本文選題：農村社保支出　切入點：吉芬陷進　出處：《社會保障研究》2015年04期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：本文就農村社會保障支出與農村居民消費之間的關系,構建面板門限模型進行實證分析,發(fā)現農村社保支出與農村居民消費并不是呈現簡單的線性相關關系。因為,在農村社保強度較低的時候,農村社保支出并不會增加農村居民消費,從而使得社會保障支出進入"吉芬陷進";只有當農村社保支出持續(xù)增加并超過某一臨界值時,農村社保支出對于消費的貢獻程度才會發(fā)生躍遷,呈現正向相關關系。因此,政府對于農村社保的消費效應持有較為長遠的眼光,持續(xù)投入、逐步完善,才能激發(fā)農村居民的消費。
[Abstract]:Based on the empirical analysis of the relationship between rural social security expenditure and rural residents' consumption, this paper constructs a panel threshold model and finds that the relationship between rural social security expenditure and rural residents' consumption is not a simple linear correlation. When the intensity of rural social security is low, rural social security spending does not increase rural residents' consumption, thus making social security expenditure "Jifen trap"; only when rural social security expenditure continues to increase and exceed a certain threshold, The contribution of rural social security expenditure to consumption will change, showing a positive correlation. Therefore, the government has a longer term view on the consumption effect of rural social security, continuously invested, and gradually improved. Can stimulate the consumption of rural residents.
【作者單位】： 中南財經政法大學統(tǒng)計與數學學院;
【分類號】：D632.1;F323.8
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本文編號：1587323