【摘要】：本文從政府和個(gè)人社會保障支出兩個(gè)維度構(gòu)建了社會保障消費(fèi)升級效應(yīng)的理論分析框架,并運(yùn)用面板門檻模型對該效應(yīng)及其異質(zhì)性進(jìn)行實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)。對2003—2015年我國省域城鎮(zhèn)居民樣本分析的結(jié)果表明:(1)總體上看,廣義的社會保障財(cái)政投入有利于城鎮(zhèn)居民擴(kuò)大和升級消費(fèi)需求,而政府社會保障支出對中高收入城鎮(zhèn)居民的消費(fèi)升級效應(yīng)明顯,但對低收入居民消費(fèi)升級的影響不顯著;(2)個(gè)人社會保障支出對高收入城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)升級具有促進(jìn)作用,而對中低收入居民消費(fèi)升級形成抑制。隨著居民收入水平提高,社會保障對城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)升級的影響將從抑制躍遷為促進(jìn)。
[Abstract]:This paper constructs the theoretical analysis framework of the social security consumption escalation effect from the two dimensions of government and individual social security expenditure, and uses the panel threshold model to empirically test the effect and its heterogeneity. The results of the sample analysis of urban residents in China from 2003 to 2015 show that: (1) on the whole, the broad financial input of social security is beneficial to expand and upgrade the consumption demand of urban residents. However, the social security expenditure of government has obvious effect on the consumption upgrading of middle and high income urban residents, but it has no significant effect on the consumption upgrading of low-income residents. (2) personal social security expenditure can promote the consumption upgrading of high income urban residents. And the consumption of low-and middle-income residents to increase the form of suppression. With the increase of income level, the influence of social security on urban residents' consumption upgrade will change from restraining to promoting.
【作者單位】： 西南大學(xué)政治與公共管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：重慶市社會科學(xué)規(guī)劃重大應(yīng)用項(xiàng)目“基于社會保障的重慶農(nóng)村深度脫貧路徑與策略研究”(2017ZDYY27) 西南大學(xué)政治與公共管理學(xué)院中青年教師科研基金項(xiàng)目“西部農(nóng)村居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)升級的供給約束研究”
【分類號】：D632.1;F126

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本文編號：2204438