本文選題：城鎮(zhèn)化　切入點：新生代農(nóng)民工　出處：《長沙理工大學》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：隨著改革開放進程的不斷推進,社會經(jīng)濟突飛猛進,城鎮(zhèn)化水平全面提升。農(nóng)村剩余勞動力持續(xù)大規(guī)模向城市轉(zhuǎn)移,農(nóng)民工人口基數(shù)加大�；诖H更替,新生代農(nóng)民工成為建設(shè)國家、繁榮城市的主要推動力量,但現(xiàn)實情況是,新生代農(nóng)民工與老一代農(nóng)民工面臨相同的困境,在城市無法獲得基本居住權(quán),勞動強度與收入水平嚴重不匹配。住房問題作為關(guān)切民生的基本問題,直接關(guān)乎農(nóng)民工的生活質(zhì)量和社會政治活動,改善新生代農(nóng)民工住房狀況、促進新生代農(nóng)民工合理有序遷移,成為推動社會產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級、優(yōu)化調(diào)整社會群體利益格局、推進我國城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展的有效保證。另外,新生代農(nóng)民工作為住房消費市場中一支不可忽視的年輕力量,是拉動內(nèi)需促進國家經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的主要動力。新生代農(nóng)民工有著強烈的留城定居意愿,是最容易市民化的群體。換言之,研究這一群體住房消費特征,對于監(jiān)測流動人口遷移特征,激發(fā)新生代農(nóng)民工住房消費潛力,幫助完成新生代農(nóng)民工由農(nóng)業(yè)到非農(nóng)業(yè)身份的過渡有積極的意義。因此,本文以新生代農(nóng)民工為重點研究對象,以湖南省計生委流動人口動態(tài)監(jiān)測數(shù)據(jù)為基礎(chǔ),分析新生代農(nóng)民工住房消費現(xiàn)狀及存在的問題,再輔以湖南省地區(qū)實地調(diào)研數(shù)據(jù),建立Logit二元回歸模型,實證分析新生代農(nóng)民工住房消費影響因素,最后構(gòu)建提振新生代農(nóng)民工住房消費的政策模型和幫助愿景。本文研究結(jié)果表明,新生代農(nóng)民工住房消費影響因素錯綜復雜,相互交叉。收入、年齡、定居意愿……等,對新生代農(nóng)民工住房消費有顯著影響。與其他研究結(jié)論不同,實證發(fā)現(xiàn),住房公積金成為影響新生代農(nóng)民工住房消費的關(guān)鍵變量,進一步研究發(fā)現(xiàn),可能原因在于,一是新生代農(nóng)民工在城市的收入水平普遍不高,為避免不確定性事件風險,預防性儲蓄動機加強,完善的社會保障制度相當于給消費者帶來穩(wěn)定的預期收入,因而住房公積金帶來的財富效應大于收入效應；二是與老一代農(nóng)民工主要就職于勞動密集型建筑領(lǐng)域,流動性、短期性不同,新生代農(nóng)民工從事行業(yè)分散,呈現(xiàn)資本密集趨勢,工廠宿舍及單位私房成為獲取城市住房的主要模式,對包括住房公積金等在內(nèi)的住房保障政策有更高期待。筆者認為要改善農(nóng)民工住房消費狀況,提升農(nóng)民工住房消費能力,要從農(nóng)民工住房問題的根源出發(fā),首先深化戶籍制度改革,大膽沖破城鄉(xiāng)二元經(jīng)濟結(jié)構(gòu)束縛；其次要有步驟有目標完善我國住房保障制度,尤其是擴大我國住房公積金覆蓋面,順應農(nóng)民工留城定居意愿,規(guī)范農(nóng)民工住房市場；最后,要大力發(fā)揮企業(yè)的作用,加強企業(yè)對農(nóng)民工問題的責任意識。
[Abstract]:With the continuous progress of reform and opening up, the social economy is advancing by leaps and bounds, the level of urbanization has been comprehensively raised, the rural surplus labor force continues to be transferred to cities on a large scale, and the population base of migrant workers is enlarged. The new generation of migrant workers have become the main driving force for building a country and prosperous cities, but the reality is that the new generation of migrant workers and the old generation of migrant workers face the same predicament and cannot obtain the basic right of residence in the city. The housing problem, as a basic concern for people's livelihood, is directly related to the quality of life and social and political activities of migrant workers, and to improving the housing situation of the new generation of migrant workers. Promoting the rational and orderly migration of the new generation of migrant workers has become an effective guarantee to promote the upgrading of the social industrial structure, optimize and adjust the pattern of interests of social groups, and promote the development of urbanization in China. As a young force in the housing consumption market, the new generation of migrant workers is the main driving force to stimulate domestic demand and promote the national economic development. The new generation of migrant workers have a strong willingness to stay in the city and settle down. In other words, to study the housing consumption characteristics of this group, to monitor the migration characteristics of the floating population and to stimulate the housing consumption potential of the new generation of migrant workers, It is of positive significance to help complete the transition from agriculture to non-agricultural identity of the new generation of migrant workers. Therefore, this paper focuses on the new generation of migrant workers, based on the dynamic monitoring data of floating population of Hunan Provincial Family Planning Commission. This paper analyzes the current situation and existing problems of the housing consumption of the new generation of migrant workers, and then establishes the dual regression model of Logit with the field investigation data of Hunan Province, and empirically analyzes the influencing factors of the housing consumption of the new generation of migrant workers. Finally, we construct the policy model and help vision to boost the housing consumption of the new generation of migrant workers. The research results show that the influence factors of the housing consumption of the new generation of migrant workers are complex and intersecting, such as income, age, settlement willingness, etc. It has significant influence on the housing consumption of the new generation of migrant workers. Different from other research conclusions, it is found that housing accumulation fund is the key variable that affects the housing consumption of the new generation of migrant workers. First, the income level of the new generation of migrant workers in cities is generally not high. In order to avoid the risk of uncertain events, precautionary savings motives are strengthened, and a perfect social security system is equivalent to bringing stable expected income to consumers. Therefore, the wealth effect brought by the housing accumulation fund is greater than the income effect. Second, with the older generation of migrant workers mainly working in the labor-intensive construction field, different from the mobility and short-term nature, the new generation of migrant workers are engaged in scattered industries, showing a capital-intensive trend. Factory dormitories and private housing units have become the main mode of obtaining urban housing, and they have higher expectations for housing security policies, including housing provident funds. The author believes that the housing consumption situation of migrant workers should be improved and their housing consumption capacity should be enhanced. Starting from the root of the housing problem of migrant workers, first of all, we should deepen the reform of the household registration system and break through the constraints of the dual economic structure between urban and rural areas. Secondly, we should aim to improve our housing security system step by step, especially to expand the coverage of our country's housing accumulation fund. To comply with the willingness of migrant workers to stay in the city to settle down, regulate the housing market of migrant workers; finally, we should give full play to the role of enterprises, and strengthen the responsibility of enterprises to the problem of migrant workers.
【學位授予單位】：長沙理工大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F323.6;F323.8

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