本文關(guān)鍵詞：城市低碳交通發(fā)展方式與調(diào)控政策研究　出處：《天津大學(xué)》2015年博士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 城市低碳交通 發(fā)展模式 發(fā)展路徑 城市交通大氣環(huán)境承載力 節(jié)能減排調(diào)控政策 系統(tǒng)動力學(xué)

【摘要】：隨著我國經(jīng)濟社會的高速發(fā)展,城市交通需求的規(guī)模不斷擴大,城市居民的交通出行總量迅速提升。與此同時,城市居民對交通出行質(zhì)量的要求使得機動車擁有量、機動車出行總量和機動車出行比例逐年上升,從而導(dǎo)致了交通產(chǎn)生的CO_2排放量快速增長。目前,交通部門已成為繼工業(yè)部門之后的第二大CO_2排放源,低碳發(fā)展問題亟待解決。為深化對城市低碳交通系統(tǒng)建設(shè)規(guī)律的科學(xué)認識,提供對城市低碳交通發(fā)展的參考與依據(jù),本文從系統(tǒng)科學(xué)與系統(tǒng)工程的視角對城市低碳交通發(fā)展方式與調(diào)控政策進行了研究。本文主要研究工作和結(jié)論如下:(1)對城市低碳交通系統(tǒng)進行了系統(tǒng)分析,在解析城市低碳交通內(nèi)涵與特征及體系構(gòu)成的基礎(chǔ)上,探討了城市低碳交通發(fā)展的問題狀況與目標,構(gòu)建了城市低碳交通發(fā)展的概念模型,給出了城市低碳交通發(fā)展模式的選擇標準,提出基于“三步走”戰(zhàn)略的城市低碳交通發(fā)展的實現(xiàn)路徑。(2)在明確大氣環(huán)境污染是城市低碳交通發(fā)展重點關(guān)注目標的前提下,分析了城市環(huán)境容量及承載力的內(nèi)涵、特征與分類,定義了城市交通大氣環(huán)境容量及承載力,并探討了二者的影響因素。以天津市為例研究了基于大氣環(huán)境容量約束的城市交通發(fā)展規(guī)模及城市交通大氣環(huán)境承載力的調(diào)控政策,得出在實踐中通常應(yīng)先實施清潔汽車戰(zhàn)略,后實施移動性管理戰(zhàn)略的結(jié)論。(3)研究了不同交通發(fā)展模式下城市客貨運交通能源消耗與碳排放的變化,結(jié)果表明客運交通是未來城市交通能源消耗與碳排放的主要矛盾。運用系統(tǒng)動力學(xué)構(gòu)建了能反映個體交通方式選擇的城市客運交通能源消耗與碳排放仿真模型。以北京市為例研究了不同節(jié)能減排調(diào)控政策的效果,確定了不同節(jié)能減排調(diào)控政策的最優(yōu)實施順序。最終,以定量方式證明了為實現(xiàn)城市客運交通的低碳發(fā)展應(yīng)先采取技術(shù)和管理類的政策措施,后采取經(jīng)濟類政策措施。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of our country's economy and society, the scale of urban traffic demand is expanding constantly, and the total amount of transportation travel of urban residents is increasing rapidly at the same time. The requirements of urban residents for the quality of traffic travel make the number of motor vehicles, the total number of motor vehicles and the proportion of motor vehicle travel increase year by year, which leads to the rapid growth of CO_2 emissions generated by traffic. The transportation sector has become the second largest CO_2 emission source after the industrial sector, and the low-carbon development problem needs to be solved urgently. In order to deepen the scientific understanding of urban low-carbon transportation system construction law. To provide a reference and basis for the development of urban low-carbon transport. From the perspective of systems science and systems engineering, this paper studies the development mode and regulation policy of urban low-carbon transportation. The main work and conclusions of this paper are as follows: 1). The urban low-carbon transportation system is systematically analyzed. On the basis of analyzing the connotation, characteristics and system structure of urban low-carbon transportation, this paper discusses the problems and objectives of urban low-carbon transportation development, and constructs a conceptual model of urban low-carbon transportation development. The choice standard of urban low-carbon transportation development model is given. The realization path of urban low-carbon transportation development based on "three-step" strategy is put forward under the premise that air pollution is the focus of urban low-carbon transportation development. This paper analyzes the connotation, characteristics and classification of urban environmental capacity and bearing capacity, and defines the urban traffic atmospheric environmental capacity and carrying capacity. Taking Tianjin as an example, the scale of urban traffic development based on the restriction of atmospheric environmental capacity and the regulation policy of urban traffic atmospheric environmental carrying capacity are studied. It is concluded that the clean car strategy should be implemented first and then the mobility management strategy should be implemented in practice. The conclusion is that the change of energy consumption and carbon emission of urban passenger and freight transportation under different traffic development modes is studied. The results show that passenger transport is the main contradiction between energy consumption and carbon emission in future urban transportation. A simulation model of energy consumption and carbon emission of urban passenger transport is constructed by using system dynamics which can reflect the choice of individual transportation modes. Taking Beijing as an example, the effects of different regulation policies on energy saving and emission reduction are studied. Finally, in order to achieve the low-carbon development of urban passenger transport, we should first take technical and management policy measures to achieve the low-carbon development of urban passenger transport. After the adoption of economic policy measures.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F572;X322
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本文編號：1388727