貿(mào)易便利化對(duì)“一帶一路”經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊經(jīng)濟(jì)效益的影響
本文選題:“一帶一路”經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊 切入點(diǎn):貿(mào)易便利化 出處:《國際貿(mào)易經(jīng)濟(jì)合作研究院》2017年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:貿(mào)易便利化是“一帶一路”經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊建設(shè)的重點(diǎn)領(lǐng)域,也是世界貿(mào)易組織推進(jìn)多邊貿(mào)易談判的重要議題,對(duì)于提升全球以及各國貿(mào)易規(guī)模、拉動(dòng)全球經(jīng)濟(jì)增長有重大意義!耙粠б宦贰苯ㄔO(shè)的重要方向是打造六大經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊,即中蒙俄經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊、中國-中亞-西亞經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊、中國-中南半島經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊、新亞歐大陸橋經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊、中巴經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊、孟中印緬經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊。這六條經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊共涵蓋23個(gè)國家,經(jīng)濟(jì)總量與雙邊貿(mào)易額在全世界占比均達(dá)到1/3左右,然而,大多數(shù)國家的貿(mào)易便利化程度偏低,根據(jù)《全球貿(mào)易促進(jìn)報(bào)告2016》六大經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊沿線國家中80%以上國家的海關(guān)程序指標(biāo)處于全球中下水平,而影響海關(guān)程序指標(biāo)的重要因素是通關(guān)時(shí)間,因此加強(qiáng)海關(guān)程序方面政策協(xié)調(diào)將成為未來推進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊貿(mào)易便利化的重點(diǎn)。本文在新古典經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)指導(dǎo)下,運(yùn)用可計(jì)算的一般均衡模型分析貿(mào)易便利化對(duì)“一帶一路”經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊經(jīng)濟(jì)效益的影響,該模型得到了世界范圍內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)界的認(rèn)可,是對(duì)“一帶一路”經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊推進(jìn)貿(mào)易便利化這一課題的積極探索,能夠從學(xué)理上證明其可行性。本文也緊扣目前國內(nèi)熱點(diǎn)經(jīng)貿(mào)問題,以鐵路聯(lián)通而形成的經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊為基礎(chǔ),分別分析促進(jìn)貿(mào)易便利化對(duì)各條經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊的影響,并對(duì)各條經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊的成本收益進(jìn)行對(duì)比,從而優(yōu)選出經(jīng)濟(jì)效益相對(duì)高的經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊,以便為“一帶一路”經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊建設(shè)提出政策選擇和比較準(zhǔn)確的決策建議。文章首先對(duì)貿(mào)易便利化的理論淵源進(jìn)行梳理,從理論的角度詮釋其對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的積極影響。目前,各種非關(guān)稅壁壘造成的交易成本占比較大,但難以估算,是阻礙國際貿(mào)易發(fā)展的一塊隱形的絆腳石,本文利用世界經(jīng)濟(jì)論壇的《全球貿(mào)易促進(jìn)報(bào)告2016》與《全球競爭力報(bào)告2016-2017》對(duì)各國海關(guān)現(xiàn)存問題進(jìn)行分析,從海關(guān)程序負(fù)擔(dān)、海關(guān)服務(wù)指數(shù)等5個(gè)分項(xiàng)對(duì)23個(gè)國家進(jìn)行詳細(xì)考察,并對(duì)海關(guān)通關(guān)時(shí)間進(jìn)行分解,得出結(jié)論:單證合規(guī)、邊界合規(guī)時(shí)間占比較高。本文采用全球貿(mào)易一般均衡模型(GTAP)深入分析降低通關(guān)時(shí)間的貿(mào)易便利化政策對(duì)各國經(jīng)濟(jì)效益的影響。模型結(jié)論表明,降低通關(guān)時(shí)間顯著促進(jìn)了各經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊沿線國家的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(低、中、高貿(mào)易便利化方案下分別增長7.91%、16.41%、28.70%),提高了雙邊貿(mào)易額(低、中、高貿(mào)易便利化方案下進(jìn)口分別增長14.37%、30.36%、54.43%;出口分別增長6.46%、13.54%、24.03%)與社會(huì)福利(低、中、高貿(mào)易便利化方案下分別增長284.68億美元、600.77億美元、1075.12億美元)。在推進(jìn)貿(mào)易便利化過程中,中國-中亞-西亞經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊獲益最大,其各項(xiàng)經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)改善狀況位列所有經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊之首,成本收益比最佳,孟中印緬經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊、中蒙俄經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊次之,中巴經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊、新亞歐大陸橋的成本收益比相對(duì)略低。為了推進(jìn)“一帶一路”經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊貿(mào)易便利化,建議:第一,推進(jìn)貿(mào)易便利化是一個(gè)相對(duì)長期的過程,各方應(yīng)確立近期、中期和遠(yuǎn)期發(fā)展目標(biāo),制定有針對(duì)性的措施。