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經(jīng)濟(jì)制度視角下我國(guó)對(duì)東盟直接投資的區(qū)位選擇研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-06 19:46

  本文選題:東盟 切入點(diǎn):經(jīng)濟(jì)制度 出處:《西南大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文


【摘要】:隨著全球經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的興起,國(guó)際直接投資呈現(xiàn)出快速發(fā)展的態(tài)勢(shì)。改革開(kāi)放以來(lái),中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)得到了迅速的發(fā)展,經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力不斷提高,跟隨經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化的潮流,中國(guó)政府先后貫徹實(shí)施“走出去”和“一帶一路”發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略,鼓勵(lì)有能力和有條件的企業(yè)對(duì)外直接投資。近年來(lái),我國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資取得了很好的成績(jī)。2016年我國(guó)境內(nèi)投資者向境外7961家企業(yè)進(jìn)行了非金融直接投資,共涉足全球164個(gè)國(guó)家或地區(qū),實(shí)現(xiàn)對(duì)外投資額高達(dá)1701.1億美元,同比增長(zhǎng)44.1%。中國(guó)日益崛起,如今中國(guó)已成為世界第二投資國(guó),意味著中國(guó)資本布局全球新時(shí)代的到來(lái),成為全球投資市場(chǎng)強(qiáng)大的力量。自2010年中國(guó)—東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)(CAFTA)正式成立,極大地促進(jìn)了雙方經(jīng)貿(mào)往來(lái),為中國(guó)企業(yè)在東盟直接投資提供了無(wú)限機(jī)遇,推動(dòng)中國(guó)對(duì)東盟直接投資的發(fā)展。2015年,我國(guó)對(duì)東盟直接投資增長(zhǎng)速度飛快,投資流量首次突破百億美元達(dá)到146.04億美元,同比增長(zhǎng)87%;投資國(guó)別分布多變,對(duì)新加坡的投資又創(chuàng)新高;投資領(lǐng)域不斷擴(kuò)展,行業(yè)遍布東盟各國(guó);投資主體趨于多元化,更多民營(yíng)企業(yè)走出國(guó)門(mén)。2016年,是中國(guó)與東盟建立對(duì)話關(guān)系25周年,處于雙方合作的“鉆石十年”期間,伴隨著政府展開(kāi)的“一帶一路”發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略,我國(guó)對(duì)東盟直接投資正面臨史上絕無(wú)的機(jī)遇。但是,在飛速發(fā)展的同時(shí),我國(guó)對(duì)東盟直接投資存在一些問(wèn)題:存在國(guó)別差異、行業(yè)分布不均、總體規(guī)模較小、占我國(guó)總體比率低等,制約著投資的進(jìn)一步發(fā)展,亟待解決。本文利用中國(guó)對(duì)外直接投資數(shù)據(jù)庫(kù)2003-2015年?yáng)|盟國(guó)家的面板數(shù)據(jù),基于經(jīng)濟(jì)制度視角,運(yùn)用萬(wàn)有引力模型考察東盟經(jīng)濟(jì)制度對(duì)我國(guó)對(duì)其直接投資的影響,實(shí)證結(jié)果表明有顯著的影響。其中反腐制度、營(yíng)商制度、貿(mào)易制度、投資制度、金融制度對(duì)我國(guó)對(duì)東盟直接投資規(guī)模有正向的影響:東盟國(guó)家嚴(yán)格的經(jīng)濟(jì)法規(guī),良好的營(yíng)商環(huán)境,開(kāi)放的投資市場(chǎng)為我國(guó)跨國(guó)企業(yè)生產(chǎn)和發(fā)展提供良好的經(jīng)營(yíng)環(huán)境,從而擴(kuò)大了投資規(guī)模;政府控制支出制度有負(fù)向的影響:政府支出促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng),給我國(guó)帶來(lái)投資的機(jī)遇;貨幣制度的影響不顯著:東道國(guó)貨幣制度不是我國(guó)對(duì)東盟國(guó)家投資的主要考慮因素。本文還采用Hendry“一般到特殊”的逐步回歸分析法,比較經(jīng)濟(jì)子制度對(duì)我國(guó)對(duì)東盟直接投資影響程度的強(qiáng)弱,其中影響最強(qiáng)的是政府控制支出制度,隨后依次是反腐敗制度、金融制度、營(yíng)商制度、貿(mào)易制度、投資制度、貨幣制度。最后根據(jù)研究結(jié)果提出本文的建議,政府層面:構(gòu)建對(duì)東盟投資的信息服務(wù)體系,加強(qiáng)中國(guó)與東盟的友好合作關(guān)系,大力支持東盟共同體的發(fā)展建設(shè),加強(qiáng)與建立跨國(guó)企業(yè)的保障制度;企業(yè)層面:系統(tǒng)調(diào)查東盟經(jīng)濟(jì)制度與市場(chǎng),加強(qiáng)和東盟華商、華人的合作,投資東盟國(guó)家與領(lǐng)域要多元化,健全跨國(guó)企業(yè)制度和管理體系。
[Abstract]:With the rise of global economic integration and regional economic integration, international direct investment (FDI) has shown a rapid development trend. Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has been developing rapidly, and its economic strength has been continuously improved. Following the trend of economic globalization, the Chinese government has successively implemented the development strategy of "going out" and "Belt and Road" to encourage foreign direct investment of competent and qualified enterprises. In 2016, China's domestic investors made non-financial direct investment to 7961 enterprises overseas, and they set foot in 164 countries or regions in the world, with a total of US $170.11 billion in foreign investment. China has become the second largest investor in the world, meaning a new era of global capital distribution in China. It has become a powerful force in the