本文關(guān)鍵詞：馬里人口增長(zhǎng)及其影響因素研究　出處：《首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 人口增長(zhǎng) 影響因素 生育率

【摘要】：二十世紀(jì)中葉,馬里有約500萬(wàn)居民,而這個(gè)數(shù)字在20世紀(jì)末增長(zhǎng)到了1500萬(wàn),在未來(lái)的二十一世紀(jì),馬里的人口似乎將要經(jīng)歷一個(gè)空前的膨脹。本文試圖總結(jié)馬里人口膨脹的影響因素,并探討人口增長(zhǎng)的理論框架,將人口作為因變量,而社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)作為獨(dú)立變量,利用統(tǒng)計(jì)回歸模型進(jìn)行分析。分析表明,社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)因素是影響馬里人口增長(zhǎng)的主要因素,近年來(lái)死亡率的降低使預(yù)期壽命增加,以及未來(lái)預(yù)期的生育率持續(xù)走高,使馬里的人口將有可能在本世紀(jì)暴增,這會(huì)導(dǎo)致馬里年齡結(jié)構(gòu)年輕化,使人口金字塔底端變寬。本研究也表明,社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)因素、女人的教育程度、是否采取避孕等方面都會(huì)影響馬里的總生育率水平和人口發(fā)展趨勢(shì)。
[Abstract]:In the middle of 20th century, Mali had about 5 million inhabitants, and that number rose to 15 million at the end of 20th century, in the coming 21th century. Mali's population seems to be going through an unprecedented expansion. This paper attempts to summarize the impact of Mali's population expansion, and explore the theoretical framework of population growth, taking population as a dependent variable. Social economy, as an independent variable, is analyzed by statistical regression model. The analysis shows that socio-economic factors are the main factors affecting Mali's population growth, and that the reduction of mortality rate in recent years has increased life expectancy. The continued high fertility rate expected in the future will make it possible for Mali's population to surge in this century, which will lead to a younger age structure in Mali and widen the bottom of the population pyramid. Social and economic factors, women's educational level, contraceptive use and so on will affect Mali's total fertility rate and demographic trends.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：C924.448

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本文編號(hào)：1439995