第二,各國應(yīng)以《貿(mào)易便利化協(xié)定》為依據(jù)制定本國的貿(mào)易便利化措施,在此基礎(chǔ)上實(shí)現(xiàn)各國措施的有效對(duì)接。第三,“一帶一路”經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊貿(mào)易便利化主要方向是簡化海關(guān)程序,縮短通關(guān)時(shí)間,包括完善海關(guān)環(huán)節(jié)的硬件設(shè)施、優(yōu)化海關(guān)管理制度、提高海關(guān)人員的素質(zhì)。積極探索“一帶一路”經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊貿(mào)易便利化新模式,例如建立電子信息平臺(tái),推行無紙化模式,使用標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化電子單證;打造“一站式平臺(tái)”,依托互聯(lián)網(wǎng)辦理企業(yè)的檢驗(yàn)檢疫業(yè)務(wù);簡化海關(guān)檢驗(yàn)手續(xù),優(yōu)化審批流程。第四,推廣中國貿(mào)易便利化的模式和經(jīng)驗(yàn)。例如,福建自由貿(mào)易試驗(yàn)區(qū)的檢驗(yàn)檢疫“源頭管理、口岸驗(yàn)放”快速通關(guān)模式、廣東省自由貿(mào)易試驗(yàn)區(qū)的“單一窗口”建設(shè)等。
[Abstract]:Trade facilitation is the key areas of The Belt and Road economic corridor construction, is also the world trade organization to promote an important topic of multilateral trade negotiations, for the promotion of global and national trade scale, is of great significance to promote global economic growth. "The Belt and Road construction the important direction is to create six economic corridors, namely, Mongolia and Russia the economic corridor, Chinese - Asia - West Economic Corridor, Chinese - Indochina economic corridor, the economic corridor of the new Eurasian Continental Bridge, Pakistan Economic Corridor BCIM economic corridor. The six economic corridors covering a total of 23 countries, the total economy and the bilateral trade volume in the world accounted for about 1/3, however. Trade facilitation level in most countries is low, according to the promotion of international trade customs procedures index report 2016> six economic corridors along the country in more than 80% countries in the world in the horizontal, and the shadow An important factor influencing index is the customs procedures of customs clearance, customs procedures so to strengthen policy coordination will become the future focus on promoting economic corridor trade facilitation. Based on the new classical economics under the guidance of the computable general equilibrium model analysis of the impact of trade facilitation on the "The Belt and Road economic corridor of economic benefits, the model the world economics is recognized, to actively explore the The Belt and Road economic corridor to promote trade facilitation of this topic, to prove its feasibility in theory. This paper is also closely linked to the domestic hot economic and trade issues, the railway Unicom formed economic corridor as the foundation, to promote trade analysis facilitation effect on each economic corridor, and compare the benefits and costs of the economic corridor, so as to optimize the economic benefits of a relatively high economic corridor, in order to The decision suggested policy choice for the "The Belt and Road economic corridor construction and more accurate. Firstly, the theoretical origin of trade facilitation and makes an interpretation of the positive impact on the economy from the perspective of theory. At present, all kinds of non - tariff barriers caused by the transaction costs accounted for relatively large, but it is difficult to estimate, is a invisible obstacles to the development of international trade, the world economic forum's Global trade promotion report 2016> and < < the global competitiveness report 2016-2017> to analyze the existing problems of national customs, customs procedures from the customs service burden, 5 sub index are investigated in 23 countries, and the customs clearance time of decomposition. Conclusion: the document of compliance, compliance time boundary is relatively high. This paper uses the general equilibrium model (GTAP) analysis to reduce trade facilitation political clearance time Influence of policy on the