【摘要】：本文利用北京市人口研究所2006和2008年對(duì)北京市城區(qū)和農(nóng)村地區(qū)獨(dú)生子女生育意愿調(diào)查的數(shù)據(jù),對(duì)北京城鄉(xiāng)獨(dú)生子女育齡人群及其父母在理想子女?dāng)?shù)、性別偏好和生育時(shí)間等生育意愿要素和影響因素作了比較研究,并運(yùn)用社會(huì)學(xué)相關(guān)理論進(jìn)行了分析解釋,力圖把握現(xiàn)代化和城市化進(jìn)程中城鄉(xiāng)獨(dú)生子女在生育觀念上的變化軌跡和發(fā)展趨勢(shì),并對(duì)北京市的生育政策的調(diào)整提出政策建議。 數(shù)據(jù)分析顯示：城鄉(xiāng)獨(dú)生子女無(wú)論在理想子女?dāng)?shù)、性別偏好和生育時(shí)間和間隔上都呈現(xiàn)高度的一致；在影響生育意愿的原因上,經(jīng)濟(jì)因素是最主要的原因,自身發(fā)展和社會(huì)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)壓力是他們不想多生育的主要考慮；傾向于要2孩的主要原因基本一致；在生育行為上,無(wú)論城鄉(xiāng),均以自主行為主,但農(nóng)村受到長(zhǎng)輩影響略大；城鄉(xiāng)獨(dú)生子女均對(duì)生育政策知曉程度很高；農(nóng)村獨(dú)生子女父母理想子女?dāng)?shù)以2孩為主,而城市獨(dú)生子女父母則呈現(xiàn)1孩、2孩并重,在性別偏好上基本趨同,男孩偏好淡化。 城鄉(xiāng)獨(dú)生子女的生育意愿發(fā)生了從傳統(tǒng)到現(xiàn)代的轉(zhuǎn)變,已呈現(xiàn)出較低的生育意愿,并且有持續(xù)走低的態(tài)勢(shì),適當(dāng)微調(diào)現(xiàn)行生育政策是可行的。
[Abstract]:Based on the data from Beijing population Research Institute in 2006 and 2008, the authors analyzed the ideal number of one-child childbearing age group and their parents in urban and rural areas of Beijing. This paper makes a comparative study on the factors and influencing factors of fertility intention such as gender preference and reproductive time, and makes an analysis and explanation with the relevant theories of sociology. This paper tries to grasp the changing track and development trend of the only child's fertility concept in urban and rural areas in the process of modernization and urbanization, and puts forward some policy suggestions on the adjustment of Beijing's fertility policy. The data analysis shows that the number of the only child in urban and rural areas is highly consistent in terms of ideal number of children, gender preference, birth time and interval; The economic factor is the most important reason, the main consideration is their own development and social competition pressure, the main reason that they tend to have 2 children is the same. In terms of fertility behavior, both urban and rural areas are mainly independent, but the rural areas are slightly affected by the elders, the only children in urban and rural areas are highly aware of the fertility policy; The ideal number of only child parents in rural areas was mainly 2 children, while the urban only child parents showed one child and two children with equal emphasis. The gender preference of the only child was similar and the boy preference was desalinated. The fertility intention of the only child in urban and rural areas has changed from tradition to modern, which has shown a low fertility intention, and has a trend of continuous decline. It is feasible to fine-tune the current fertility policy.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中共北京市委黨校
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2010
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：C924.2

【引證文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 王舒容;天津市人口發(fā)展趨勢(shì)預(yù)測(cè)[D];天津理工大學(xué);2013年

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本文編號(hào)：2412771