本文選題：泰國 + 政治轉(zhuǎn)型��； 參考：《中國社會(huì)科學(xué)院研究生院》2011年博士論文

【摘要】：本文通過對(duì)20世紀(jì)70年代以來泰國政治發(fā)展過程的歷史回顧,探究了促成其政治轉(zhuǎn)型的動(dòng)力與路徑,并在初步把握其發(fā)展規(guī)律的基礎(chǔ)上,分析了泰國政治前景的中長期走勢。 第一章緒論闡述了本文的選題意義、基本概念以及研究方法,對(duì)選題的研究現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行了述評(píng),并介紹了本文的結(jié)構(gòu)、主要內(nèi)容和創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)。本文以“政治化社會(huì)利益集團(tuán)”為切入點(diǎn),以“政治權(quán)力結(jié)構(gòu)”為立足點(diǎn),將政治轉(zhuǎn)型過程抽象為“政治權(quán)力結(jié)構(gòu)-經(jīng)濟(jì)利益結(jié)構(gòu)”與“政治權(quán)力結(jié)構(gòu)-政治文化傳統(tǒng)”雙重循環(huán)體系的相互磨合過程。 第二章分析了泰國20世紀(jì)60年代“泰式民主”威權(quán)時(shí)期的“層級(jí)式”政治權(quán)力結(jié)構(gòu),探討了軍人集團(tuán)政治主導(dǎo)地位形成過程中經(jīng)濟(jì)利益結(jié)構(gòu)和政治文化傳統(tǒng)的相應(yīng)調(diào)整,回顧了60年代泰國經(jīng)濟(jì)起飛過程中王室-�；逝傻恼螐�(fù)興、曼谷政商集團(tuán)的政治獨(dú)立以及地方豪強(qiáng)勢力的政治崛起。 第三章分析了泰國20世紀(jì)70年代初軍人威權(quán)體制的瓦解過程,70年代中后期左翼與右翼各派政治力量間的權(quán)力之爭,以及80年代初半威權(quán)半多元體制的“三元制衡”政治權(quán)力結(jié)構(gòu)的形成。 第四章回顧了20世紀(jì)90年代初半威權(quán)半多元體制瓦解、以及城市中產(chǎn)階級(jí)的政治興起,分析了90年代無序多元體制“碎片化”格局存在的政府治理難題,探究了1997年憲法頒行所體現(xiàn)的政治轉(zhuǎn)型要求。 第五章回顧了21世紀(jì)初新資本集團(tuán)的政治崛起,分析了其在國家發(fā)展道路問題上與保守派既得利益集團(tuán)的分歧,探討了2006年以來泰國政治持續(xù)動(dòng)蕩的根源。本文認(rèn)為,泰國政治沖突難以平息的根源,在于“挺他信”陣營以新資本集團(tuán)和農(nóng)民群體為主的激進(jìn)派與“反他信”陣營以王室-�；逝珊蛙娙思瘓F(tuán)為首的極端保守派之間難以調(diào)和的“政治權(quán)力-經(jīng)濟(jì)利益”分歧。 本文在結(jié)語部分指出,泰國政治轉(zhuǎn)型的動(dòng)力源于“經(jīng)濟(jì)利益結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整引起的政治化社會(huì)利益集團(tuán)對(duì)政治權(quán)力的侵奪與競爭”,并將在外部因素與政治文化傳統(tǒng)的影響下,沿著“經(jīng)濟(jì)開放-政治多元”目標(biāo)曲折前行。從目前來看,泰國的政治發(fā)展前景將會(huì)在傳統(tǒng)王權(quán)日趨衰退的前提下形成以新資本集團(tuán)為主導(dǎo)的有序多元體制。
[Abstract]:By reviewing the history of Thailand's political development since the 1970s, this paper probes into the motive force and path to promote its political transformation, and on the basis of preliminary grasping its development law, analyzes the medium- and long-term trend of Thailand's political prospects. The first chapter introduces the significance, basic concepts and research methods of this paper, reviews the status quo of the topic, and introduces the structure, main content and innovation of this paper. This article regards "political social interest group" as the breakthrough point, "political power structure" as the foothold, The process of political transformation is abstracted as a process of "political power structure-economic interest structure" and "political power structure-political-cultural tradition". The second chapter analyzes the "hierarchical" political power structure during the authoritarian period of Thailand's "Thai democracy" in the 1960s, and probes into the corresponding adjustment of the economic interest structure and the political and cultural tradition during the formation of the military group's political dominant position. This paper reviews the political revival of the royal and royalist faction during Thailand's economic take-off in the 1960s, the political independence of Bangkok's political and commercial groups, and the political rise of local powerful forces. The third chapter analyzes the disintegration of Thailand's military authoritarian system in the early 1970s and the power struggle between the left-wing and right-wing political forces in the middle and late 1970s. And the formation of the political power structure of the semi-authoritarian semi-pluralistic system in the early 1980 s. The fourth chapter reviews the disintegration of the semi-authoritarian and semi-pluralistic system in the early 1990s and the political rise of the urban middle class, and analyzes the government governance problems existing in the fragmented pattern of the disordered pluralistic system in the 1990s. This paper explores the requirements of political transformation embodied in the promulgation of the 1997 Constitution. The fifth chapter reviews the political rise of New Capital Group in the early 21st century, analyzes its differences with conservative vested interest groups on the path of national development, and probes into the causes of the persistent political instability in Thailand since 2006. This paper argues that the root cause of Thailand's political conflict is difficult to settle. The "political power-economic interests" divide between the "pro-Thaksin" radical, dominated by new capital groups and farmers, and the ultra-conservatives of the anti-Thaksin camp, led by the royal family and the armymen's group, is irreconcilable. In the conclusion part, the author points out that the motive force of Thailand's political transformation comes from "the political power encroachment and competition of political interest groups caused by the adjustment of economic interest structure", and it will be influenced by external factors and political cultural tradition. Go zigzag along the goal of "open economy-political pluralism". At present, Thailand's political development prospects will form an orderly pluralistic system dominated by new capital groups under the premise of the decline of traditional Wang Quan.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國社會(huì)科學(xué)院研究生院
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2011
【分類號(hào)】：D733.6

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