【摘要】：本文根據(jù)2010年上半年由國家人口計生委組織的全國106個城市流動人口動態(tài)監(jiān)測調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù)中戶籍為農(nóng)業(yè)的人員信息,描述我國鄉(xiāng)-城流動人口居住、就業(yè)、戶籍三方面的轉(zhuǎn)移意愿情況；運用二元logistic回歸模型,研究鄉(xiāng)-城流動人口居住、就業(yè)、戶籍三方面轉(zhuǎn)移意愿的影響因素,再通過相關(guān)意愿與主要影響因素的交叉分析,探索鄉(xiāng)-城流動人口內(nèi)部各轉(zhuǎn)移意愿的分化情況。 研究發(fā)現(xiàn)：鄉(xiāng)-城流動人口愿意進城打工、在城市就業(yè)生活,但不愿意將自己的戶籍轉(zhuǎn)為非農(nóng)。他們不愿意轉(zhuǎn)變?yōu)榉寝r(nóng)業(yè)戶口的根本原因,在于保留承包地,并且其對城市戶口的評價不高,需求較弱,他們更愿意到省會城市等大城市去進城落戶,而愿意在中小城鎮(zhèn)非農(nóng)落戶的比例較小。愿意轉(zhuǎn)戶的鄉(xiāng)-城流動人口中,中青年者主要是為了能夠讓子女獲得較好的教育升學機會,年長者更多是想要獲得城市居民的社會保障福利。 受教育程度越高的鄉(xiāng)-城流動人口愿意轉(zhuǎn)非農(nóng)戶口的比例就越大；居留時間越長,愿意轉(zhuǎn)為非農(nóng)戶口的發(fā)生比就越大；戶籍地和流入地區(qū)經(jīng)濟越發(fā)達、城市環(huán)境越好,其鄉(xiāng)-城流動人口愿意轉(zhuǎn)戶的就越多；與土地聯(lián)系的越緊密,想轉(zhuǎn)非農(nóng)戶籍的意愿就越弱,而脫離土地越遠的,想轉(zhuǎn)非農(nóng)戶口的意愿就越強烈。 對于今后居住就業(yè)的選擇,鄉(xiāng)-城流動人口總體上回鄉(xiāng)就業(yè)意愿不強烈,多數(shù)人沒有打算回鄉(xiāng)就業(yè),如果今后買房建房,更多人愿意選擇在現(xiàn)流入地和戶籍地城鎮(zhèn)買房,打算回鄉(xiāng)就業(yè)的人多為想要回到戶籍地的縣市區(qū)或鄉(xiāng)鎮(zhèn)街道從事非農(nóng)職業(yè)。 年齡越小、受教育程度越高的鄉(xiāng)-城流動人口打算返鄉(xiāng)就業(yè)的比例就越大,且多傾向于從事非農(nóng)職業(yè),多打算在城鎮(zhèn)居住。在現(xiàn)流入地城市居住的時間越長,其返鄉(xiāng)就業(yè)的意愿就越弱；在流入地居住的時間越長,想在流入地買房的比例就越大,在城市居住的時間越短,想回戶籍地城鎮(zhèn)買房的比例就越大。戶籍地區(qū)域與流入地區(qū)域越發(fā)達的鄉(xiāng)-城流動人口返鄉(xiāng)就業(yè)意愿越弱。與土地聯(lián)系越緊密,返鄉(xiāng)就業(yè)意愿就越強,且返鄉(xiāng)打算務(wù)農(nóng)和在戶籍地農(nóng)村建房的比例就越大。
[Abstract]:Based on the information of agricultural personnel in the dynamic monitoring and survey data of 106 cities in China organized by the State population and Family Planning Commission in the first half of 2010, this paper describes the willingness to transfer the rural-urban floating population in China from three aspects: residence, employment and household registration. By using the binary logistic regression model, this paper studies the influencing factors of the transfer intention of the rural-urban floating population in three aspects: residence, employment and household registration, and then explores the differentiation of the transfer intention within the rural-urban floating population through the cross-analysis of the relevant will and the main influencing factors. The study found that the rural-urban floating population is willing to work in the city and live in the city, but is unwilling to convert their household registration to non-agriculture. The fundamental reason why they are unwilling to switch to non-agricultural hukou is to retain contracted land, and their evaluation of urban hukou is not high and the demand is weak. They prefer to go to big cities such as provincial capital cities to settle in cities, but are willing to settle in small and medium-sized towns. Among the rural-urban floating population who are willing to transfer households, the middle-aged and young people are mainly in order to get better educational opportunities for their children, and the elderly are more likely to get the social security benefits of urban residents. The higher the education level, the greater the proportion of rural-urban migrants willing to transfer to non-agricultural hukou; the longer the stay time, the greater the occurrence ratio of rural-urban floating population willing to be converted to non-agricultural hukou; the more developed the economy of domicile and inflow area, the better the urban environment, the more rural-urban floating population are willing to transfer to non-agricultural hukou, and the more rural-urban floating population is willing to transfer to non-agricultural hukou. The closer the relationship with the land, the weaker the willingness to transfer to non-agricultural household registration, and the farther away from the land, the stronger the willingness to switch to non-agricultural hukou. For the choice of residence and employment in the future, the rural-urban floating population generally does not have a strong willingness to return to their hometown for employment, and most people do not intend to go back to their hometowns for employment. If they buy houses and build houses in the future, more people are willing to choose to buy houses in the cities and towns where they are now living and domicile, and most of the people who plan to return to their hometowns for employment are engaged in non-agricultural occupations in the counties, cities, districts or township streets where they want to return to their domicile. The younger the age, the higher the proportion of rural-urban migrants who plan to return home for employment, and more tend to engage in non-agricultural occupations and more intend to live in cities and towns. The longer the living time in the current city, the weaker the willingness to return home for employment; the longer the time living in the displaced land, the greater the proportion of people who want to buy a house in the inflow land, and the shorter the time they live in the city, the greater the proportion of people who want to buy a house in the town where they want to go back to their domicile. The more developed rural-urban migrants are, the weaker their willingness to return to their homes for employment. The closer the relationship with land, the stronger the willingness to return to home for employment, and the greater the proportion of returning to agriculture and building houses in rural areas.
【學位授予單位】：華東師范大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2012
【分類號】：C924.2

【引證文獻】

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1 邱鴻博;趙衛(wèi)華;;社會分層視角下對農(nóng)民工落戶城鎮(zhèn)意愿的分析[J];南方農(nóng)村;2013年06期

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本文編號：2498535