本文選題：農(nóng)民工 + 家庭分離　； 參考：《清華大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：家庭是消費市場上的主要單元，其組成形態(tài)影響著家庭消費決策。來自農(nóng)村的流動人口特殊的身份以及家庭分離的遷移模式，使得其家庭消費同時面臨跨時與跨地的選擇，形成一種對其家庭務(wù)工所得報酬和收入的獨特配置方式，并因其對流入地與流出地帶來的經(jīng)濟社會影響而引起廣泛的社會關(guān)注。對于農(nóng)民工家庭，家庭消費的決策已不能簡單地由經(jīng)典的消費理論與概念來回答，不同的家庭遷移模式成為探索家庭消費選擇更為關(guān)鍵和更具有現(xiàn)實意義的問題。在對農(nóng)民工家庭消費選擇的探討中，本文提出應(yīng)以家庭生命周期的動態(tài)視角來考察家庭分離的影響在不同家庭階段的體現(xiàn)，并通過對消費、儲蓄、匯款三種消費選擇行為的結(jié)構(gòu)性分析探討農(nóng)民工家庭經(jīng)濟資源整體配置策略和跨時、跨地選擇背后的動機。 基于此，本文利用2010年下本年國家人口與計劃生育委員會開展的“全國流動人口動態(tài)監(jiān)測調(diào)查”中的六城市農(nóng)民工家庭調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù)和本地戶籍家庭對比調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù)，通過對農(nóng)民工的消費傾向、儲蓄與匯款意愿、儲蓄與匯款傾向指標分別建構(gòu)OLS、LOGIT、TOBIT模型，考察了家庭分離對農(nóng)民工消費選擇結(jié)構(gòu)的影響以及在不同家庭生命周期階段的差異。分析結(jié)果表明，農(nóng)民工家庭在本地消費傾向不僅低于本地戶籍城鎮(zhèn)家庭，也低于本地戶籍農(nóng)村家庭，且具有明顯的代際差異，新生代農(nóng)民工家庭尤其是單身獨自外出的農(nóng)民工在跨時選擇上更傾向于消費，而老生代農(nóng)民工家庭更傾向于儲蓄。家庭分離對農(nóng)民工家庭消費選擇的影響體現(xiàn)在農(nóng)民工家庭的各個階段，年輕農(nóng)民工與父母的分離，已婚農(nóng)民工與配偶的分離，農(nóng)民工與幼兒期、教育期及成年子女的分離使得家庭在本地表現(xiàn)出更低的消費傾向、更高的匯款意愿以及匯款傾向。對于新生代農(nóng)民工，團聚家庭基于本地延期性消費動機，具有更高的儲蓄意愿和儲蓄傾向，而老生代農(nóng)民工則相反，分離家庭基于在老家延期性消費動機，具有更高的儲蓄意愿和儲蓄傾向。在消費選擇結(jié)構(gòu)上，，老生代農(nóng)民工家庭在儲蓄與匯款上具有目標一致性，且都與回老家養(yǎng)老意愿、家庭規(guī)模呈正相關(guān)關(guān)系，其儲蓄行為主要是為了預(yù)防家人在老家未來生活風險，在匯款行為上則體現(xiàn)了利他、利己動機的結(jié)合。而新生代農(nóng)民工的儲蓄在目標上與本地消費更加親和，且都與在本地長期發(fā)展意愿和社會保障程度呈正相關(guān)關(guān)系，其儲蓄行為更多地源自預(yù)防家人在本地未來生活風險考慮，在匯款上體現(xiàn)了利他、利己與共同保險動機的結(jié)合。
[Abstract]:Family is the main unit in the consumer market. The special status of the floating population from rural areas and the migration mode of family separation make the family consumption face the choice of time and place at the same time, and form a unique way to allocate the remuneration and income of the family workers. And because of its economic and social impact on the inflow and outflow caused widespread social concern. For peasant workers' families, family consumption decision can not be simply answered by the classical consumption theory and concept. Different family migration patterns become more critical and more practical to explore the choice of family consumption. In the discussion of the choice of peasant workers' household consumption, this paper puts forward that the influence of family separation should be examined from the dynamic perspective of family life cycle in different family stages, and through the consumption, savings, Structural Analysis of three kinds of consumption Choice behavior of remittances; the overall allocation strategy of economic resources of peasant workers' families and the motivation behind cross-location choice. Based on this, this paper makes use of the survey data of migrant workers' families in six cities and the comparative survey data of local household registration in the National population and Family Planning Commission's National Survey of floating population Dynamics conducted by the National population and Family Planning Commission in 2010. Through the construction of OLSLOGITITTOBIT model on the consumption tendency, saving and remittance intention, saving and remittance propensity index of migrant workers, this paper investigates the influence of family separation on the consumption choice structure of migrant workers and the differences in different family life cycle stages. The results show that the local consumption tendency of migrant workers is not only lower than that of urban households, but also lower than that of rural households, and there are significant intergenerational differences. The new generation of migrant workers especially those who go out alone are more inclined to consume in the intertemporal choice while the families of the old generation are more inclined to save. The impact of family separation on the consumption choice of migrant workers is reflected in the separation of young migrant workers from their parents, the separation of married migrant workers from their spouses, and the separation of migrant workers and young children. Education and the separation of adult children have led families to show a lower propensity to spend money, higher willingness to send money and a tendency to remit money locally. For the new generation of migrant workers, the family reunion based on the local deferred consumption motivation, with a higher savings willingness and savings tendency, while the older generation migrant workers on the contrary, separated families based on deferred consumption motivation in their hometown, A higher willingness to save and a propensity to save. In terms of consumption choice structure, the families of migrant workers in old generation have the same goal in saving and remittance, and both have positive correlation with the will to go back to their hometown for the aged, and the family size. Its saving behavior is mainly to prevent the family from living in the future risk in home, and the remittance behavior reflects the combination of altruism and egoism. The savings of the new generation of migrant workers are more compatible with local consumption in the goal, and both have positive correlation with the long-term development will and the degree of social security in the local, their savings behavior is more derived from the prevention of family life in the future risk considerations. In the remittance reflects altruism, self-interest and the combination of co-insurance motivation.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：清華大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：C913.1;C913.3;D412.6

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