【摘要】：進(jìn)入21世紀(jì)以來(lái),經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化更加深化,隨著中國(guó)與中東歐國(guó)家政治友好關(guān)系日益加強(qiáng),雙方的經(jīng)貿(mào)發(fā)展更是上了一個(gè)新臺(tái)階,貿(mào)易交往日新月異。就貿(mào)易額體量來(lái)看,2001年,中國(guó)與中東歐雙邊貿(mào)易額只有43億美元,到了2011年卻猛然提升到了529億美元,2014年再次突破新高達(dá)到600億美元。本文首先介紹了中國(guó)與中東歐國(guó)家之間的貿(mào)易概況,然后進(jìn)一步分析了中國(guó)與中東歐國(guó)家貿(mào)易規(guī)模和結(jié)構(gòu)特點(diǎn),發(fā)現(xiàn)中國(guó)與中東歐貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)比較單一,雙邊過(guò)半貿(mào)易量集中在機(jī)器運(yùn)輸設(shè)備產(chǎn)品上。第三章主要分析了雙邊貿(mào)易競(jìng)爭(zhēng)性和互補(bǔ)性關(guān)系,結(jié)果表明雙邊貿(mào)易競(jìng)爭(zhēng)性并不強(qiáng),貿(mào)易互補(bǔ)主要體現(xiàn)在資本技術(shù)密集型產(chǎn)品方面,而中東歐國(guó)家在初級(jí)產(chǎn)品市場(chǎng)上具有一定優(yōu)勢(shì),中國(guó)應(yīng)該進(jìn)一步挖掘貿(mào)易潛力。本文第四章構(gòu)建貿(mào)易引力模型,通過(guò)40個(gè)國(guó)家數(shù)據(jù)找出貿(mào)易流量影響因素,進(jìn)而比較貿(mào)易實(shí)際流量與預(yù)測(cè)流量,結(jié)果表明中國(guó)與中東歐國(guó)家貿(mào)易潛力巨大。最后通過(guò)Michely指數(shù)顯示出中國(guó)與中東歐國(guó)家具有較為明顯的貿(mào)易轉(zhuǎn)移和創(chuàng)造潛力。將這些貿(mào)易潛力轉(zhuǎn)化為實(shí)際貿(mào)易流量需要“一帶一路”建設(shè)的不斷推進(jìn)�！耙粠б宦贰苯ㄔO(shè)重點(diǎn)應(yīng)該放在提升貿(mào)易便利化水平上,即加強(qiáng)溝通合作機(jī)制,統(tǒng)一貿(mào)易政策標(biāo)準(zhǔn),制定規(guī)范化章程,提高物流港口效率,深化金融合作。最后得出本文結(jié)論,根據(jù)具體問(wèn)題提出相應(yīng)政策建議。
[Abstract]:Since the beginning of the 21st century, economic globalization has deepened. With the strengthening of the political and friendly relations between China and the countries of Central and Eastern Europe, the economic and trade development between the two countries has reached a new level and trade exchanges are changing with each passing day. In terms of volume of trade, bilateral trade between China and Central and Eastern Europe, which was only $4.3 billion in 2001, soared to $52.9 billion in 2011 and hit a new high of $60 billion in 2014. This paper first introduces the trade situation between China and Central and Eastern European countries, then further analyzes the scale and structure of trade between China and Central and Eastern European countries, and finds that the trade structure between China and Central and Eastern Europe is relatively simple. More than half of bilateral trade is concentrated on machinery, transport and equipment products. The third chapter mainly analyzes the relationship between bilateral trade competitiveness and complementarity. The results show that bilateral trade competitiveness is not strong, and trade complementarity is mainly reflected in capital-technology-intensive products. The central and eastern European countries have some advantages in the primary product market, China should further tap the trade potential. In the fourth chapter, a trade gravitation model is constructed to find out the influencing factors of trade flows through 40 countries' data, and then to compare the actual trade flows with the forecast flows. The results show that the trade potential between China and the countries of Central and Eastern Europe is great. Finally, the Michely index shows that China and the Central and Eastern European countries have obvious trade transfer and creation potential. To turn these trade potentials into actual trade flows requires the continuous development of "Belt and Road" construction. The construction of "Belt and Road" should focus on enhancing the level of trade facilitation, that is, strengthening the mechanism of communication and cooperation, unifying trade policy standards, formulating standardized regulations, improving the efficiency of logistics ports and deepening financial cooperation. Finally, the conclusion of this paper, according to specific problems put forward the corresponding policy recommendations.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：遼寧大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F752.7

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