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Evolutionary Political Games:Examination of Re-emergent Lake

發(fā)布時間:2021-07-13 14:24
  這項研究通過分析坦桑尼亞和馬拉維之間再次出現(xiàn)和持久存在馬拉維湖邊界爭端,致力于研究為何非洲潛伏的領土爭端再度出現(xiàn)。除了采取從歷史和殖民邊界的角度審視領土爭端的傳統(tǒng)方法,我們還采用了多學科分析的方式進行研究;民族國家在涉及領土邊界政治和外交政策方面為了獲得油氣資源等利益最大化的轉變。這篇論文進一步研究了為何獨立的第三方在協(xié)調解決爭端問題時沒有主動權,調解無效。研究者還著眼于調查民族國家的在領土統(tǒng)一和主權方面的固有原則以及邊界沖突方面的各國權利。依據(jù)博弈論與沖突管理理論的邏輯,這項領域的研究發(fā)現(xiàn)集中于強調爭端再度出現(xiàn)的主要特征和坦桑尼亞為何決定改變關于馬拉維湖所有權方面的領土政治和外交政策。研究者認為,在更大的程度上,馬拉維湖的邊界爭端經(jīng)歷五十年潛伏期再度出現(xiàn)是因為兩個截然相反的經(jīng)濟利益集團為了各自的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展在油氣資源方面的產(chǎn)生的激烈競爭。進一步解釋,即在這場爭端中經(jīng)濟利益爭端是建立于政治、歷史和民族主義利益的問題上的。毫無疑問,這些問題極大地加劇了爭端的沖突性和持久性,因為每一個參與方都致力于贏得這場保護捍衛(wèi)其經(jīng)濟和政治利益的競賽。按照沖突管理理論與博弈論的邏輯,各國奉行的是能確保它們自... 

【文章來源】:華中師范大學湖北省 211工程院校 教育部直屬院校

【文章頁數(shù)】:280 頁

【學位級別】:博士

【文章目錄】:
Acknowledgement
摘要
Abstract
LIST OF ACROYNMS AND ABBREVIATIONS
CHAPTER ONE Introduction
    1.1 Background
    1.2 Problem Stement
    1.3 Overarching Research Questions
    1.4 Significance of study
    1.5 Scope of Study
    1.6 Research Design and Methodology
    1.7 Data analysis
    1.8 Ethical consideration for the study
    1.9 Organization of the study
CHAPTER TWO Literature review and theoretical frameworks
    2.1 Schools of Thought on Emergence, Re-emergence and Persistence of Territorial Boundary Disputes
    2.2 The Global Nature of Interstates Boundary Dispute
    2.3 Territorial Borders, Boundaries and Interstate Boundary Conflicts
    2.4 Origin, Re-emergence and Persistence of Territorial Boundary Disputes in Africa
    2.5 Re-emergence and Endurance of Lake Malawi Boundary Dispute
    2.6 Conceptual and Theoretical Frameworks
CHAPTER THREE Historic origin, dormancy and re-emergence of Lake Boundary dispute
    3.1 Introduction
    3.2 Historic origin of the Lake boundary dispute
    3.3 Political History of the Dispute and its evolution over time
    3.5 Conclusion of this Chapter
CHAPTER FOUR 4.0 The Cause of Lake Boundary Dispute Re-emergence and its Endurance
    4.1 Introduction
    4.2 Game theoretical analysis of the cause of dispute re-emergence
    4.3 Presentation of Field Study Findings and Results
    4.4 Reasons why the dispute first emerged in 1960s
    4.5 The Management of the Lake Boundary Dispute in the 1960s
    4.6 Reasons on the Resurfacing of the Dispute in 2011/2012
    4.7 Dispute Resolution Mechanisms Preferred by Key Informants
    4.8 Discussion on Causes of Re-Emergence of Lake Boundary Dispute and Failure of Initiatives to Resolve the Dispute
    4.9 The discussion on causes of dispute re-emergence in 2011/2012
CHAPTER FIVE Feasible Mechanisms and Initiatives for Resolving Dispute
    5.1 Dispute Management and Resolution Mechanisms in the late 1960s
    5.2 Discussion on Dispute Resolution Mechanism
    5.3 Dispute resolution mechanism pursued after re-emergence in 2011/2012
    5.4 Feasible mechanism of resolving re-emergent Lake Boundary Dispute
    5.5 Future of Malawi-Tanzania boundary disputes
    5.6 Conclusion of the chapter
Chapter Six Exploration of Research Question, objectives, hypotheses and theoretical frameworks
    6.1 Exploration of research question
    6.2 Exploration of hypotheses
    6.3 Exploration of conceptual and theoretical Frameworks
    6.4 Exploration of research objectives
    6.5 Conclusion of the chapter
Chapter Seven Conclusion and recommendations
    7.1 Summary of key study findings and results
    7.2 Concluding remarks and observations
    7.3 General and Specific Policy Recommendations
    7.4 Suggested areas for further research
Bibliography
Appendices
    Annex ⅰ: List of Official Interview Respondents
    Annex ⅱ: Study Questionnaire
    Annex ⅲ: Guiding Questions on Key Informant Interviews
    Annex ⅳ: Guiding Questions on Focus Group Discussions
    Annex ⅴ: Responses on Possible Factors of Dispute Re-emergence
    Annex ⅵ: Preferred Mechanism on Resolving the Lake Boundary Dispute
    Annex ⅶ: Focus Group Interview Results in Tanzania
    Appendix ⅷ: Focus Group Discussion Results in Malawi
    Annex ⅸ: Responses on what causes the Lake Boundary Dispute in the 1960s
    Annex ⅹ: Mechanisms deployed in 1960s to manage the Lake Boundary Dispute
    Annex Ⅺ: Reasons Why Independent Third Party Mediation Process is Proving Futile
    Annex Ⅻ: QUALITATIVE CONTENT DATA ANALYSIS



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