本文關(guān)鍵詞：中國(guó)綠色增長(zhǎng)程度評(píng)價(jià)及實(shí)現(xiàn)路徑研究　出處：《大連理工大學(xué)》2016年博士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

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【摘要】：面對(duì)資源短缺與環(huán)境污染等問(wèn)題的日益凸顯,轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式己成為了世界各國(guó)政府、企業(yè)以及社會(huì)公眾廣泛關(guān)注的焦點(diǎn)。綠色增長(zhǎng)作為一種新型的增長(zhǎng)方式在21世紀(jì)初應(yīng)運(yùn)而生,強(qiáng)調(diào)“在追求經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和發(fā)展的同時(shí),又防止環(huán)境惡化、生物多樣性喪失和自然資源不可持續(xù)利用”,完全符合傳統(tǒng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式轉(zhuǎn)型的目標(biāo)與要求,因此得到了國(guó)際社會(huì)廣泛的認(rèn)可與快速的傳播。近年來(lái),以發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家為代表的各國(guó)政府以及各國(guó)際組織紛紛開(kāi)始制定政策、法規(guī)與行動(dòng)方案來(lái)推進(jìn)綠色增長(zhǎng)實(shí)踐,并在全球范圍內(nèi)開(kāi)啟了“綠色新政”的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)。為推動(dòng)綠色增長(zhǎng),中國(guó)政府已相繼開(kāi)展了建設(shè)“生態(tài)工業(yè)園”、“循環(huán)經(jīng)濟(jì)”、“低碳城市”試點(diǎn)和構(gòu)建“資源節(jié)約型和環(huán)境友好型社會(huì)”等一系列謀求綠色發(fā)展的國(guó)家戰(zhàn)略。黨的十八大報(bào)告強(qiáng)調(diào)要“著力推進(jìn)綠色發(fā)展、循環(huán)發(fā)展、低碳發(fā)展”,十八屆五中全會(huì)公報(bào)更是明確提出“十三五”期間要堅(jiān)持貫徹創(chuàng)新、協(xié)調(diào)、綠色、開(kāi)放、共享的發(fā)展理念,表明了中國(guó)政府走綠色增長(zhǎng)道路的決心。盡管中國(guó)在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、資源消耗、污染排放以及政策扶持等方面取得了一定的成績(jī),但與世界發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家相比仍有很大的差距。鑒于此,本文將綠色增長(zhǎng)研究聚焦在綠色增長(zhǎng)程度評(píng)價(jià)與實(shí)現(xiàn)路徑上,擬解決的關(guān)鍵問(wèn)題有：影響綠色增長(zhǎng)的因素有哪些?綠色增長(zhǎng)程度評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系如何構(gòu)建?綠色增長(zhǎng)程度如何測(cè)量?如何尋求實(shí)現(xiàn)綠色增長(zhǎng)的有效路徑?為此,本文進(jìn)行了一系列深入的研究,所得的主要研究成果有：首先,對(duì)中國(guó)綠色增長(zhǎng)程度評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系進(jìn)行構(gòu)建。在現(xiàn)有文獻(xiàn)和相關(guān)研究的基礎(chǔ)上,從社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)、生活質(zhì)量、自然資產(chǎn)、生態(tài)環(huán)境與政策支持五個(gè)維度海選了65個(gè)指標(biāo)構(gòu)成了中國(guó)綠色增長(zhǎng)評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)集。在對(duì)海選指標(biāo)進(jìn)行初篩之后,采用相關(guān)分析與變精度粗糙集相結(jié)合的方法定量篩選指標(biāo),保證了同一準(zhǔn)則層內(nèi)的指標(biāo)信息沒(méi)有重復(fù)且對(duì)評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果具有顯著影響。為避免因過(guò)度依賴客觀數(shù)據(jù)而造成誤刪,根據(jù)專家意見(jiàn)進(jìn)行理性分析,選擇性補(bǔ)充了2個(gè)高頻指標(biāo),從而最終構(gòu)建了一個(gè)包含5個(gè)準(zhǔn)則層、19個(gè)指標(biāo)的中國(guó)綠色增長(zhǎng)程度評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系。其次,對(duì)中國(guó)綠色增長(zhǎng)程度進(jìn)行測(cè)度與評(píng)價(jià)分析。針對(duì)綠色增長(zhǎng)程度具有動(dòng)態(tài)性、多維性與復(fù)雜性的特點(diǎn),構(gòu)建了結(jié)合TOPSIS與灰色關(guān)聯(lián)理論的綠色增長(zhǎng)程度評(píng)價(jià)模型,并利用我國(guó)2001-2012年經(jīng)濟(jì)、資源、環(huán)境、政策等方面的變量數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行了實(shí)證研究,得到了2001-2012年我國(guó)綠色增長(zhǎng)程度與水平,彌補(bǔ)了現(xiàn)有研究的不足。研究結(jié)果表明：中國(guó)綠色增長(zhǎng)程度呈現(xiàn)緩慢升高的趨勢(shì)：社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)與生態(tài)環(huán)境兩個(gè)準(zhǔn)則層的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展對(duì)中國(guó)綠色增長(zhǎng)程度的提高具有顯著的影響；同時(shí),自然資產(chǎn)與政策支持準(zhǔn)則層的波動(dòng)性增長(zhǎng)影響了整體水平的穩(wěn)定性,導(dǎo)致中國(guó)綠色增長(zhǎng)程度出現(xiàn)了短期下滑。最后,對(duì)中國(guó)綠色增長(zhǎng)實(shí)現(xiàn)路徑進(jìn)行選擇研究。綠色增長(zhǎng)是一個(gè)由眾多不同屬性子系統(tǒng)相互作用而組成的復(fù)雜巨系統(tǒng),要想更為準(zhǔn)確地尋求它的實(shí)現(xiàn)路徑,需從系統(tǒng)、動(dòng)態(tài)的角度進(jìn)行剖析。以中國(guó)綠色增長(zhǎng)程度評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系為依據(jù),運(yùn)用系統(tǒng)動(dòng)力學(xué)理論,分析社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)、生活質(zhì)量、自然資產(chǎn)、生態(tài)環(huán)境與政策支持等子系統(tǒng)間的因果關(guān)系,確定各變量指標(biāo)間的數(shù)學(xué)表達(dá)式,建立中國(guó)綠色增長(zhǎng)系統(tǒng)的動(dòng)力學(xué)模型,通過(guò)主要參數(shù)的調(diào)控,模擬得出四種情景下的綠色增長(zhǎng)實(shí)現(xiàn)路徑,即自然發(fā)展模式、高速發(fā)展模式、保護(hù)發(fā)展模式與協(xié)同發(fā)展模式。通過(guò)比較分析發(fā)現(xiàn),路徑四：協(xié)同發(fā)展模式的效果較好,它兼顧了經(jīng)濟(jì)-資源-環(huán)境-生活-政策的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,體現(xiàn)了快速增長(zhǎng)且低消耗、低污染的增長(zhǎng)方式,為我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的綠色增長(zhǎng)提供了較為可行的發(fā)展模式。
[Abstract]:In the face of the shortage of resources and environmental pollution problems have become increasingly prominent, the transformation of economic growth mode has become the focus of world governments, enterprises and the public attention. Green growth as a new growth mode came into being at the beginning of twenty-first Century, stressed that "in the pursuit of economic growth and development, and to prevent the deterioration of the environment, is not sustainable" the loss of biodiversity and natural resources, fully meet the goals and requirements of the traditional economic growth mode transformation, so it has been widely recognized in international society and quickly spread. In recent years, the developed countries represented by governments and international organizations have begun to