勞動(dòng)力供給演變對(duì)中國(guó)制造業(yè)全球價(jià)值鏈地位攀升的影響
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2021-06-22 05:37
根據(jù)黨的十九大報(bào)告,要構(gòu)建現(xiàn)代經(jīng)濟(jì)體系必須以實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)為中心,努力推動(dòng)我國(guó)制造業(yè)向全球價(jià)值鏈的中高端發(fā)展,培育世界一流的先進(jìn)制造業(yè)。改革開放40多年以來,我國(guó)制造業(yè)以傳統(tǒng)的低成本競(jìng)爭(zhēng)優(yōu)勢(shì)為基礎(chǔ),迅速全面融入發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家跨國(guó)公司主導(dǎo)的全球價(jià)值鏈分工體系,抓住全球擴(kuò)散帶來的戰(zhàn)略機(jī)遇,實(shí)現(xiàn)了制造業(yè)的快速發(fā)展,成功躍居全球制造業(yè)之首。其中,“人口紅利”對(duì)制造業(yè)規(guī)模擴(kuò)張起著重要作用,但也決定了中國(guó)制造業(yè)發(fā)展模式的“低端嵌入性”特征,即在全球產(chǎn)業(yè)鏈分工中,主要是沿著中低端水平展開,以“平推式”快速推廣。這種發(fā)展模式在特定階段有其合理性和必然性。然而,隨著“人口紅利”的逐漸消失,支撐制造業(yè)傳統(tǒng)發(fā)展道路的比較優(yōu)勢(shì)已難以為繼,作為中國(guó)制造業(yè)“成長(zhǎng)之痛”的“大而不強(qiáng)”日益凸顯已成為客觀事實(shí)。因此,在新時(shí)期,如何成功實(shí)現(xiàn)黨的十九大報(bào)告提出的“邁向全球價(jià)值鏈中高端”的目標(biāo),推動(dòng)我國(guó)制造業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí),從全面摘取全球產(chǎn)業(yè)和技術(shù)的“低效果實(shí)”到全面摘取“高懸果實(shí)”,是擺在理論和實(shí)踐部門面前的重大課題。圍繞這一核心問題,本文研究?jī)?nèi)容主要分為六個(gè)部分。第一部分歸納了論文的選題背景、研究意義以及文章結(jié)構(gòu);第二部分分別從出口價(jià)值鏈...
【文章來源】:上海外國(guó)語大學(xué)上海市 211工程院校 教育部直屬院校
【文章頁數(shù)】:66 頁
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【文章目錄】:
致謝
摘要
Abstract
1 Introduction
1.1 Background
1.2 Significance of research
1.2.1 Theoretical significance
1.2.2 Practical significance
1.3 Paper structure
2 Literature review
2.1 Research on global value chain climbing
2.1.1 The promotion effect of value chain climbing on export
2.1.2 The current situation of global value chain climbing
2.1.3 The factors influencing the global value chain climbing
2.2 Research on the evolution of labor supply
2.2.1 The evolution of labor force quantity
2.2.2 The evolution of labor force quality
2.3 Research on the impact of labor supply evolution on the rise of global valuechain
2.3.1 The impact of the evolution of labor force quantity on the rise of exportvalue chain
2.3.2 The impact of the evolution of labor force quality on the rise of export valuechain
3 Mechanism analysis of the impact of labour supply evolutionon value chain climb
3.1 Labor force quantity
3.2 Labor force quality(human capital)
4 Key indicators selection and model building
4.1 Key indicators selection
4.1.1 Global value chain position index
4.1.2 Labour force quantity indicator
4.1.3 Labour force quality indicator
4.2 Model Building
4.3 Indicators of regression variables
4.4 Data sources
5 Empirical analysis
5.1 Preliminary analysis
5.1.1 Unit root test
5.1.2 Co-integration test
5.1.3 Granger test
5.2 Empirical results
5.3 A new empirical analysis
5.3.1 Indicator of labour force quantity and quality
5.3.2 Regression model building
5.3.3 Preliminary analysis
5.3.4 Empirical analysis
6 Research conclusions and recommendations
6.1 Research conclusions
6.2 Recommendation
6.3 Research deficiencies and prospects
Reference
【參考文獻(xiàn)】:
期刊論文
[1]要素比例、技術(shù)差異與出口增加值——基于中美兩國(guó)雙邊貿(mào)易出口的實(shí)證研究[J]. 李文秀,姚洋洋. 財(cái)貿(mào)經(jīng)濟(jì). 2015(06)
[2]政府補(bǔ)貼、市場(chǎng)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)與出口產(chǎn)品質(zhì)量[J]. 張杰,翟福昕,周曉艷. 數(shù)量經(jīng)濟(jì)技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)研究. 2015(04)
[3]農(nóng)民工市民化的紅利效應(yīng)與中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的可持續(xù)性——基于動(dòng)態(tài)CGE的模擬分析[J]. 吳琦,肖皓,賴明勇. 財(cái)經(jīng)研究. 2015(04)
[4]從國(guó)際比較看中國(guó)人口結(jié)構(gòu)面臨的雙重風(fēng)險(xiǎn)[J]. 高傳勝. 學(xué)術(shù)界. 2015(01)
[5]中國(guó)出口產(chǎn)品技術(shù)含量的影響因素探究[J]. 王孝松,翟光宇,林發(fā)勤. 數(shù)量經(jīng)濟(jì)技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)研究. 2014(11)
[6]勞動(dòng)力年齡結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)——基于省際面板數(shù)據(jù)的檢驗(yàn)[J]. 任棟,李新運(yùn). 人口與經(jīng)濟(jì). 2014(05)
[7]外包與勞動(dòng)力結(jié)構(gòu)——基于中國(guó)工業(yè)行業(yè)數(shù)據(jù)的經(jīng)驗(yàn)分析[J]. 蔡宏波,陳昊. 數(shù)量經(jīng)濟(jì)技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)研究. 2012(12)