economic benefits of the countries. The results of the model show that reduced clearance time significantly promoted the economic corridor along the country's economic growth (low, high, trade facilitation schemes were increased by 7.91%, 16.41%, 28.70%), improve the bilateral trade volume (low, high, trade facilitation program imports respectively. An increase of 14.37%, 30.36%, 54.43% respectively; the export growth of 6.46%, 13.54%, 24.03%) and social welfare (low, high, trade facilitation schemes respectively increase of $28 billion 468 million, $60 billion 77 million, $107 billion 512 million). In the promotion of trade facilitation in the process of Chinese - Asia - West Economic Corridor most benefit, economic indexes to improve the situation in all the economic corridor of the first, cost income ratio and the economic corridor BCIM economic corridor, Mongolia and Russia in the second, Pakistan Economic Corridor, costs and benefits of the new Eurasian Continental Bridge is slightly lower than the relative. In order to promote" The Belt and Road economic corridor of trade facilitation recommendations: first, to promote trade facilitation is a relatively long process, the parties should be established recently, medium-term and long-term development goals, to develop targeted measures. Second, countries should be based on "trade facilitation agreement" as the basis of trade facilitation measures for the country the implementation of effective docking national measures on this basis. Third, "The Belt and Road economic corridor of trade facilitation is the main direction of the simplification of customs procedures, improve customs clearance time shortened, including link hardware facilities, optimize the customs management system, improve the quality of personnel. Actively explore the" The Belt and Road economic corridor the new mode of trade facilitation, such as the establishment of electronic information platform, implementation of paperless mode, the use of standardized electronic documents; to create a one-stop platform, relying on the Internet for the inspection and quarantine business enterprise; Simplify the procedures of customs inspection, the approval process optimization. Fourth, promote the China trade facilitation model and experience. For example, the source management of inspection and Quarantine "Fujian Free Trade Zone, port clearance, customs clearance mode, Guangdong Free Trade Zone, the construction of" single window ".
【學(xué)位授予單位】:國際貿(mào)易經(jīng)濟(jì)合作研究院
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:F742
【參考文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條
1 劉俊;張亞斌;;絲綢之路經(jīng)濟(jì)帶貿(mào)易便利化時(shí)空差異及其貿(mào)易效應(yīng)——基于空間引力模型的實(shí)證研究[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)問題探索;2016年10期
2 譚晶榮;華曦;;貿(mào)易便利化對(duì)中國農(nóng)產(chǎn)品出口的影響研究——基于絲綢之路沿線國家的實(shí)證分析[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2016年05期
3 何劍;王小康;;中亞周邊國家貿(mào)易便利化對(duì)中國出口貿(mào)易的影響[J];商業(yè)研究;2016年05期
4 夏春光;;“一帶一路”沿線國家貿(mào)易便利化水平對(duì)中國出口影響的實(shí)證分析[J];海南金融;2016年05期
5 周巖;陳淑梅;;21世紀(jì)海上絲綢之路貿(mào)易自由化和便利化的經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)分析[J];亞太經(jīng)濟(jì);2016年01期
6 譚晶榮;潘華曦;;貿(mào)易便利化研究文獻(xiàn)綜述[J];經(jīng)營與管理;2015年12期
7 孔慶峰;董虹蔚;;“一帶一路”國家的貿(mào)易便利化水平測算與貿(mào)易潛力研究[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2015年12期
8 汪潔;全毅;;21世紀(jì)海上絲綢之路貿(mào)易便利化研究[J];國際商務(wù)(對(duì)外經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào));2015年06期
9 楊軍;黃潔;洪俊杰;董婉璐;;貿(mào)易便利化對(duì)中國經(jīng)濟(jì)影響分析[J];國際貿(mào)易問題;2015年09期
10 王彥芳;;“一帶一路”背景下貿(mào)易便利化水平及影響因素——以中國與19個(gè)主要貿(mào)易伙伴國為例[J];新疆農(nóng)墾經(jīng)濟(jì);2015年08期
,本文編號(hào):1601504
本文鏈接:http://sikaile.net/shekelunwen/ydyl/1601504.html