本文選題：新疆　切入點(diǎn)：地州　出處：《石河子大學(xué)》2011年碩士論文

【摘要】：目前新疆內(nèi)部各地州經(jīng)濟(jì)差距依然很大,而且存在繼續(xù)擴(kuò)大的趨勢,這違背了經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展的要求,也背離了全面建設(shè)和諧社會(huì)的要求。但即使是縮小地州之間的經(jīng)濟(jì)差距,也不能為了自身經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展而犧牲其他地州的利益,因此以地帶劃分的南、北、東疆合作發(fā)展的設(shè)想便應(yīng)運(yùn)而生,它力求南、北、東疆通過經(jīng)濟(jì)、要素、技術(shù)等多方面的合作達(dá)到互惠互利、實(shí)現(xiàn)雙贏的目的。論文以全區(qū)、南北東疆三大地帶和地州單元為研究的空間尺度,采用規(guī)范研究與實(shí)證研究相結(jié)合的方法,在計(jì)量和統(tǒng)計(jì)模型的支持下,從重要的經(jīng)濟(jì)要素——遷移勞動(dòng)力角度探討人口遷移與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的關(guān)系并給出相應(yīng)的政策建議,希望在十二五開局之際,新疆人口的遷移能變的更持久、更經(jīng)常,更有利于加強(qiáng)地州區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的均衡性。 論文介紹了選題背景和選題意義,對(duì)國外、國內(nèi)人口遷移理論及人口遷移研究成果進(jìn)行了回顧和總結(jié),說明了論文的研究思路及研究內(nèi)容框架,并在此前人口遷移研究的成果上,對(duì)人口遷移的概念作了相應(yīng)的界定,希望以此作為開展論文研究的學(xué)理起點(diǎn)。論文第一主體部分運(yùn)用協(xié)整分析和格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)得出新疆人口遷移是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的必要條件,主要是新疆快速的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長和城鎮(zhèn)較高的收入以及較多的就業(yè)機(jī)會(huì)吸引了大量農(nóng)村居民的轉(zhuǎn)移。論文第二主體部分分析了新疆地州人口遷移差異與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差異的相互作用。首先,在地州人口遷移對(duì)縮小經(jīng)濟(jì)差距的貢獻(xiàn)分析中,得出人口遷移縮小了地州之間的經(jīng)濟(jì)差距,而且這種作用在逐步趨向穩(wěn)定。其次,在地州人口遷移對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的計(jì)量分析中,得出北疆由遷移勞動(dòng)力創(chuàng)造的GDP量在逐漸增大,是勞動(dòng)力遷移的最大受益者。最后,在地州人口遷移與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的關(guān)系分析中,得出初始經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平是影響地州經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的最重要因素,其次是資本投入量,再次則為勞動(dòng)力增長量的結(jié)論。其中,凈遷移勞動(dòng)力與GDP增加量是正相關(guān)關(guān)系,但初始凈遷移勞動(dòng)力水平與GDP增加量是負(fù)相關(guān)關(guān)系。在以上研究的基礎(chǔ)上,論文從微觀和宏觀兩方面給出改善新疆人口遷移與經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的對(duì)策建議。 論文通過對(duì)新疆人口遷移與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展關(guān)系的實(shí)證分析,力爭在研究視角、研究方法、選題思路等方面都實(shí)現(xiàn)一定的可能創(chuàng)新價(jià)值,特別是對(duì)地州層面人口遷移的分析,得出了一些具有可能創(chuàng)新價(jià)值的結(jié)論和觀點(diǎn),將有助于有效地對(duì)新疆人口政策的制定提供一定的參考價(jià)值,并為其他一些地區(qū)提供可能的借鑒。
[Abstract]:At present, the economic gap among all the states in Xinjiang is still very large, and there is a tendency to continue to expand. This goes against the requirement of sustainable economic development and also deviates from the requirement of building a harmonious society in an all-round way. But even if the economic gap between the prefectures is narrowed, Nor can the interests of other states be sacrificed for the sake of their own economic development.Therefore, the idea of cooperation and development between the south, the north, and the eastern frontier, divided by the belt, emerged as the times require. It strives to the south, the north, and the eastern Xinjiang through the economy and the elements. Technology and other aspects of cooperation to achieve mutual benefit and achieve a win-win goal. The paper takes the whole region, the north and south eastern Xinjiang three zones and the prefecture unit as the spatial scale of the study, and adopts the method of combining normative research with empirical research. With the support of econometric and statistical models, this paper discusses the relationship between population migration and economic development from the angle of the important economic factor, migration labor force, and puts forward corresponding policy recommendations. It is hoped that at the beginning of the twelfth five-year plan, Xinjiang population migration can become more lasting and more frequent, more conducive to strengthening the regional economic balance of prefectures. This paper introduces the background and significance of the selected topic, reviews and summarizes the theories of population migration and the research results of population migration in foreign and domestic countries, and explains the research ideas and research content framework of the paper. On the basis of the results of previous studies on population migration, the concept of population migration is defined accordingly. The first part of the thesis uses cointegration analysis and Granger causality test to conclude that Xinjiang population migration is a necessary condition for economic growth. The rapid economic growth in Xinjiang and the higher income in cities and towns as well as more employment opportunities have attracted a large number of rural residents to move. The second part of the paper analyzes the difference between population migration and economic development in Xinjiang prefecture. First of all, In the analysis of the contribution of population migration to narrowing the economic gap, it is concluded that population migration reduces the economic gap between prefectures and gradually tends to be stable. Secondly, in the econometric analysis of population migration to economic growth in prefectures, It is concluded that the amount of GDP created by the migrating labor force in Northern Xinjiang is gradually increasing, which is the biggest beneficiary of labor migration. Finally, in the analysis of the relationship between population migration and economic development in the prefecture, It is concluded that the initial level of economic development is the most important factor affecting the economic development of the prefectures, followed by the amount of capital input, and then the increase of labor force, in which the net migration labor force is positively correlated with the increase of GDP. However, the initial net migration labor force level is negatively related to the increase of GDP. On the basis of the above research, the paper gives the countermeasures and suggestions to improve the harmonious development of population migration and economy in Xinjiang from the micro and macro aspects. Based on the empirical analysis of the relationship between population migration and economic development in Xinjiang, the paper tries to realize some possible innovative value in the aspects of research perspective, research methods, and ideas of selecting topics, especially the analysis of population migration at prefectural level. Some conclusions and viewpoints with possible innovative value are obtained, which will be helpful to provide some reference value for the formulation of population policy in Xinjiang and for other regions.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：石河子大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2011
【分類號(hào)】：C92-05;F127;F224

【引證文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 杜吉國;黑龍江省人口遷移對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)發(fā)展的影響[D];吉林大學(xué);2013年

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前2條

1 于文麗;基于空間自相關(guān)的中國省際人口遷移流分布模式與動(dòng)力機(jī)制研究[D];南京大學(xué);2012年

2 張佳琦;陜西省人口遷移與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差異性研究[D];西北大學(xué);2013年

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本文編號(hào)：1698325