本文關(guān)鍵詞：中國(guó)農(nóng)村人口省際流動(dòng)研究——基于第六次人口普查數(shù)據(jù)，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

中國(guó)農(nóng)村人口省際流動(dòng)研究——基于第六次人口普查數(shù)據(jù)

China＇s Rural Population Inter-provincial Flow：Based on the Sixth Nationwide Population Census Data

[1] [2] [3] [4] [5]

GAO Geng-he, LUO Qing, FAN Xin-sheng, LI Er-ling, LI Xiao-jian （ 1 .School of Resources and Environment, Henan University of Economics and Law, Zhengzhou, Henan 450046, China

河南財(cái)經(jīng)政法大學(xué)資源與環(huán)境學(xué)院,河南鄭州450046

文章摘要：農(nóng)村人口流動(dòng)是中國(guó)人口流動(dòng)的主體,對(duì)中國(guó)的人口空間格局和區(qū)域發(fā)展產(chǎn)生了重要影響�；诘诹稳丝谄詹閿�(shù)據(jù),采用農(nóng)村人口有效流動(dòng)率和農(nóng)村人口流動(dòng)指數(shù)方法,對(duì)中國(guó)農(nóng)村人口省際流動(dòng)進(jìn)行了研究。研究發(fā)現(xiàn)：1建立在農(nóng)村人口有效流動(dòng)率基礎(chǔ)上的農(nóng)村人口流動(dòng)指數(shù)既可以表示農(nóng)村人口流動(dòng)的方向,也可以表示流動(dòng)的強(qiáng)度,更可方便地進(jìn)行區(qū)域比較,是研究農(nóng)村人口流動(dòng)的科學(xué)方法和指標(biāo)。2農(nóng)村人口有效流動(dòng)整體上呈現(xiàn)出由中部地區(qū)、西南地區(qū)向沿海、沿邊流動(dòng)的總趨勢(shì),有效流動(dòng)率在全局上具有弱相關(guān)性,局域上的低-低值聚集區(qū)主要分布于鄂、湘、渝、黔、云等地。3農(nóng)村人口流動(dòng)指數(shù)的正值區(qū)主要分布于南部沿海、東部沿海、京津和新疆等地區(qū),負(fù)值區(qū)主要集中于中部地區(qū)和西南地區(qū),由負(fù)值區(qū)進(jìn)入正值區(qū)的農(nóng)村人口流動(dòng)構(gòu)成了中國(guó)農(nóng)村人口流動(dòng)的主要方向和路徑。4農(nóng)村人口流動(dòng)指數(shù)與人口總量、流出存量顯著負(fù)相關(guān),與經(jīng)濟(jì)總量、流入存量顯著正相關(guān)。農(nóng)村人口流動(dòng)的實(shí)質(zhì)是農(nóng)村人口應(yīng)對(duì)人口壓力的現(xiàn)實(shí)反應(yīng),在流動(dòng)目的地的選擇中,流動(dòng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)和流動(dòng)慣性在中國(guó)特定的社會(huì)背景下具有普遍意義。

Abstr：Rural population flow is a main component of China＇s population flow and has an important impact on the spatial pattern of China＇s population and regional economic and social development. Based on the sixth nationwide population census data in 2010, this study analyses China＇s rural population inter-provincial flow by the method of rural population effective flow rate and rural population flow index. The conclusion can be drawn as follows. 1）Rural population flow index on the basis of effective flow rate can show both the direction and the strength of the rural population flow. Furthermore, it can be easily used to compare different regions＇ rural population flow. The rural population index is a scientific method and indicator to study the rural population flow. 2）On the whole, rural population effective flow shows the trend of flowing from central China and southwest China to the coast and the border. Effective flow rate has a weak spatial correlation to the whole,and the regional low-low value clusters are mainly located in Hubei, Hunan, Chongqing, Guizhou, Yunnan and so on. 3）The positive value regions of rural population flow index are mainly located in the southern coastal region, east coastal area, Beijing, Tianjin and Xinjiang, etc. The negative value regions are mainly concentrated in the central China and the southwest China. The rural population flow from the negative value regions into the positive value regions constitutes the main flow direction and the flow path of the rural population. 4）Rural population flow index is significantly negatively correlated with the total population and outflow stock and is significantly positively correlated with the total economy and the inflow stock of ru

文章關(guān)鍵詞：

Keyword：:rural population inter-provincial flow spatial analysis the sixth nationwide population census

課題項(xiàng)目：國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金資助項(xiàng)目（41271192;41201177;41201131）; 教育部人文社會(huì)科學(xué)研究一般項(xiàng)目（12YJA840006）; 河南省哲學(xué)社會(huì)科學(xué)規(guī)劃項(xiàng)目（2012BSH008）資助

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  本文關(guān)鍵詞：中國(guó)農(nóng)村人口省際流動(dòng)研究——基于第六次人口普查數(shù)據(jù)，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。