本文選題：人民幣匯率　切入點：國際收支　出處：《哈爾濱商業(yè)大學》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：自從人民幣在去年成為SDR的一份子之后,人民幣在國際上就逐漸成為了焦點,當然隨著亞投行和一帶一路的發(fā)展,更是促進了我國與國外的經(jīng)濟和政治上的往來,匯率也成為了衡量我國人民幣價值的一個指標,也就是說匯率的變動對于我國與國外的貿(mào)易都產(chǎn)生了很重要的影響,在國際收支上也成為了一個很關鍵的因素。近年來,很多學者也對人民幣匯率的變動對國際收支的影響進行研究,但他們主要把對外貿(mào)易等同于國際收支,而忽略了對外商投資的影響,為了提高本文研究的實際意義,首先不僅從質(zhì)上進行分析,而且通過建立模型的形式進行量的分析,為了使數(shù)據(jù)更加具有準確性,在數(shù)據(jù)的選擇上要求比較高,選取2008年到2016年第一季度的數(shù)據(jù)。具體內(nèi)容如下:(1)本文陳述了國內(nèi)外關于匯率的變動對國際貿(mào)易和FDI影響的研究進展。由于國際收支主要包括經(jīng)常項目和資本項目,而經(jīng)常項目主要包括國際貿(mào)易,資本項目主要對外直接投資(FDI)。(2)本文總結(jié)已有學者對國際收支相關理論基礎上,重要介紹了國際貿(mào)易和FDI的相關理論,例如供求理論、利率平價理論等。(3)通過分析國家外匯管理局的相關數(shù)據(jù),闡述了人民幣匯率與國際收支的相關性分析,以及國際收支的現(xiàn)狀,這一部分的分析也為了下面的實證分析做鋪墊。(4)對人民幣匯率變動對國際收支的影響進行實證分析,分別利用格蘭杰檢驗、協(xié)整分析等方法對各個變量之間的關系進行分析和研究。(5)通過在質(zhì)和量上進行分析它們之間的關系,再結(jié)合現(xiàn)實生活中的實際情況,進而提出采取何種措施和建議來達到國際收支的平衡。
[Abstract]:Since the yuan has become a part of SDR in the last year, the RMB is becoming the focus of course, with the development of the Asian investment bank and The Belt and Road, more is to promote the Chinese and foreign economic and political exchanges, the exchange rate has become a measure of China's RMB index value, also is said to have had a significant impact on trade exchange rate for China and other countries, in the balance of payments has become a very important factor. In recent years, many research scholars on the impact of RMB exchange rate changes on the international balance of payments, but they mainly to foreign trade is equivalent to the balance of payments, while ignoring the impact of foreign investment, in order to improve the practical significance of this study, first, not only from the qualitative analysis and quantity analysis through the establishment of model, in order to make the data more accurate And in the choice of data requirements are relatively high, from 2008 to the first quarter of 2016 data. The specific contents are as follows: (1) this paper describes the research progress of the effects of changes on the exchange rate at home and abroad on international trade and FDI. The international balance of payments including current account and capital account, while the current account includes international trade. Capital projects mainly foreign direct investment (FDI). (2) this paper summarizes the scholars of international payments on the basis of relevant theories, introduces the related theory of international trade and FDI, such as the theory of supply and demand, the interest rate parity theory. (3) through the relevant data analysis of the State Administration of foreign exchange, expounds the correlation analysis of RMB the exchange rate and the international balance of payments, as well as the current situation of international payments, this part also to pave the way for the following empirical analysis. (4) the empirical impact of RMB exchange rate on China's balance of payments 鍒嗘瀽,鍒嗗埆鍒╃敤鏍煎叞鏉版楠，

本文編號：1607597