本文選題：湖北省 + 人口紅利��； 參考：《華中科技大學》2011年碩士論文

【摘要】：人口問題是一個國家社會經(jīng)濟發(fā)展過程中面臨的重要問題。人口與經(jīng)濟增長的關(guān)系不僅僅反映在人口總量或人口增長角度，其中由人口年齡結(jié)構(gòu)變動所產(chǎn)生的“人口紅利”效應(yīng)對一個國家或地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟增長具有重要影響。因此，如何充分利用人口紅利并發(fā)揮其效應(yīng)推動經(jīng)濟持續(xù)增長，是我國正在面臨的重大問題。 本文以“人口紅利”理論為基礎(chǔ)，，分析研究湖北省人口紅利的特征、存在問題以及對經(jīng)濟增長的作用，模型分析結(jié)果顯示：人口年齡結(jié)構(gòu)變動使勞動力數(shù)量增加，勞動參與率提高，從而對經(jīng)濟增長產(chǎn)生影響；不同年齡階段人口收入來源和用途有所差別，使得儲蓄及相應(yīng)行為有所差別，進而對經(jīng)濟增長產(chǎn)生影響；不同年齡人口的消費傾向、消費觀念、消費習慣都有所差別，因而整個社會的消費需求和消費結(jié)構(gòu)變動將對經(jīng)濟增長有所影響；農(nóng)村地區(qū)存在大量勞動年齡人口，這些豐富的勞動力資源大量流入城市，就能發(fā)揮勞動力要素重新配置的巨大效應(yīng)，對經(jīng)濟增長產(chǎn)生影響。上述結(jié)果驗證了人口年齡結(jié)構(gòu)變動所帶來的“人口紅利”從不同方面對湖北省經(jīng)濟增長起到了促進作用。 在肯定了湖北省人口紅利的積極作用的同時，也必須正視其存在的問題，因此從促進湖北省“人口紅利”效應(yīng)最大化的角度出發(fā)，本文還對湖北省目前在人口老齡化、勞動力整體素質(zhì)、農(nóng)村剩余勞動力等方面存在的問題進行了探討，并提出了相應(yīng)的對策措施，以延長人口紅利的時間，最大化人口紅利效應(yīng)。
[Abstract]:Population problem is an important problem in the process of social and economic development of a country. The relationship between population and economic growth is not only reflected in the total population or population growth, but also the "demographic dividend" effect caused by the change of population age structure has an important impact on the economic growth of a country or region. Therefore, how to make full use of the population dividend and give full play to its effect to promote sustained economic growth is a major problem that our country is facing. Based on the theory of "demographic dividend", this paper analyzes and studies the characteristics, existing problems and effects on economic growth of population dividend in Hubei Province. The results of model analysis show that the change of population age structure leads to the increase of labor force. The increase of labor force participation rate will have an impact on economic growth, and the difference of income sources and uses among different age groups will make savings and corresponding behaviors different, which will have an impact on economic growth. The consumption tendency, concept and habits of the population of different ages are different, so the changes of consumption demand and consumption structure of the whole society will have an impact on economic growth; there are a large number of working-age people in rural areas. If these abundant labor resources flow into cities in large quantities, they can exert the huge effect of labor factor reconfiguration and have an impact on economic growth. These results verify that the demographic dividend brought by the change of population age structure has promoted the economic growth of Hubei Province in different aspects. While affirming the positive role of the population dividend in Hubei Province, we must also face up to its existing problems. Therefore, from the point of view of promoting the maximization of the "demographic dividend" effect in Hubei Province, this paper also focuses on the aging of the population in Hubei Province at present. This paper probes into the problems existing in the whole quality of labor force and the surplus labor force in rural areas, and puts forward some corresponding countermeasures in order to prolong the time of population dividend and maximize the effect of population dividend.
【學位授予單位】：華中科技大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2011
【分類號】：F127;C924.24;F224

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