global investment market. Since the establishment of CAFTAA in 2010, it has greatly promoted economic and trade exchanges between the two sides and provided unlimited opportunities for Chinese enterprises to invest directly in ASEAN. In 2015, China's direct investment in ASEAN grew at a rapid rate, with investment flows reaching fourteen billion six hundred and four million US dollars for the first time, an increase of 87 percent over the same period last year. The investment in Singapore has reached a new high; the investment field is constantly expanding and the industries are spread across ASEAN countries; the investors tend to diversify and more private enterprises go abroad. 2016 marks the 25th anniversary of the establishment of dialogue relations between China and ASEAN. During the "Diamond decade" of bilateral cooperation, along with the development strategy of "Belt and Road" launched by the government, China's direct investment in ASEAN is facing unprecedented opportunities in history. There are some problems in China's direct investment in ASEAN: there are country differences, uneven distribution of industries, small overall scale and low proportion in China, which restricts the further development of investment. In this paper, the panel data of ASEAN countries from 2003-2015 are used to study the influence of ASEAN economic system on China's direct investment in ASEAN, based on the perspective of economic system, and the gravity model is used to investigate the impact of ASEAN economic system on China's direct investment. The empirical results show that there is a significant impact. Among them, anti-corruption system, business system, trade system, investment system and financial system have a positive impact on the scale of China's direct investment in ASEAN: strict economic laws and regulations of ASEAN countries, A good business environment, an open investment market provides a good business environment for the production and development of multinational enterprises in our country, thus expanding the scale of investment; the government expenditure control system has a negative impact: government expenditure promotes economic growth, The influence of the monetary system is not significant: the host country's monetary system is not the main consideration factor of China's investment in ASEAN countries. This paper also adopts the stepwise regression analysis method of Hendry "General to Special". The comparative economic sub-system has a strong and weak impact on China's direct investment in ASEAN, among which the most influential is the government-controlled expenditure system, followed by the anti-corruption system, the financial system, the business system, the trade system, and the investment system. Finally, according to the results of the study, the paper puts forward some suggestions, government level: to build an information service system for investment in ASEAN, to strengthen the friendly and cooperative relations between China and ASEAN, and to vigorously support the development and construction of ASEAN Community. Strengthen and establish the safeguard system of multinational enterprises; Enterprise level: systematic investigation of ASEAN economic system and market, strengthening cooperation with ASEAN Chinese businessmen and Chinese, diversification of investment in ASEAN countries and fields, improvement of multinational enterprise system and management system.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:西南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:F832.6

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