本文關(guān)鍵詞： 人口因素 人口自然變動(dòng) 經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展 人口紅利　出處：《西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2010年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：長(zhǎng)期以來(lái),人口問題一直是伴隨中國(guó)社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中不可忽視的重要議題,同時(shí)也是關(guān)系國(guó)計(jì)民生的大問題。自上世紀(jì)70年代我國(guó)開始實(shí)行計(jì)劃生育的國(guó)策以來(lái),取得了積極有效的成果,主要表現(xiàn)在于為國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)長(zhǎng)久穩(wěn)定的發(fā)展解除了后顧之憂。進(jìn)入二十一世紀(jì),經(jīng)濟(jì)、科技和社會(huì)發(fā)展迅速,取得了前所未有的成就,但也帶來(lái)了一些嚴(yán)重的問題。比如,由于工業(yè)的迅速發(fā)展,造成了嚴(yán)重的資源浪費(fèi)和環(huán)境污染,我們?yōu)榇烁冻隽顺林氐拇鷥r(jià)。這個(gè)教訓(xùn)值得深刻記取。因此當(dāng)前我們有必要對(duì)人口和經(jīng)濟(jì)之間的關(guān)系作探討,為的是合理利用我國(guó)的人力資源優(yōu)勢(shì),促進(jìn)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展。正如黨中央和國(guó)家領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人多次指出：“能不能堅(jiān)持做好人口資源環(huán)境工作,關(guān)系到我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)和社會(huì)的安全,關(guān)系到我國(guó)人民生活的質(zhì)量,關(guān)系到中華民族生存和發(fā)展的長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)大計(jì)�！� 四川是人口大省,也是人力資本輸出大省。在改革開放日益深入,國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展到新形勢(shì)的今天,如何處理好四川的人口問題,使四川的人口發(fā)展與四川的社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)長(zhǎng)期平穩(wěn)較快發(fā)展相適應(yīng),進(jìn)而成為經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的促進(jìn)劑和催化器,值得政府相關(guān)部門和學(xué)者對(duì)此問題進(jìn)行研究。本文通過對(duì)人口因素中人口自然變動(dòng)及相關(guān)因素對(duì)四川經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響研究入手,對(duì)人口的自然變動(dòng)相關(guān)指標(biāo)附加其他與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展相關(guān)人口指標(biāo)和四川經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展軌跡進(jìn)行對(duì)比分析。利用SPSS軟件輔助,對(duì)四川各地區(qū)“人口——經(jīng)濟(jì)”系統(tǒng)進(jìn)行分類,計(jì)算人口因素對(duì)四川經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的相關(guān)性和貢獻(xiàn)率,同時(shí)對(duì)人口紅利問題展開具體分析。本文共分8個(gè)章節(jié)：在緒論部分介紹了本文的研究背景、目的和意義、思路和方法以及文章的創(chuàng)新程度和本文的局限。 在第二章中,對(duì)人口因素對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響理論進(jìn)行了綜述和整理 第三章對(duì)本文涉及的關(guān)鍵概念進(jìn)行了界定 第四章介紹了四川人口的發(fā)展變動(dòng)趨勢(shì),重點(diǎn)從人口數(shù)量、人口素質(zhì)發(fā)展、人口社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)等方面進(jìn)行闡述。 第五章主要對(duì)四川經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展情況進(jìn)行了簡(jiǎn)要的概述。四川經(jīng)濟(jì)的總體情況與個(gè)省市進(jìn)行橫向?qū)Ρ?分析了四川人口收入水平的現(xiàn)狀以及四川經(jīng)濟(jì)優(yōu)勢(shì)與挑戰(zhàn)。 第六章是對(duì)人口因素與四川經(jīng)濟(jì)長(zhǎng)期平穩(wěn)較快發(fā)展的實(shí)證分析,本章節(jié)主要通過對(duì)四川總體指標(biāo)的分析和對(duì)四川各地區(qū)分析歸類以及對(duì)四川人口紅利特征分析三部分組成。 第七章是對(duì)前面章節(jié)分析的總結(jié),分別歸納人口因素對(duì)四川經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響,這里從人口數(shù)量、人口質(zhì)量和人口結(jié)構(gòu)3方面闡述。 第八章是人口因素對(duì)四川經(jīng)濟(jì)長(zhǎng)期平穩(wěn)較快發(fā)展的對(duì)策研究。這里本文歸納為以下幾點(diǎn)：首先抓住人口紅利期促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展,給出了具體的對(duì)策建議。第二是努力提高人口素質(zhì)。第三是健全老齡人口的社會(huì)保障機(jī)制,完善養(yǎng)老保險(xiǎn)制度。最后對(duì)城市化提出了一些建議。
[Abstract]:For a long time, the population issue has been an important issue that can not be ignored in the course of China's social and economic development, and it is also a major issue related to the national economy and the people's livelihood. Since -30s, the national policy of family planning has been implemented in our country. Has achieved positive and effective results, mainly manifested in the relief of worries for the long-term and stable development of the national economy. Since 21th century, the economy, science and technology, and society have developed rapidly and have achieved unprecedented achievements. But it also brought some serious problems. For example, because of the rapid development of industry, it caused serious waste of resources and environmental pollution. We have paid a heavy price for this. This lesson is worth remembering deeply. Therefore, it is necessary for us to explore the relationship between population and