formulate policies, regulations and action plan to promote green growth practice, and opened a "Green New Deal" competition in the global scope. In order to promote green growth, China government has carried out the construction of students " State Industrial Park "," circular economy "," low-carbon city "and" national strategic pilot construction of a resource-saving and environment-friendly society "and a series of seeking green development. The eighteen Party Congress stressed the need to focus on promoting green development, development cycle, low carbon development", it is clear that the the fifth Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee bulletin "13th Five-Year" period to adhere to innovation, harmony, green, open, shared development idea, that the government China go green growth path determination. Although Chinese in economic growth, resource consumption, pollution emissions and policy support and other aspects have made certain achievements, but there is still a large gap compared with developed countries in the world in view of this, this paper will focus on research and implementation path of green growth evaluation in green growth degree, the key problems to solve: effects of green growth for what is known as the green? How to construct the evaluation index system of the degree of growth? How to measure the degree of green growth? How to find effective ways to achieve green growth? Therefore, this paper carried out a series of in-depth research, the main research results obtained are as follows: firstly, the evaluation index system of green growth China construction. Based on the existing literature and the research on from the social, economy, quality of life, natural assets, ecological environment and policy support of the five dimensions of selected 65 indicators form the China green growth evaluation index set. After the audition screening method of quantitative indicators, combined with rough set by correlation analysis and variable precision screening indicators, indicators to ensure the same information in the rule layer did not repeat and the evaluation results have significant effects. In order to avoid accidentally deleted due to excessive dependence on objective data, according to expert opinion analysis, selection Selective Supplement 2 high-frequency indicators, and finally construct a contains 5 criteria layer, 19 indicators Chinese green growth evaluation index system. Secondly, analyze the measurement and evaluation of China green growth degree. It is dynamic for green growth degree, characteristics of multidimensional and complexity, construct the combination the evaluation of green growth degree TOPSIS and grey theory model, and the use of 2001-2012 in China economy, resources, environment, and other aspects of the policy variables for the empirical research, the 2001-2012 of China's green growth degree and level, to make up for the lack of existing research. The results show that: Chinese showed slow growth of green rising trend: the coordinated development of social economy and ecological environment of the two criterion layers had a significant impact on the growth of green Chinese increased; at the same time, the natural assets and government Policy fluctuation support criterion layer growth and stability of the overall level of impact, resulting in a short-term decline in Chinese green growth. Finally, choose to study China green growth path. Green growth is a system composed of various attributes of the interaction of a complex system, in order to more accurately seeking to achieve its path, from the system, analyzes the dynamic point of view. The evaluation index system Chinese green growth degree as the basis, using the theory of system dynamics, the analysis of social economy, the quality of life, natural assets, the causal relationship between the subsystems such as ecological environment and policy support, determine the mathematical expression of the variable index, dynamics to establish the model of Chinese green growth system, controlled by the main parameters of the simulated four scenarios green growth path, namely the natural pattern of development, high speed The mode of development, protection and development mode and cooperative development model. Through the comparative analysis found that the path of the four: good collaborative development model, which take into account the coordinated development of economy - resources - environment - Life - policy, reflecting the rapid growth and low consumption, low pollution and growth, provides a feasible mode for development green economic growth in China.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：大連理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號(hào)】：F124.5
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本文編號(hào)：1403286