本文關(guān)鍵詞： 城市化 發(fā)展質(zhì)量 時(shí)空分異 空間分析 新疆　出處：《石河子大學(xué)》2016年博士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：“十三五”是城市化快速發(fā)展的歷史時(shí)期,更是城市化由規(guī)模強(qiáng)度向質(zhì)量內(nèi)涵轉(zhuǎn)型的關(guān)鍵節(jié)點(diǎn)。如何根據(jù)區(qū)域資源環(huán)境稟賦、生態(tài)承載能力和區(qū)位地緣條件,發(fā)展具有地域特色和分工職能的城鎮(zhèn)體系,是提升我國城市化發(fā)展質(zhì)量重大課題。新疆資源優(yōu)勢明顯,區(qū)位和地緣位置突出重要,是我國重要的戰(zhàn)略資源儲備區(qū)和“一帶一路”建設(shè)的核心區(qū),新疆城市化健康發(fā)展深刻影響著西部國土安全和國際大通道建設(shè)。在城市化發(fā)展初級階段,如何總結(jié)發(fā)達(dá)國家和地區(qū)城市化發(fā)展的成敗經(jīng)驗(yàn),結(jié)合自身在國際、國內(nèi)及區(qū)域分工的地位和作用,通過統(tǒng)籌協(xié)調(diào)、合理布局、有序發(fā)展各級各類城市,提升區(qū)域城市化發(fā)展內(nèi)涵質(zhì)量,對新疆實(shí)現(xiàn)跨越發(fā)展和長治久安具有重大現(xiàn)實(shí)意義�；诖�,本文根據(jù)城市化發(fā)展理論、空間經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)理論、城市化空間發(fā)展基礎(chǔ)理論及中國城市化空間分異基本規(guī)律,結(jié)合新疆城市發(fā)展區(qū)域特點(diǎn)和現(xiàn)實(shí)問題,在準(zhǔn)確界定城市化發(fā)展質(zhì)量內(nèi)涵基礎(chǔ)上,從人口發(fā)展質(zhì)量、社會發(fā)展質(zhì)量、經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展質(zhì)量、生態(tài)環(huán)境質(zhì)量、城鄉(xiāng)區(qū)域協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展五個(gè)維度構(gòu)建城市化發(fā)展質(zhì)量指標(biāo)體系,利用熵值法賦權(quán)、動態(tài)評價(jià)、協(xié)調(diào)模型、探索性空間數(shù)據(jù)分析(ESDA)方法、空間計(jì)量模型等,綜合測度了新疆15地州市城市化發(fā)展質(zhì)量,動態(tài)分析了近11年新疆城市化空間分異過程、格局,實(shí)證研究了新疆城市化空間分異特點(diǎn)及規(guī)律,探究了新疆城市化發(fā)展空間秩序及分異規(guī)律,在借鑒國外典型城市城市化空間發(fā)展經(jīng)驗(yàn)基礎(chǔ)上,嘗試性提出了提升新疆城市化發(fā)展質(zhì)量的對策建議,為新疆新型城市化建設(shè)、實(shí)現(xiàn)“新絲綢之路經(jīng)濟(jì)帶”核心區(qū)建設(shè)目標(biāo)提供科學(xué)依據(jù)。主要結(jié)論如下:第一,新疆15地州市城市化發(fā)展質(zhì)量及各維度總體呈現(xiàn)逐年上升趨勢,但整體水平較低,增長緩慢,區(qū)域差異顯著,協(xié)調(diào)水平較差,階段性特征明顯。凸顯新疆城市化發(fā)展的政府主導(dǎo)地位,以及隨著國家宏觀政策變化、城市化發(fā)展歷史階段所決定的特點(diǎn)。經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會和人口維度是城市化發(fā)展質(zhì)量的主要動力,生態(tài)環(huán)境和城鄉(xiāng)區(qū)域協(xié)調(diào)貢獻(xiàn)度偏低,新疆城市化處于傳統(tǒng)發(fā)展的初級階段。人口、經(jīng)濟(jì)、生態(tài)環(huán)境維度的差距大于整體差距,而社會、城鄉(xiāng)和區(qū)域協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的差距小于總體差距,并呈擴(kuò)大趨勢;社會、經(jīng)濟(jì)、生態(tài)環(huán)境質(zhì)量維度以2007年為分水嶺,而人口和城鄉(xiāng)及區(qū)域協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展維度分別以2008年和2006年為界,各自劃分為兩個(gè)階段;北疆與東疆、南疆的差距較大,但近幾年有縮小趨勢;11年來15地州市各維度協(xié)調(diào)水平較差,整體處于失調(diào)階段,且以2007年為界劃分為兩個(gè)階段。第二,新疆城市化發(fā)展質(zhì)量及各維度層級特征明顯,呈現(xiàn)明顯的南、北疆空間差異格局,且以天山北坡經(jīng)濟(jì)帶為核心向北、南方向逐漸遞減的“中心-外圍”空間分異特征。凸顯新疆城市化發(fā)展的行政依賴性、交通依賴性和區(qū)位依賴性。除了社會和生態(tài)環(huán)境質(zhì)量維度外,城市化發(fā)展質(zhì)量及其余維度較低質(zhì)量層級主要分布在南疆的喀什地區(qū),形成新疆整體發(fā)展的“低洼”區(qū)域。而較高質(zhì)量層級集中分布在北疆區(qū)域的天山南北坡沿線,尤其是天山北坡中段;各州市城市化發(fā)展質(zhì)量及各維度聚集程度呈減弱趨勢。生態(tài)環(huán)境和社會發(fā)展質(zhì)量維度呈隨機(jī)分布,人口、經(jīng)濟(jì)、城鄉(xiāng)和區(qū)域協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展維度與城市化發(fā)展質(zhì)量格局及空間分異特征相似且聚集特征顯著,呈現(xiàn)南、北疆空間分異格局;各維度中只有生態(tài)環(huán)境與城市化發(fā)展質(zhì)量關(guān)聯(lián)性有上升趨勢,且經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展質(zhì)量較好地區(qū)對應(yīng)較低的生態(tài)環(huán)境質(zhì)量。第三,新疆各地州市與相鄰區(qū)域之間的空間效應(yīng)從擴(kuò)散或溢出效應(yīng)到空間相互作用,且不同時(shí)期影響城市化發(fā)展質(zhì)量空間分異的因素各有側(cè)重。從2004年的空間滯后模型到2014年的空間誤差模型的顯著性,表明各地州之間的空間效應(yīng)從空間擴(kuò)散效應(yīng)轉(zhuǎn)換為空間聯(lián)系;2004年,人口因素、交通區(qū)位、政府政策及地區(qū)間空間溢出效應(yīng)是城市化發(fā)展質(zhì)量空間分異的主要因素,而資源的過度依賴及較低的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平制約了城市化發(fā)展質(zhì)量;2014年,資源稟賦、經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平、人口因素、交通區(qū)位及相鄰地區(qū)間的聯(lián)系強(qiáng)弱是城市化發(fā)展質(zhì)量空間分異的主要影響因素,而水資源的約束和緩慢的城市化進(jìn)程,交通運(yùn)輸發(fā)展滯后以及政府的過度干預(yù)等影響城市化可持續(xù)發(fā)展;人口因素中的人口素質(zhì)指標(biāo)和交通區(qū)位中的通訊設(shè)施指標(biāo)始終是城市化發(fā)展質(zhì)量空間分異的主要因子�；谏鲜鲅芯拷Y(jié)果提出:新疆應(yīng)圍繞國家“一帶一路”核心區(qū)建設(shè)戰(zhàn)略目標(biāo),抓住新型城市化建設(shè)歷史機(jī)遇,立足新疆在經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化和區(qū)域一體化時(shí)期的地緣區(qū)位和通道走廊優(yōu)勢,科學(xué)發(fā)展、合理布局各級各類城鎮(zhèn),完善優(yōu)化城鎮(zhèn)地域體系和空間結(jié)構(gòu),培育現(xiàn)代城鎮(zhèn)功能和互聯(lián)互通網(wǎng)絡(luò);重點(diǎn)建設(shè)北、中、南三條國際化大通道上的節(jié)點(diǎn)城市——國際、國家及地方性樞紐城市,把烏魯木齊市、喀什市、霍爾果斯口岸等建成新疆新型城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)的國際化都市(群),通過城市基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施、公共服務(wù)及實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)、服務(wù)貿(mào)易與“一帶一路”的互聯(lián)互通、有機(jī)融合,來支撐、輻射和提升新疆城市化發(fā)展質(zhì)量和水平;大力發(fā)展綠洲生態(tài)型中心城鎮(zhèn),建設(shè)空間組團(tuán)或團(tuán)聚型現(xiàn)代城鎮(zhèn)體系,積極培育與生態(tài)承載、地域優(yōu)勢和集聚規(guī)模相適應(yīng)的城市經(jīng)濟(jì)功能和要素,并將其有機(jī)地融入國際化都市建設(shè)中,形成經(jīng)濟(jì)分工與社會職能、人口集聚與生態(tài)承載彼此協(xié)調(diào)、互利共生的城市化空間發(fā)展秩序。