economy in order to make rational use of our human resources advantage. To promote the sustainable development of the national economy. Just as the party Central Committee and state leaders have pointed out on many occasions: "whether we can persist in the work of population, resources and environment is related to the economic and social security of our country and to the quality of life of our people." Related to the survival and development of the Chinese nation long-term plan. " Sichuan is a province with a large population and a large export of human capital. With the deepening of reform and opening up and the development of the national economy to the new situation, how to deal with the population problem in Sichuan well? To adapt the population development of Sichuan to the steady and rapid development of the social economy in Sichuan over a long period of time, and thus become the accelerator and catalyst for economic development, It is worthy of the relevant government departments and scholars to study this issue. This paper begins with the study of the natural changes in population factors and the impact of related factors on the economic development of Sichuan. This paper makes a comparative analysis of the related indicators of natural change of population and other population indicators related to economic development and the track of Sichuan's economic development. With the help of SPSS software, the "population-economy" system in various areas of Sichuan is classified. The relevance and contribution rate of population factors to Sichuan's economic development are calculated. At the same time, the issue of demographic dividend is analyzed concretely. This paper is divided into eight chapters: in the introduction part, the research background, purpose and significance of this paper are introduced. Ideas and methods as well as the innovative degree of the article and the limitations of this paper. In the second chapter, the theory of the influence of population factors on economic development is summarized and sorted out. The third chapter defines the key concepts involved in this paper. Chapter 4th introduces the changing trend of population development in Sichuan province, especially from the aspects of population quantity, population quality development, population social economic structure and so on. Chapter 5th gives a brief overview of Sichuan's economic development, compares the overall situation of Sichuan's economy with other provinces and cities, and analyzes the present situation of Sichuan's population income level, as well as the advantages and challenges of Sichuan's economy. Chapter 6th is an empirical analysis of the population factors and the steady and rapid development of Sichuan economy over a long period of time. This chapter mainly consists of three parts: the analysis of the overall indicators of Sichuan, the analysis and classification of the various regions in Sichuan and the analysis of the demographic dividend characteristics of Sichuan. Chapter 7th is a summary of the analysis of the previous chapters, which respectively induces the impact of population factors on the economic development of Sichuan Province, which is elaborated from three aspects: population quantity, population quality and population structure. Chapter 8th is a study on the countermeasures of population factors to the steady and rapid development of Sichuan economy in the long term. Here, this paper summarizes the following points: first of all, seize the period of population dividend to promote economic development, The second is to improve the quality of the population, the third is to perfect the social security mechanism of the aged population and to perfect the old-age insurance system. Finally, some suggestions on urbanization are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2010
【分類號(hào)】：C92-05;F127;F224

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