孟加拉國稻農(nóng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)認(rèn)知和管理策略的實(shí)證分析
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2021-06-26 18:19
農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)增加的主要原因是氣候變化,作物病害,農(nóng)產(chǎn)品市場價(jià)格的波動(dòng),自然災(zāi)害,投入和產(chǎn)出市場不完善,缺乏金融基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施以及風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理策略（如信貸和保險(xiǎn)）的設(shè)計(jì)不足。農(nóng)業(yè)是孟加拉國重要的收入來源,農(nóng)戶識(shí)別并克服相關(guān)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)非常重要。農(nóng)業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)不應(yīng)成為僅農(nóng)戶所需面對的問題,整個(gè)社會(huì)都應(yīng)發(fā)揮作用,因?yàn)檗r(nóng)業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和不確定性造成的損失可能會(huì)影響其他經(jīng)濟(jì)部門。近年來,農(nóng)民在實(shí)踐中同時(shí)或單獨(dú)采用了多種風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理策略,如農(nóng)業(yè)信貸,農(nóng)場內(nèi)外收入,前后合同,預(yù)防性儲(chǔ)蓄,播種時(shí)間差等。許多因素影響了他們的采用選擇和實(shí)踐。不幸的是,先前的研究避免了這個(gè)問題,并且在該領(lǐng)域發(fā)現(xiàn)了巨大的研究空白。這項(xiàng)研究的主要目的之一是確定影響稻米生產(chǎn)者風(fēng)險(xiǎn)意識(shí)和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)態(tài)度的與生態(tài)和氣候問題有關(guān)的因素。這項(xiàng)研究使用橫斷面數(shù)據(jù)集,對來自孟加拉國三個(gè)主要水稻種植區(qū)的600名稻農(nóng)進(jìn)行了橫斷面數(shù)據(jù)分析,以量化稻農(nóng)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)感知,其感知行為以及各種相關(guān)的潛在因素。在這項(xiàng)研究中,使用確定性方法對農(nóng)民對三種主要風(fēng)險(xiǎn)來源的看法進(jìn)行排名:市場價(jià)格波動(dòng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn),各種自然災(zāi)害風(fēng)險(xiǎn)以及病蟲害風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。根據(jù)農(nóng)民對主要風(fēng)險(xiǎn)源的嚴(yán)重性及其發(fā)生頻率（李克特量表）的反應(yīng)得出風(fēng)險(xiǎn)矩陣。概率回...
【文章來源】：西北農(nóng)林科技大學(xué)陜西省 211工程院校 985工程院校 教育部直屬院校
【文章頁數(shù)】：127 頁
【學(xué)位級別】：博士
【文章目錄】：
摘要
ABSTRACT
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
CHAPTER ONE:INTRODUCTION
1.1 BACKGROUND
1.2 PROBLEM STATEMENT
1.3 RESEARCH QUESTIONS
1.4 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
1.5 JUSTIFICATION OF THE STUDY
1.6 CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK
1.7 LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY
1.8 RESEARCH INNOVATION
CHAPTER TWO:REVIEW OF LITERATURE
2.1 THE CONCEPT OF RISK AND UNCERTAINTY IN AGRICULTURE
2.2 SOURCES OF RISK IN AGRICULTURE
2.2.1 Production risk
2.2.2 Market risk
2.2.3 Catastrophic risk
2.2.4 Financial risk
2.3 RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES
2.3.1 Production responses to risk
2.3.2 Marketing responses to risk
2.3.3 Financial responses to risk
2.4 FACTORS AFFECTING RISK MANAGEMENT DECISION
2.4.1 Risk perception
2.4.2 Risk attitude
2.5 INFLUENCE OF RISK BEHAVIOR ON PRODUCTION EFFICIENCY
2.6 LITERATURE GAP
CHAPTER THREE:RICE PRODUCTION RISK AND RISK MANAGEMENTSTATUS IN BANGLADESH
3.1 RISK IN AGRICULTURE IN BANGLADESH
3.2 IMPORTANCE OF RICE CROP IN BANGLADESH
3.3 WHAT ARE THE RISKS FACTORS FOR RICE CULTIVATION INBANGLADESH
3.3.1 Flood
3.3.2 Deeper Water Level
3.3.3 Saline soil
3.3.4 Extreme fluctuation of temperature
3.3.5 Soil fertility
3.3.6 Pest and disease
3.4 CURRENT RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES TO OVERWHELMED THEDIFFICULTIES
3.5 GAPS IN RISK MANAGEMENTT OPTIONS
CHAPTER FOUR:FACTORS INFLUENCING RICE FARMERS’RISKATTITUDES AND PERCEPTIONS IN BANGLADESH
4.1 OVERVIEW AND ASSUMPTION
4.2 DATA AND METHODS
4.2.1 Study area
4.2.2 Sampling and data collection
4.2.3 Risk perception
4.2.4 Risk attitude
4.2.5 Dependent and independent variables
4.2.6 Probit regression
4.3 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
4.3.1 Demography,Risk Perception and Attitude of Farmers
4.3.2 Factors affecting risk attitudes
4.3.3 Factors affecting risk perceptions
4.4 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER FIVE:DETERMINANTS OF CONCURRENT IMPLEMENTATION OFRISK MITTIGATING TOOLS– IS THERE ANY CORRELATION AMONG THESECHOICES?
