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中國與世界主要國家間的產(chǎn)業(yè)同構(gòu)性及其對中國出口貿(mào)易的影響——基于系統(tǒng)GMM估計的實證分析

發(fā)布時間:2018-11-22 06:34
【摘要】:根據(jù)世界投入產(chǎn)出數(shù)據(jù)庫計算的中國同世界主要國家的產(chǎn)業(yè)同構(gòu)性表明,2000-2014年期間中國同世界上大部分國家間存在較高的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)趨同,而與不同國家之間的產(chǎn)業(yè)同構(gòu)性又存在較大的差異;從每年的平均值看,中國同主要國家間的產(chǎn)業(yè)同構(gòu)性在2008年之前波動較大,之后波動較小。運用中國同41個國家的面板數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行系統(tǒng)GMM估計表明,中國與世界主要國家間的產(chǎn)業(yè)同構(gòu)性對于中國向這些國家的出口具有顯著的抑制作用,說明當(dāng)前中國在國際貿(mào)易中所顯示出的產(chǎn)業(yè)競爭力還相對較低。中國今后在實施"一帶一路"建設(shè)中要通過繼續(xù)加強技術(shù)創(chuàng)新提高企業(yè)的生產(chǎn)率水平和產(chǎn)業(yè)競爭力水平。
[Abstract]:The industrial homogeneity between China and the world's major countries calculated from the world input-output database shows that there was a high convergence of industrial structure between China and most countries in the world during the period 2000-2014. However, there are great differences between industrial isomorphism and different countries. According to the annual average, the industrial isomorphism between China and the major countries fluctuated greatly before 2008, and then fluctuated slightly. A systematic GMM estimate using panel data from China and 41 countries shows that industrial homogeneity between China and major countries in the world has a significant inhibitory effect on China's exports to these countries. It shows that China's industrial competitiveness in international trade is relatively low. In the implementation of Belt and Road, China will continue to strengthen technological innovation to improve the level of productivity and industrial competitiveness of enterprises.
【作者單位】: 廈門廈工機械股份有限公司貿(mào)易管理部;集美大學(xué)財經(jīng)學(xué)院;
【分類號】:F752.62

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