[Abstract]:13th Five-Year is the rapid development of city history, it is the city of the key nodes of the transition from scale strength to quality connotation. According to the regional resources and environment resources, ecological carrying capacity and regional geopolitical conditions, development with regional characteristics and the division of functions of the urban system, improve the quality of development is the major issue in our city. Xinjiang resource advantages, location and geographical location is important, the core area of our country's important strategic resources reserve and The Belt and Road "construction of Xinjiang City, the healthy development of a profound impact on the construction of western country security and international channels. In the city of the primary stage of development, how to summarize the city of developed countries and regions the development of success experience, combined with their status and role in the international, domestic and regional division, through coordination, reasonable layout, orderly development of all types of city,. L quality development connotation of regional city, is of great practical significance for Xinjiang to achieve leapfrog development and long period of stability. Based on this, according to city development theory, spatial economics theory, theory of differentiation of basic rules of city space development foundation and the Chinese city space, combined with the practical problems and characteristics of Xinjiang City Development Zone, the accurate definition of city based on the connotation of the quality of development, population development quality, the quality of the social development, the quality of economic development, ecological environment, urban and rural regional development in five dimensions to build city development index system of the quality of coordination, by the method of entropy weighting, dynamic evaluation, coordination model, exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA) method, spatial econometric model etc. a comprehensive measure of the quality of development, 15 prefectures of Xinjiang City, the dynamic analysis of the space of Xinjiang city in the past 11 years the differentiation process, pattern, empirical study Distribution characteristics and rules of Xinjiang city space, explores the spatial order of Xinjiang city development and differentiation, in reference to foreign typical city urbanization development space on the basis of the experience, try to put forward suggestions to improve the quality of development of Xinjiang City, for the construction of new city of Xinjiang, "to provide a scientific basis for the goal of building the new economic zone core area of the silk road. The main conclusions are as follows: first, the quality of development of Xinjiang city in 15 prefectures and the dimensions of the overall rising year by year, but the overall level is low, slow growth, significant regional differences, coordination level, significant stage characteristics. The government position highlights the development of Xinjiang city and, with the national macro policy changes, the historical stage of development characteristics of the city. The economic, social and demographic dimensions is the main power of city development quality, ecological The environment and urban regional coordination degree of contribution is low, Xinjiang city is in the primary stage of traditional development. Population, economy, ecological environment dimension is greater than the overall gap gap, and the society, the coordinated development of urban and regional disparity is less than the overall gap, and the tendency to expand; Society, economy, ecological environment quality dimensions in 2007 as a watershed, while the population in urban and rural areas and regional coordinated development dimensions respectively in 2008 and 2006, each divided into two stages; the northern and southern Xinjiang, the gap is large, but in recent years a narrowing trend; 11 years all the dimensions of the 15 cities coordination level is poor, disorders in the stage of the whole, and in 2007 for the sector is divided into two stages. Second, the quality of development of Xinjiang city and the dimensions of hierarchical characteristics, presents the obvious differences in the spatial pattern of the south, and the Northern Slope Economic Zone of Tianshan Mountain as the core to the