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淺議“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略中的國(guó)別風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管控——基于國(guó)別經(jīng)濟(jì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估模型的研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-09-18 13:52
【摘要】:"一帶一路"沿線國(guó)家發(fā)展?fàn)顩r不一,國(guó)內(nèi)銀行和企業(yè)在開(kāi)展相關(guān)跨境業(yè)務(wù)時(shí),不可避免地面臨東道國(guó)的國(guó)別風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。針對(duì)此問(wèn)題,本文選取相關(guān)經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo),采用主成分分析方法,建立國(guó)別經(jīng)濟(jì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估模型,并選取泰國(guó)歷史上的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)遷徙狀況對(duì)模型進(jìn)行檢驗(yàn),之后提出控制國(guó)別風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的相關(guān)建議,以期為中國(guó)銀行和企業(yè)"走出去"建設(shè)"一帶一路"提供參考。
[Abstract]:The development of different countries along the "one belt and one road" is different. When domestic banks and enterprises are carrying out cross-border business, they will inevitably face the country's risk of host country. In view of this problem, this paper selects relevant economic indicators, adopts principal component analysis method, establishes national economic risk assessment model, and selects risk migration in Thailand's history. After examining the model, relevant suggestions on controlling country risk are put forward to provide reference for Chinese banks and enterprises to "go out" and build "one belt and one road".
【作者單位】: 中國(guó)人民大學(xué)財(cái)政金融學(xué)院;對(duì)外經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)金融學(xué)院;
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F125

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