發(fā)布時間：2018-04-17 12:41

  本文選題：傘形國家集團 + 國際氣候談判��； 參考：《北京外國語大學》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：《京都議定書》第一期減排目標于2012年到期,后京都時代的國際氣候談判形勢越發(fā)嚴峻。傘形國家集團作為國際氣候談判中的重要國際集團,同時集團中的成員多數(shù)為溫室氣體排放的大國,其立場值得研究。本文以雙層博弈理論為理論基礎,結合基于利益與環(huán)境和基于政治與環(huán)境的理論框架,對雙層博弈論進行延伸,對傘形國家集團在后京都時代的國際氣候談判中的立場及其背后的原因進行分析。論文主要分為以下幾個部分:首先是對傘形國家集團的立場梳理。本文將從傘形國家集團成立過程入手,對這一集團在氣候協(xié)議談判、減排問題和氣候援助問題上的行為進行分析,從而得出傘形國家集團的談判立場。傘形國家集團是在《京都議定書》談判過程中形成的松散國家聯(lián)盟,主要包括美國、日本、俄羅斯、澳大利亞、加拿大、新西蘭、挪威、烏克蘭和哈薩克斯坦等國。其次是原因分析的框架構建。本文是以雙層博弈理論為基礎的,本文在對這一理論進行梳理之后,對其他分析框架,如基于經(jīng)濟與環(huán)境進行的理論框架、基于政治與環(huán)境進行的理論框架,也進行了簡單的分析,而后得出本文的原因分析框架——"國內(nèi)—集團—國際"三層面分析框架。本文將影響傘形國家集團所持立場的因素分為以上三個層面,做更加細致的分析。并強調(diào)以上三個層面不是完全割裂或者孤立的,而是互相聯(lián)系和影響的。最后是按照以上框架進行原因分析。在國內(nèi)層面,本文認為主要是一國氣候政策、領導人偏好、經(jīng)濟利益與對資源的利用和依賴還有國內(nèi)利益團體影響了傘形國家集團的立場;在集團層面,成員國們主要因為一致的利益,如經(jīng)濟利益、政治利益等聚合到一起,但是各自又有自己的利益訴求,形成了 "共同但有區(qū)別"的立場;在國際層面,其他國家集團的立場、對正面國際形象的追求和對話語權的爭奪影響了傘形國家集團在國際氣候談判中的立場�？偟膩碚f,本文認為,面對愈加嚴峻的氣候問題,在國際氣候談判中,傘形國家集團在"國內(nèi)—集團—國際"三重作用下,形成了頑固消極的、較為一致且略有分歧的立場。這不僅對國際氣候談判中其他行為體造成了影響,也影響了國際氣候談判的進程和氣候問題的解決。在后京都時代,各國和各個國家集團都開始越來越重視氣候變化問題。傘形國家集團作為國際氣候談判中重要的成員,應該承擔起與實力和地位相符的責任,真正關注氣候變化問題,真正發(fā)揮積極作用,為人類的可持續(xù)發(fā)展做出必要的努力。
[Abstract]:The first phase of the Kyoto Protocol is due to expire in 2012, and the post-Kyoto era of international climate negotiations is becoming more and more serious.The umbrella group of countries is an important international group in international climate negotiations, and most of the members of the group are major emitters of greenhouse gases, whose position is worth studying.Based on the theory of bilevel game theory and the theoretical framework of interest and environment and politics and environment, this paper extends the theory of bilevel game.This paper analyzes the position of Umbrella Group in post-Kyoto international climate negotiations and the reasons behind it.The paper is divided into the following parts: firstly, combing the position of umbrella group of countries.Starting with the founding process of Umbrella Group of countries, this paper analyzes the behavior of Umbrella Group in the negotiation of climate agreement, the issue of emission reduction and the issue of climate aid, and then obtains the negotiating position of Umbrella Group of countries.The Umbrella Group of Nations is a loose coalition of nations formed during the Kyoto Protocol negotiations, including the United States, Japan, Russia, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Norway, Ukraine and Kazakhstan.The second is the frame construction of cause analysis.This paper is based on the theory of bilevel game. After combing this theory, this paper analyzes other analytical frameworks, such as the theoretical framework based on economics and environment, the theoretical framework based on politics and environment.It also makes a simple analysis, and then comes to the reason analysis frame of this paper-"domestic-group-international" three-level analysis framework.This paper divides the factors that influence the position of Umbrella Group into three levels and makes a more detailed analysis.It also emphasizes that the above three levels are not completely separated or isolated, but are related and influenced by each other.Finally, according to the above framework for cause analysis.At the domestic level, this paper argues that it is mainly a country's climate policy, leadership preferences, economic interests and resource utilization and dependence, as well as domestic interest groups that influence the position of the umbrella group of countries; at the group level,Member States have come together mainly because of their common interests, such as economic interests and political interests, but each has their own interests, forming a "common but differentiated" position; at the international level, the positions of other groups of countries areThe pursuit of positive international image and the scramble for voice influence the position of umbrella group in international climate negotiations.In general, in the face of the increasingly severe climate problem, the umbrella group of countries in the international climate negotiations has formed a stubborn, passive, more consistent and slightly divergent position under the triple action of "domestic, group-international".This not only affects other actors in international climate negotiations, but also affects the process of international climate negotiations and the solution of climate problems.In the post-Kyoto era, countries and groups of countries began to pay more and more attention to climate change.As an important member of the international climate negotiations, the umbrella group of countries should shoulder the responsibility in keeping with its strength and position, pay real attention to the issue of climate change, play a positive role, and make the necessary efforts for the sustainable development of mankind.
【學位授予單位】：北京外國語大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：D996.9

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相關碩士學位論文 前2條

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2 閆楠;國際氣候談判中的小島嶼國家聯(lián)盟[D];外交學院;2012年

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本文編號：1763650