5.1 AIM AND SCOPE OF THE CHAPTER
5.2 METHODOLOGY OF THE STUDY
5.2.1 Sample selection
5.2.2 Outcome variables
5.2.3 Explanatory variables
5.3 EMPIRICAL SPECIFICATION
5.3.1 Bivariate Probit
5.3.2 Multinomial Probit
5.4 STUDY FINDINGS AND DISCUSSION
5.4.1 Descriptive analysis
5.4.2 Parameter estimates of the Bivariate Probit model
5.4.3 Parameter estimates of the Multinomial Probit model
5.5 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER SIX:FACTORS AFFECTING FARMERS’WILLINGNESS TO ADOPTCROP INSURANCE TO MANAGE RISK
6.1 STUDY BACKGROUND AND ASSUMPTION
6.2 DATA COLLECTION AND VARIABLE SPECIFICATION
6.2.1 Data collection
6.2.2 Variable specification
6.3 ANALYTICAL MODELS
6.3.1 Multinomial Logit
6.3.2 Relative Risk Ratio
6.3.3 Hausman test for endogeneity
6.4 STUDY FINDINGS
6.4.1 Descriptive analysis
6.4.2 Multinomial Logit Results
6.4.3 Results from Relative Risk Ratio(RRR)
6.5 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER SEVEN:ANLYSIS OF THE INFLUENCE OF RISK MANAGEMENTSTRATEGIES ON RICE PRODUCERS EFFICIENCY
7.1 RELAVANCE OF THE PRESENT STUDY
7.2 METHODS TO ESTIMATE EFFICIENCY
7.2.1 Measuring Technical Efficiency
7.2.2 Measuring both of Economic Efficiency and Allocative Efficiency
7.2.3 Tobit Regression model
7.3 EMPIRICAL FINDINGS AND DISCUSSION
7.3.1 Results from DEA
7.3.2 Determinants of Inefficiency
7.4 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER EIGHT:CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
8.1 CONCLUSION
8.2 RECOMMENDATIONS
8.3 WAY FORWARD/FUTURE DIRECTIONS
REFERENCES
APPENDIX
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
AUTHOR IN LINES
【參考文獻(xiàn)】：
期刊論文
[1]Maize production under risk:The simultaneous adoption of off-farm income diversification and agricultural credit to manage risk[J]. Shoaib Akhtar,LI Gu-cheng,Adnan Nazir,Amar Razzaq,Raza Ullah,Muhammad Faisal,Muhammad Asad Ur Rehman Naseer,Muhammad Haseeb Raza. Journal of Integrative Agriculture. 2019(02)
[2]三江源地區(qū)氣候變化及其對徑流的驅(qū)動(dòng)分析(英文)[J]. 張士鋒,華東,孟秀敬,張永勇. Journal of Geographical Sciences. 2011(06)
本文編號(hào)：3251837
【文章來源】：西北農(nóng)林科技大學(xué)陜西省 211工程院校 985工程院校 教育部直屬院校
【文章頁數(shù)】：127 頁
【學(xué)位級別】：博士
【文章目錄】：
摘要
ABSTRACT
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
CHAPTER ONE:INTRODUCTION
1.1 BACKGROUND
1.2 PROBLEM STATEMENT
1.3 RESEARCH QUESTIONS
1.4 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
1.5 JUSTIFICATION OF THE STUDY
1.6 CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK
1.7 LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY
1.8 RESEARCH INNOVATION
CHAPTER TWO:REVIEW OF LITERATURE
2.1 THE CONCEPT OF RISK AND UNCERTAINTY IN AGRICULTURE
2.2 SOURCES OF RISK IN AGRICULTURE
2.2.1 Production risk
2.2.2 Market risk
2.2.3 Catastrophic risk
2.2.4 Financial risk
2.3 RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES
2.3.1 Production responses to risk
2.3.2 Marketing responses to risk
2.3.3 Financial responses to risk
2.4 FACTORS AFFECTING RISK MANAGEMENT DECISION
2.4.1 Risk perception
2.4.2 Risk attitude
2.5 INFLUENCE OF RISK BEHAVIOR ON PRODUCTION EFFICIENCY
2.6 LITERATURE GAP
CHAPTER THREE:RICE PRODUCTION RISK AND RISK MANAGEMENTSTATUS IN BANGLADESH
