the lack of editing knowledge base, the popularization and application of expert system in the field of agriculture are restricted. It is of theoretical significance and application value to develop a set of general agricultural expert system development tools. Based on the theory of expert system and the knowledge of system engineering, the general frame structure of agricultural expert system is constructed, a simple and easy-to-use development tool of agricultural expert system is established, and the knowledge and experience of apple orchard management are summarized. Collect data to build relevant models, and finally build a set of apple orchard management expert system. Specific research contents and results are as follows: 1) General agricultural expert system development tools. By analyzing the functional characteristics of the expert system making platform and the structure of the generated expert system, the paper studies the general tools of the agricultural expert system, and based on the analysis of the structure of the agricultural expert system, it is summed up as based on "options". "input parameter" and "option input parameter" are combined to form quantitative and qualitative multi-level decision service of decision condition chain. According to the general requirements and design principles, the structure, function and logic design of the system are carried out. Finally, the development of the general agricultural expert system development tools. 2) the apple orchard management knowledge and model is completed. By means of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, cluster analysis and other mathematical methods, this paper studies the establishment strategy, cultivation management and variety evaluation of apple, and completes the construction of apple garden evaluation and variety evaluation model. At the same time, the technical knowledge of apple orchard management is summarized. According to the soil and meteorological indexes, the evaluation of the conditions for the establishment of the orchard was completed, which provided the basis for the cultivation of apple trees. Based on the meteorological data of various cities in Shandong Province, some suggestions on suitable varieties are given. According to the six indexes of cold resistance, drought resistance, waterlogging resistance, salt and alkali tolerance, high yield and good quality, the evaluation of cultivated varieties was completed, and the selection and popularization of apple varieties were carried out. The management knowledge and related models of apple orchard were introduced into the development platform of agricultural expert system to complete the development of apple orchard management expert system. The application of the system can effectively promote the scientific and quantitative management of apple orchard, meet the expert consultation needs of fruit farmers at any time and anywhere, solve the problems encountered in the production management more conveniently, and realize the high quality, high yield and low consumption of apple. Improve the economic benefit of fruit farmers.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：山東農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：TP182;S661.1

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