發(fā)布時間：2018-06-03 17:02

  本文選題：新生代農(nóng)民工 + 生育意愿　； 參考：《河北大學》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：新生代農(nóng)民工已經(jīng)成為外出農(nóng)民工的主體并且在整個經(jīng)濟社會中發(fā)揮著越來越大的影響。隨著我國城市化水平的不斷提升,新生代農(nóng)民工在城市的社會融合進程也在不斷加快。這個群體正處于婚育期,他們的生育狀況必然會對我國的生育水平產(chǎn)生影響,他們的生育意愿也在一定程度上能夠反映出我國當前全面二孩政策的政策目標。本文首先對新生代農(nóng)民工、生育意愿及生育意愿影響因素等進行文獻綜述,明確本文研究重點和理論支撐。其次,利用2014年全國流動人口衛(wèi)生計生動態(tài)監(jiān)測調(diào)查C卷數(shù)據(jù),通過對3058份已育一孩新生代農(nóng)民工樣本進行分析,從新生代農(nóng)民工二孩生育意愿的外顯結果即意愿生育數(shù)量和意愿生育時間角度出發(fā),發(fā)現(xiàn)已育一孩新生代農(nóng)民工具有較低的二孩生育意愿,僅有不足1/4新生代農(nóng)民工明確表示要生育二孩,只有1/3左右有意愿生育二孩打算的人口給出了明確的二孩計劃生育時間(明年、后年)。最后,新生代農(nóng)民工二孩生育意愿的內(nèi)在動機或者說導致二孩生育意愿形成的影響因素,分別從人口學因素、社會經(jīng)濟變量、不同生育政策和社會融合程度四大方面,對二孩生育意愿影響因素進行單因素和回歸分析。結果顯示二孩生育意愿受年齡、一孩性別、獨生屬性及生育政策有顯著影響,社會融合因素無顯著性意義�？傮w來看,新生代農(nóng)民工二孩生育意愿偏低,在二孩生育選擇過程中傾向多角度整體分析,多半已育一孩新生代農(nóng)民工二孩生育意愿處于謹慎考慮階段。
[Abstract]:The new generation of migrant workers have become the main body of migrant workers and play a more and more important role in the whole society. With the development of urbanization in China, the process of social integration of the new generation of migrant workers in the city is accelerating. This group is in the period of marriage and childbearing, their fertility situation will inevitably have an impact on the fertility level of our country, and their fertility will to some extent reflect the policy goal of our country's current comprehensive two-child policy. In this paper, the new generation of migrant workers, fertility will and fertility intention factors, such as literature review, clear the focus of this study and theoretical support. Secondly, by using the data of Volume C of the National Health and Family Planning Survey of the floating population in 2014, this paper analyzes 3058 samples of the new generation of migrant workers who have already given birth to one child. Starting from the explicit result of the new generation of migrant workers' desire to have a second child, that is, the number of willing to have children and the time of willing to give birth, it is found that the new generation of migrant workers with one child has a lower willingness to have a second child. Only less than a quarter of the new generation of migrant workers have made it clear that they want to have two children, and only about a third of the population who have the intention to have a second child has given a clear plan for a second child (next year, the year after that). Finally, the intrinsic motivation of the new generation of migrant workers' desire to have children or the influence factors that lead to the formation of the second child's desire are divided into four aspects: demographic factors, social and economic variables, different fertility policies and the degree of social integration. Single factor and regression analysis were used to analyze the influencing factors of the second child's desire to have children. The results showed that the desire to have children with two children was significantly affected by age, sex of one child, attributes of single child and fertility policy, but there was no significant difference in factors of social integration. On the whole, the desire of the second child of the new generation of migrant workers is low, and they tend to analyze the whole from many angles in the course of the choice of the second child, and most of them are at the stage of careful consideration in the stage of careful consideration of the desire to have the second child of the new generation of migrant workers.
【學位授予單位】：河北大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：C924.21

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本文編號：1973529