“一帶一路”沿線五國(guó)互聯(lián)互通評(píng)價(jià)研究
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-31 16:46
本文選題:“一帶一路” 切入點(diǎn):互聯(lián)互通 出處:《東華大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文
【摘要】:人類社會(huì)處于大合作時(shí)代,信息時(shí)代的到來更是為國(guó)家間的合作提供了更為便利的發(fā)展條件,“地球村”應(yīng)運(yùn)而生。習(xí)近平主席提出的“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略目標(biāo)遠(yuǎn)大,內(nèi)容豐富,已經(jīng)引起了各國(guó)政府的積極響應(yīng)。沿線各國(guó)資源稟賦不同,且多方面可以互補(bǔ),這次合作將會(huì)開發(fā)無窮的潛力。中國(guó)與“一帶一路”沿線國(guó)的貿(mào)易投資合作將有助于兩國(guó)城市的繁榮以及當(dāng)?shù)亟?jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展。同周邊國(guó)家區(qū)域互聯(lián)互通,可以形成一種全方位的開放新格局,雙方合作探索新的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)點(diǎn),優(yōu)化國(guó)家資源配置,實(shí)現(xiàn)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)和社會(huì)同步發(fā)展。國(guó)家指出“一帶一路”沿線國(guó)與我國(guó)之間的合作應(yīng)當(dāng)具有政策溝通、設(shè)施聯(lián)通、貿(mào)易暢通、資金融通、民心相通的特點(diǎn)。近年來“一帶一路”合作建設(shè)的發(fā)展剛開始起步并有了一定的成果,因此沿線國(guó)目前與我國(guó)互聯(lián)互通的情況是一個(gè)值得研究問題,且可以為政府、企業(yè)的合作決策提供參考和建議。結(jié)合“一帶一路”的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,響應(yīng)國(guó)家互聯(lián)互通發(fā)展的號(hào)召,運(yùn)用配額抽樣法從“一帶一路”沿線64國(guó)中選取5個(gè)樣本國(guó)家作為研究對(duì)象,包括了俄羅斯、新加坡、阿聯(lián)酋、哈薩克斯坦以及巴基斯坦。并設(shè)定政策溝通、設(shè)施聯(lián)通、貿(mào)易暢通、資金融通、民心相通共“五通”作為評(píng)價(jià)互聯(lián)互通程度的一級(jí)指標(biāo)。結(jié)合大量的文獻(xiàn)閱讀以及國(guó)家政府的發(fā)言報(bào)告、文案倡導(dǎo)最終確定了15個(gè)二級(jí)指標(biāo),40個(gè)三級(jí)指標(biāo)。根據(jù)互聯(lián)互通評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系的建立,以及獲得數(shù)據(jù)的復(fù)雜性和相對(duì)性,比較了主成分分析法、因子分析法、聚類分析法、專家評(píng)價(jià)法、熵權(quán)法等多種傳統(tǒng)評(píng)價(jià)方法的優(yōu)缺點(diǎn),最終選擇熵權(quán)法對(duì)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行分析處理。首先將獲取的數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行無量綱標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化處理,然后根據(jù)離散值信息量大小借助熵權(quán)法對(duì)五國(guó)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行權(quán)重賦值,最終計(jì)算求出五個(gè)樣本國(guó)互聯(lián)互通情況的綜合評(píng)價(jià)值,并對(duì)其進(jìn)行多方位的排序分析比較。在選取的5個(gè)樣本國(guó)中,俄羅斯和新加坡兩國(guó)與我國(guó)互聯(lián)互通程度較高,阿聯(lián)酋中等,而哈薩克斯坦和巴基斯坦與我國(guó)的互聯(lián)互通程度相對(duì)較低,有待增強(qiáng)。
[Abstract]:Human society is in the era of great cooperation, and the arrival of the information age has provided more convenient conditions for the development of cooperation between countries, and "global village" has emerged as the times require.President Belt and Road's "Belt and Road" strategic goal is ambitious and rich in content, which has aroused the positive response of various governments.Countries along the route have different resource endowments and can complement each other in many ways. This cooperation will open up boundless potential.Trade and investment cooperation between China and other countries along Belt and Road will contribute to the prosperity of cities and the development of local economy.The interconnection with the neighboring countries can form a new pattern of all-around opening, and the two sides can cooperate to explore new economic growth points, optimize the allocation of national resources, and realize the simultaneous development of regional economy and society.The state points out that the cooperation between the countries along Belt and Road and China should have the characteristics of policy communication, facilities connection, smooth trade, capital financing, and mutual understanding among the people.In recent years, the development of "Belt and Road" cooperation construction has just begun to start and has made certain achievements. Therefore, the current situation of connectivity between the countries along the route and China is a problem worth studying and can be considered for the government.The enterprise cooperation decision provides the reference and the suggestion.In light of the current development situation of "Belt and Road" and in response to the call for the development of national connectivity, five sample countries were selected from 64 countries along the "Belt and Road" route by using the quota sampling method, including Russia, Singapore, and the United Arab Emirates.Kazakhstan and Pakistan.And set up policy communication, facilities connection, trade smooth, funds financing, the people's hearts and minds of the "five links" as the evaluation of the degree of connectivity index.Combined with a large number of literature reading and the national government's speech report, the paper advocates the final determination of 15 secondary indicators, 40 third-level indicators.According to the establishment of evaluation index system of interconnection and the complexity and relativity of obtaining data, the advantages and disadvantages of traditional evaluation methods, such as principal component analysis, factor analysis, cluster analysis, expert evaluation and entropy weight, are compared.Finally, entropy weight method is chosen to analyze and process the data.Firstly, the obtained data is processed by dimensionless standardization, and then the five countries' data are weighted by entropy weight method according to the information quantity of discrete value, and finally the comprehensive evaluation value of the interconnection of five samples is calculated.And carries on the multi-directional sorting analysis and comparison to it.Among the five sample countries, Russia and Singapore have a high degree of connectivity with China, while the UAE has a moderate degree, while Kazakhstan and Pakistan have a relatively low degree of connectivity with China, which needs to be strengthened.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:東華大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:F125
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