north, South to gradually Decreasing the "center periphery" spatial characteristics. Administrative dependence highlights the development of Xinjiang City, traffic dependent and location dependent. In addition to the social and ecological environment quality dimensions, city development and quality more than lower dimensional quality level is mainly distributed in the southern region of Kashi, the formation of the overall development of Xinjiang "the low-lying area. While the higher quality levels are mainly distributed in the northern region along the South and North Slope of Tianshan Mountain, especially the northern slope of Tianshan Mountains in Xinjiang; the quality of development of city states and the dimensions of the aggregation degree decreased. The dimensions of quality of ecological environment and social development is a random distribution of population, economy, coordinated development of urban and regional dimension and city the quality of development patterns and spatial differentiation characteristics are similar and accumulation characteristics significantly, showing differentiation pattern in the south, in the dimensions of space; only the ecological environment and city development quality Association of a rising trend, the quality of the ecological environment and economic development in the area of good quality corresponding to low. Third, between the cities and prefectures in Xinjiang and adjacent areas from the diffusion space effect or spillover effects to the spatial interaction, and the development of city space quality factors of different period differentiation have focused on the significant spatial error. Model from 2004 to 2014, the spatial lag model, show that the spatial effect of each region from the effects of spatial diffusion into space; in 2004, demographic factors, traffic location, government policies and inter regional spatial spillover effect is the main factor to the development of city space quality difference, and excessive dependence and more resources the low level of economic development has restricted the development of city quality; 2014, resource endowment, economic development level, population factors, traffic location and adjacent areas between the contact strength of the city The main factors affecting the quality of development of spatial differentiation, limited water resources and slow city urbanization, transportation development lags behind and excessive government intervention affect the sustainable development of city facilities; index of population factors in population quality index and traffic location in communication is always the main factor of the development of city space quality the difference is proposed. Based on the above research results: Xinjiang should focus on the strategic goal of building the country "The Belt and Road" core area, the construction of a new city to seize the historical opportunity, based in Xinjiang in the geographical location and corridor advantage, economic globalization and regional integration in the period of scientific development, reasonable layout of various towns, optimizing urban system and regional spatial structure, cultivating modern urban functions and interconnection networks; key construction in the city, north, South three joint international passage - International, national and regional hub city, Urumqi City, Kashi City, Huoerguosi port completed the construction of new urbanization Xinjiang international city (Group), the city infrastructure, public services and the real economy, service trade and "The Belt and Road" organic integration, interoperability, support, and radiation to enhance the quality and level of development of Xinjiang city; vigorously develop urban oasis ecological construction center, space group or agglomerated modern towns, and actively cultivate and ecological carrying capacity, regional advantage and agglomeration scale and adapt the city economic functions and elements, and the organic integration into the international metropolis construction, the formation of economic division of labor and social functions. The concentration of population bearing coordination and ecological development of city space, the order of mutualism.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：石河子大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號】：F299.27
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本文編號：1448861