[8]中國(guó)出口技術(shù)復(fù)雜度的演進(jìn)機(jī)理——四部門模型及對(duì)出口產(chǎn)品的實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)[J]. 黃永明,張文潔. 數(shù)量經(jīng)濟(jì)技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)研究. 2012(03)
[9]吸收能力、價(jià)值鏈類型與創(chuàng)新績(jī)效——基于國(guó)際代工聯(lián)盟知識(shí)溢出的視角[J]. 陶鋒. 中國(guó)工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì). 2011(01)
[10]人口轉(zhuǎn)變、人口紅利與劉易斯轉(zhuǎn)折點(diǎn)[J]. 蔡昉. 經(jīng)濟(jì)研究. 2010(04)
本文編號(hào):3242233
【文章來源】:上海外國(guó)語大學(xué)上海市 211工程院校 教育部直屬院校
【文章頁數(shù)】:66 頁
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【文章目錄】:
致謝
摘要
Abstract
1 Introduction
1.1 Background
1.2 Significance of research
1.2.1 Theoretical significance
1.2.2 Practical significance
1.3 Paper structure
2 Literature review
2.1 Research on global value chain climbing
2.1.1 The promotion effect of value chain climbing on export
2.1.2 The current situation of global value chain climbing
2.1.3 The factors influencing the global value chain climbing
2.2 Research on the evolution of labor supply
2.2.1 The evolution of labor force quantity
2.2.2 The evolution of labor force quality
2.3 Research on the impact of labor supply evolution on the rise of global valuechain
2.3.1 The impact of the evolution of labor force quantity on the rise of exportvalue chain
2.3.2 The impact of the evolution of labor force quality on the rise of export valuechain
3 Mechanism analysis of the impact of labour supply evolutionon value chain climb
3.1 Labor force quantity
3.2 Labor force quality(human capital)
4 Key indicators selection and model building
4.1 Key indicators selection
4.1.1 Global value chain position index
4.1.2 Labour force quantity indicator
4.1.3 Labour force quality indicator
4.2 Model Building
4.3 Indicators of regression variables
4.4 Data sources
5 Empirical analysis
5.1 Preliminary analysis
5.1.1 Unit root test
5.1.2 Co-integration test
5.1.3 Granger test
5.2 Empirical results
5.3 A new empirical analysis
5.3.1 Indicator of labour force quantity and quality
5.3.2 Regression model building
5.3.3 Preliminary analysis
5.3.4 Empirical analysis
6 Research conclusions and recommendations
6.1 Research conclusions
6.2 Recommendation
6.3 Research deficiencies and prospects
Reference
【參考文獻(xiàn)】:
期刊論文
[1]要素比例、技術(shù)差異與出口增加值——基于中美兩國(guó)雙邊貿(mào)易出口的實(shí)證研究[J]. 李文秀,姚洋洋. 財(cái)貿(mào)經(jīng)濟(jì). 2015(06)
[2]政府補(bǔ)貼、市場(chǎng)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)與出口產(chǎn)品質(zhì)量[J]. 張杰,翟福昕,周曉艷. 數(shù)量經(jīng)濟(jì)技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)研究. 2015(04)
[3]農(nóng)民工市民化的紅利效應(yīng)與中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的可持續(xù)性——基于動(dòng)態(tài)CGE的模擬分析[J]. 吳琦,肖皓,賴明勇. 財(cái)經(jīng)研究. 2015(04)
[4]從國(guó)際比較看中國(guó)人口結(jié)構(gòu)面臨的雙重風(fēng)險(xiǎn)[J]. 高傳勝. 學(xué)術(shù)界. 2015(01)
[5]中國(guó)出口產(chǎn)品技術(shù)含量的影響因素探究[J]. 王孝松,翟光宇,林發(fā)勤. 數(shù)量經(jīng)濟(jì)技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)研究. 2014(11)
[6]勞動(dòng)力年齡結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)——基于省際面板數(shù)據(jù)的檢驗(yàn)[J]. 任棟,李新運(yùn). 人口與經(jīng)濟(jì). 2014(05)
[7]外包與勞動(dòng)力結(jié)構(gòu)——基于中國(guó)工業(yè)行業(yè)數(shù)據(jù)的經(jīng)驗(yàn)分析[J]. 蔡宏波,陳昊. 數(shù)量經(jīng)濟(jì)技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)研究. 2012(12)
[8]中國(guó)出口技術(shù)復(fù)雜度的演進(jìn)機(jī)理——四部門模型及對(duì)出口產(chǎn)品的實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)[J]. 黃永明,張文潔. 數(shù)量經(jīng)濟(jì)技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì)研究. 2012(03)
[9]吸收能力、價(jià)值鏈類型與創(chuàng)新績(jī)效——基于國(guó)際代工聯(lián)盟知識(shí)溢出的視角[J]. 陶鋒. 中國(guó)工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì). 2011(01)
[10]人口轉(zhuǎn)變、人口紅利與劉易斯轉(zhuǎn)折點(diǎn)[J]. 蔡昉. 經(jīng)濟(jì)研究. 2010(04)
本文編號(hào):3242233
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