3.1 RISK IN AGRICULTURE IN BANGLADESH
3.2 IMPORTANCE OF RICE CROP IN BANGLADESH
3.3 WHAT ARE THE RISKS FACTORS FOR RICE CULTIVATION INBANGLADESH
3.3.1 Flood
3.3.2 Deeper Water Level
3.3.3 Saline soil
3.3.4 Extreme fluctuation of temperature
3.3.5 Soil fertility
3.3.6 Pest and disease
3.4 CURRENT RISK MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES TO OVERWHELMED THEDIFFICULTIES
3.5 GAPS IN RISK MANAGEMENTT OPTIONS
CHAPTER FOUR:FACTORS INFLUENCING RICE FARMERS’RISKATTITUDES AND PERCEPTIONS IN BANGLADESH
4.1 OVERVIEW AND ASSUMPTION
4.2 DATA AND METHODS
4.2.1 Study area
4.2.2 Sampling and data collection
4.2.3 Risk perception
4.2.4 Risk attitude
4.2.5 Dependent and independent variables
4.2.6 Probit regression
4.3 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
4.3.1 Demography,Risk Perception and Attitude of Farmers
4.3.2 Factors affecting risk attitudes
4.3.3 Factors affecting risk perceptions
4.4 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER FIVE:DETERMINANTS OF CONCURRENT IMPLEMENTATION OFRISK MITTIGATING TOOLS– IS THERE ANY CORRELATION AMONG THESECHOICES?
5.1 AIM AND SCOPE OF THE CHAPTER
5.2 METHODOLOGY OF THE STUDY
5.2.1 Sample selection
5.2.2 Outcome variables
5.2.3 Explanatory variables
5.3 EMPIRICAL SPECIFICATION
5.3.1 Bivariate Probit
5.3.2 Multinomial Probit
5.4 STUDY FINDINGS AND DISCUSSION
5.4.1 Descriptive analysis
5.4.2 Parameter estimates of the Bivariate Probit model
5.4.3 Parameter estimates of the Multinomial Probit model
5.5 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER SIX:FACTORS AFFECTING FARMERS’WILLINGNESS TO ADOPTCROP INSURANCE TO MANAGE RISK
6.1 STUDY BACKGROUND AND ASSUMPTION
6.2 DATA COLLECTION AND VARIABLE SPECIFICATION
6.2.1 Data collection
6.2.2 Variable specification
6.3 ANALYTICAL MODELS
6.3.1 Multinomial Logit
6.3.2 Relative Risk Ratio
6.3.3 Hausman test for endogeneity
6.4 STUDY FINDINGS
6.4.1 Descriptive analysis
6.4.2 Multinomial Logit Results
6.4.3 Results from Relative Risk Ratio(RRR)
6.5 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER SEVEN:ANLYSIS OF THE INFLUENCE OF RISK MANAGEMENTSTRATEGIES ON RICE PRODUCERS EFFICIENCY
7.1 RELAVANCE OF THE PRESENT STUDY
7.2 METHODS TO ESTIMATE EFFICIENCY
7.2.1 Measuring Technical Efficiency
7.2.2 Measuring both of Economic Efficiency and Allocative Efficiency
7.2.3 Tobit Regression model
7.3 EMPIRICAL FINDINGS AND DISCUSSION
7.3.1 Results from DEA
7.3.2 Determinants of Inefficiency
7.4 CONCLUSION
CHAPTER EIGHT:CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
8.1 CONCLUSION
8.2 RECOMMENDATIONS
8.3 WAY FORWARD/FUTURE DIRECTIONS
REFERENCES
APPENDIX
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
AUTHOR IN LINES
【參考文獻(xiàn)】：
期刊論文
[1]Maize production under risk:The simultaneous adoption of off-farm income diversification and agricultural credit to manage risk[J]. Shoaib Akhtar,LI Gu-cheng,Adnan Nazir,Amar Razzaq,Raza Ullah,Muhammad Faisal,Muhammad Asad Ur Rehman Naseer,Muhammad Haseeb Raza. Journal of Integrative Agriculture. 2019(02)
[2]三江源地區(qū)氣候變化及其對徑流的驅(qū)動(dòng)分析(英文)[J]. 張士鋒,華東,孟秀敬,張永勇. Journal of Geographical Sciences. 2011(06)
本文編號(hào)：3251837
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