本文選題：人口分布　切入點：經(jīng)濟發(fā)展　出處：《吉林大學(xué)》2011年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：改革開放以來,我國經(jīng)濟持續(xù)增長,人口分布與區(qū)域經(jīng)濟格局發(fā)生了相應(yīng)的變化,區(qū)域間的差異也呈現(xiàn)不斷擴大的態(tài)勢。作為我國重要商品糧基地和東北地區(qū)老工業(yè)基地之一,吉林省的發(fā)展相對緩慢,在全國處于較為落后的地位,不僅與其他地區(qū)之間的差距不斷擴大,而且吉林省內(nèi)部也存在著較為突出的發(fā)展不平衡問題。 近幾年來吉林省的人口總數(shù)和經(jīng)濟一直保持著增長的趨勢。人口就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和全省的經(jīng)濟格局也在逐漸地趨于合理化,即第一產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)人口和GDP比重逐漸下降,第二產(chǎn)業(yè)和第三產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)人口和GDP比重在逐漸上升。但是必須看到,全省就業(yè)人口總數(shù)正在減少,這對于經(jīng)濟發(fā)展是極為不利的。同時各地級市之間的人口分布情況和經(jīng)濟發(fā)展情況又是存在差異的。 吉林省的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展與人口分布之間有著密切的聯(lián)系。吉林省經(jīng)濟發(fā)展決定著人口分布的變化。通過對吉林省及各地級市的錫爾系數(shù)T與錫爾系數(shù)L進行解析發(fā)現(xiàn),吉林省經(jīng)濟發(fā)展與人口的總體差異在很大程度上是由組內(nèi)差異決定的,即是由各縣級市之間的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展差異和人口分布差異決定的,而且吉林省經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的差異要明顯大于人口分布的差異,這說明吉林省的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展與人口分布都存在著不平衡性,這種不平衡性是由縣級市之間的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展差異和人口分布差異決定的。雖然這種不平衡性正在緩慢改善,但從現(xiàn)階段來看,人口分布與經(jīng)濟發(fā)展不平衡的矛盾仍然較為突出。 人口重心與經(jīng)濟重心是反映一國或地區(qū)人口分布與經(jīng)濟格局狀況的重要指標(biāo)。多年來,吉林省人口重心與經(jīng)濟重心的變動一直存在著不平衡問題,并且其偏離程度較大,這說明吉林省經(jīng)濟發(fā)展與人口分布之間一直存在著矛盾,而且經(jīng)濟重心的演變軌跡要比人口重心的演變軌跡復(fù)雜。同時,從吉林省分產(chǎn)業(yè)的人口重心和經(jīng)濟重心的變化來看,吉林省的經(jīng)濟格局正在趨于合理化,但是從事三大產(chǎn)業(yè)的就業(yè)人口卻都在減少,這對于經(jīng)濟發(fā)展是不利的。就業(yè)人口的減少與吉林省勞動力的外流和吉林省人口老齡化發(fā)展是有關(guān)系的,經(jīng)濟要想長遠(yuǎn)發(fā)展,就必須解決就業(yè)人口減少的問題。另外,從吉林省經(jīng)濟重心移動軌跡來看,其東西方向的不平衡性要遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)大于南北方向的不平衡性,說明吉林省東西發(fā)展差距要遠(yuǎn)大于南北發(fā)展差距。 綜合吉林省經(jīng)濟發(fā)展和人口分布的錫爾系數(shù)解析與人口重心和經(jīng)濟重心變動研究的結(jié)果可以看出,吉林省的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展與人口分布之間一直處于矛盾狀態(tài),從長遠(yuǎn)來看,人口分布與經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的不平衡會阻礙經(jīng)濟發(fā)展,所以,必須解決兩者之間的矛盾,促進二者和諧發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has continued to grow, the population distribution and the regional economic pattern have changed accordingly, and the regional differences have also shown a trend of expanding. As an important commodity grain base in China and one of the old industrial bases in Northeast China, The development of Jilin Province is relatively slow, in a relatively backward position in the whole country, not only the gap between Jilin Province and other regions is widening, but also there is a more prominent development imbalance problem in Jilin Province. In recent years, the total population and economy of Jilin Province have maintained a growing trend. The employment structure of the population and the economic pattern of the province are also gradually rationalizing, that is, the proportion of the employed population and the proportion of GDP in the primary industry is gradually decreasing. The proportion of the employed population and GDP in the secondary and tertiary industries is gradually rising. However, it must be noted that the total number of employed people in the province is decreasing. At the same time, there are differences in population distribution and economic development among prefectural cities. There is a close relationship between the economic development and population distribution in Jilin Province, which determines the change of population distribution. By analyzing the Sier coefficient T and the Sier coefficient L of Jilin Province and other prefectural cities, it is found that the economic development of Jilin Province determines the change of population distribution. The overall difference between economic development and population in Jilin Province is to a large extent determined by the differences within the group, that is, by the differences in economic development and population distribution among county-level cities. Moreover, the difference in economic development in Jilin Province is obviously greater than the difference in population distribution, which shows that there is an imbalance between economic development and population distribution in Jilin Province. This imbalance is determined by the difference in economic development and population distribution between county-level cities. Although the imbalance is slowly improving, the contradiction between population distribution and economic development is still prominent at the present stage. Population center of gravity and economic center of gravity are important indicators to reflect the population distribution and economic pattern of a country or region. For many years, the change of population center of gravity and economic center of gravity in Jilin Province has been unbalanced and deviated greatly. This shows that there has always been a contradiction between economic development and population distribution in Jilin Province, and the evolution track of economic center of gravity is more complicated than that of population center of gravity. The economic structure of Jilin Province is being rationalized, but the number of employed people engaged in the three major industries is decreasing. This is unfavorable to economic development. The decrease in the number of employed people is related to the outflow of labor force from Jilin Province and the aging population of Jilin Province. If the economy wants to develop in the long run, it must solve the problem of reducing the number of employed people. From the point of view of the moving track of the economic center of gravity in Jilin Province, the imbalance in the east-west direction is far greater than that in the north-south direction, which indicates that the east-west development gap in Jilin Province is much larger than that in the north-south direction. Based on the analysis of the Sier coefficient of economic development and population distribution in Jilin Province and the results of the study on the population center of gravity and the change of economic gravity center, we can see that the economic development and population distribution of Jilin Province have always been in a state of contradiction. In the long run, The imbalance between population distribution and economic development will hinder economic development, so we must solve the contradiction between them and promote their harmonious development.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：吉林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2011
【分類號】：C924.2;F127

【引證文獻】

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前2條

1 施聞軍;江蘇省人口與經(jīng)濟統(tǒng)計分析[D];南京信息工程大學(xué);2012年

2 李坤;吉林省人口分布變動研究[D];吉林大學(xué);2013年

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本文編號：1623718