阿爾及利亞的經(jīng)濟(jì)一直遭受著青年人高失業(yè)率和就業(yè)問題的困擾,本文的目的在于研究開放貿(mào)易與就業(yè)率之間關(guān)系的本質(zhì)。換句話說,貿(mào)易開放是否會(huì)影響就業(yè)率?本文使用線性回歸模型分析阿爾及利亞1970-2018年間的案例,并利用OLS估計(jì)了模型中的未知參數(shù)。在這個(gè)模型中包括一些具體變量的量化信息,可能會(huì)對(duì)就業(yè)產(chǎn)生影響。模型量化了解釋變量（貿(mào)易開放度,外國直接投資,通貨膨脹率,實(shí)際匯率,貿(mào)易條件,人均GDP和人口增長(zhǎng)）與因變量（就業(yè)率）。模型中包含了許多解釋變量,以使研究可以將貿(mào)易開放度與其他宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)因素區(qū)分開來。所使用的數(shù)據(jù)主要來自世界銀行（世界發(fā)展指標(biāo)）和貿(mào)發(fā)會(huì)議數(shù)據(jù)庫以及其他來源。論文使用Stata 13.0版進(jìn)行分析,生成了相關(guān)矩陣和線性回歸模型。論文研究發(fā)現(xiàn),貿(mào)易開放度與就業(yè)率之間存在正相關(guān)關(guān)系,這表明進(jìn)出口占GDP的比例越高,阿爾及利亞的就業(yè)率就越高。研究還發(fā)現(xiàn)FDI、人口增長(zhǎng)的系數(shù)顯著正相關(guān)而匯率和通貨膨脹的系數(shù)顯著負(fù)相關(guān)。負(fù)相關(guān)意味著存在反比關(guān)系,即如果通貨膨脹增加,就業(yè)率就下降,匯率也存在相同的規(guī)律,即如果匯率增加,就業(yè)率也下降,反之亦然。阿爾及利亞的問題不僅是對(duì)外貿(mào)易和對(duì)外開放造成... 

【文章來源】：江西財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)江西省

【文章頁數(shù)】：97 頁

【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士

【文章目錄】：
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
ABSTRACT
摘要
CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION
    1.1 Background of the study
    1.2 Statement of the Problem
    1.3 Significance of the Study
    1.4 Contributions and Limitations
CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW
    2.1 The theories of international trade
        2.1.1 The classical theories
        2.1.2 Neo-classical theories
        2.1.3 Modern theories of international trade
    2.2.Theories of employment
    2.3 Impact of trade openness on employment
    2.4 Empirical studies
        2.4.1 Cross-country Evidence
        2.4.2 Country-specific Evidence
        2.4.3 Studies in the Algerian Context
CHAPTER THREE TRADE OPENNESS AND EMPLOYMENT IN ALGERIA
    3.1 Overview of Algerian Economy
    3.2 Process of trade openness in Algeria
    3.3.Trade openness by International and regional trade agreements
        3.3.1 The EU-Algeria Association Agreement
        3.3.2 WTO Membership Negotiations
        3.3.3 Greater Arab Free Trade Area(GAFTA)
        3.3.4 Algerian-Tunisian Preferential Trade Agreement
        3.3.5 China-Algeria cooperation
        3.3.6 Cooperation between France Italy and Algeria
        3.3.7 Cooperation between Turkey and Algeria Cooperation
        3.3.8 Saudi Arabia-United Arab Emirates- Algeria cooperation
    3.4.Algeria`s Foreign trade
    3.5 Evolution of Algerian Labor Market and employment policy
CHAPTER FOUR METHODOLOGY
    4.1 Research design
    4.2 Data Sources
    4.3 Model specification
    4.4.Description,Definition,Measurement of Variables in the Model
    4.5 Model Estimation Procedure
CHAPTER FIVE EMPIRICAL STUDY OF THE IMPACT OF TRADE OPENNESS ON THE EMPLOYMENT RATE OF ALGERIA
    5.1 Descriptive analysis
    5.2 Correlation and Multi-Collinearity Test
    5.3 Linear Regression Analysis Results
    5.4 Robustness Check
    5.5 Concluding remarks and interpretation
CHAPTER SIX CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
    6.1 Conclusion
    6.2 Recommendation
REFERENCES



本文編號(hào)：3587946