本文選題：日本政治 + 安倍內(nèi)閣�。� 參考：《現(xiàn)代國際關(guān)系》2017年10期

【摘要】：2017年6~7月間,安倍內(nèi)閣支持率急速下跌,與2012年以來長期穩(wěn)定的局面形成鮮明對比。安倍支持率的穩(wěn)定,源于民眾對其的消極支持,以及對安保法案等焦點事件以及金錢丑聞等的消極反對。而消極反對與消極支持,則源于民眾的"習得性無助"、"安倍經(jīng)濟學"、投票選擇機會成本大幅下降等諸多條件。安倍支持率的驟然下跌,并非上述條件發(fā)生變化,而是安倍傲慢、與民眾離心離德導致人格等"中心形象"的崩塌。在支持率暫時回穩(wěn)的背景下,安倍利用反對黨內(nèi)訌之機提前解散眾議院舉行大選,以實現(xiàn)其執(zhí)政至2020年東京奧運的目標。選舉的勝利并不足以表明其完全擺脫負面影響,安倍將利用朝鮮半島危機等,展現(xiàn)其"善于維護日本安全"的一面,謀求重構(gòu)"中心形象",進一步提升支持率以穩(wěn)定執(zhí)政地位。
[Abstract]:Between June and July 2017, Abe's cabinet ratings plummeted, in sharp contrast to the long-term stability since 2012. The stability of Abe's approval rating stems from negative public support for him, as well as negative opposition to focal issues such as the security bill and money scandals. Negative opposition and negative support are due to people's "learned helplessness", "Abenomics", and a sharp drop in the opportunity cost of voting and other conditions. The sharp drop in Mr Abe's approval ratings is not a change in these conditions, but the collapse of his "central image", such as personality, as he is arrogant and alienated from the public. Amid a temporary stabilisation of his approval ratings, Mr Abe has used opposition infighting to dissolve the House of Representatives for a general election ahead of time to meet his goal of taking office until the 2020 Tokyo Olympics. The election victory is not enough to show that he is completely free from the negative influence. Abe will use the Korean Peninsula crisis to show his "good at Japanese security" side, seek to reconstruct the "central image" and further enhance his approval rating to stabilize his ruling position.
【作者單位】： 中國現(xiàn)代國際關(guān)系研究院日本研究所;
【分類號】：D731.3

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本文編號：1866929