本文選題：日本　切入點(diǎn)：政治右傾化　出處：《外交學(xué)院》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：近些年來日本政壇與社會(huì)右傾化程度空前嚴(yán)重,這一趨勢(shì)在首相安倍晉三上臺(tái)后顯得更加突出,在參拜靖國神社、美化侵略言論、爭議領(lǐng)土、修改和平憲法方面出現(xiàn)大后退,中日關(guān)系也在不斷的突發(fā)事件中降至冰點(diǎn)。那么,是否是安倍晉三首相個(gè)人主導(dǎo)了日本政壇右傾化加劇?抑或主導(dǎo)原因是安倍晉三隸屬的自民黨與公明黨執(zhí)政聯(lián)盟?筆者在推演中發(fā)現(xiàn)了二者都無法充分解釋日本政壇整體右轉(zhuǎn)的事實(shí),但經(jīng)過分析發(fā)現(xiàn)了中國與日本之間的權(quán)力差距不斷縮小直至反超與日本右翼勢(shì)力逐漸猖獗直至主導(dǎo)日本政壇與社會(huì)右傾化有著密切的相關(guān)聯(lián)系。二者間具有著因果聯(lián)系,中日權(quán)力的差距是日本政治右傾化的決定性因素,而個(gè)人因素、政黨因素在政治右傾化中扮演輔助作用,日本民眾的認(rèn)知在日本政治右傾化中扮演中介傳導(dǎo)因素,在可預(yù)見的未超日本,日本政治右傾化現(xiàn)象將更加嚴(yán)重,中日間的沖突也會(huì)只增來,隨著中國包括經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力與軍事實(shí)力在內(nèi)的綜合權(quán)力更進(jìn)一步反不減。本文通過現(xiàn)實(shí)主義理論與現(xiàn)實(shí)的視角,以冷戰(zhàn)末期到安倍晉三第二屆任期結(jié)束為主要分析時(shí)間段,對(duì)日本政治右傾化的發(fā)展、特點(diǎn)、表現(xiàn)與主導(dǎo)性原因進(jìn)行研究。論文共分為四個(gè)部分:第一章對(duì)學(xué)界日本右傾化的研究做了概括性說明,著重以安倍晉三時(shí)期為例。日本政治右傾化是一種政治傾向、政治思潮,始于二十世紀(jì)八十年代,并在之后逐漸發(fā)展壯大,并在小泉純一郎執(zhí)政時(shí)期與安倍晉三第二屆執(zhí)政時(shí)期達(dá)到高潮。主要表現(xiàn)有主張修改和平憲法、美化侵略歷史、支持并帶領(lǐng)日本高層參拜靖國神社、爭奪釣魚島等,特點(diǎn)有右翼主導(dǎo)性、漸進(jìn)加強(qiáng)性、形式多元性與實(shí)用主義等。第二章開始探究首相個(gè)人與執(zhí)政黨派在日本政治右傾化中扮演的角色以及所起的作用。通過首相平均在位時(shí)間、法案通過程序、派閥結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)首相的塑造以及政治家與技術(shù)官僚的區(qū)分等方面分析首相個(gè)人在日本政治右傾化發(fā)展中的局限性,通過執(zhí)政黨理念的變化與民眾對(duì)執(zhí)政黨的客觀要求等方面分析執(zhí)政黨在日本政治右傾化發(fā)展中的局限性,反駁首相個(gè)人與執(zhí)政黨在日本政治右傾化中扮演的主導(dǎo)性原因。第三章探究中國與日本相對(duì)權(quán)力差距縮小乃至反超的現(xiàn)實(shí)與同日本縮小差距的速度與日本政治右傾化的相關(guān)關(guān)系及其內(nèi)在因果聯(lián)系。采用定量分析的方法,以經(jīng)濟(jì)力量與軍事力量為指標(biāo)論證:日本政治右傾化的程度與中日權(quán)力差距是有一定的規(guī)律可循的,日本政治右傾化程度越高,就表明中國的權(quán)力在逐漸上升,并且中國與日本之間的權(quán)力差距越來越小。通過安全困境、民眾對(duì)華認(rèn)知等方面,論證中國與日本之間的權(quán)力差距的改變,會(huì)直接影響中國與日本的安全困境變化,日本政治右傾化程度不斷的提高,論證民眾認(rèn)知一方面受政治右傾化影響,一方面又推動(dòng)政治右傾化發(fā)展的因果關(guān)系。第四章介紹了筆者對(duì)日本政治右傾化發(fā)展的預(yù)測(cè)與中國應(yīng)采取的對(duì)策。說明了日本政治右傾化將會(huì)繼續(xù)發(fā)展壯大并不以人的意志為轉(zhuǎn)移的客觀現(xiàn)實(shí),但其政治右傾化高潮的周期性波動(dòng)卻受制于多種其他因素影響,而中日兩國政府在控制政治右傾化周期性波動(dòng)的持續(xù)時(shí)間、間隔、烈度等方面仍有很多需要共同努力的地方。
[Abstract]:In recent years, Japanese politics and society rightist degree unprecedented, this trend is more prominent in the prime minister Abe Shinzo took office is in the Yasukuni Shrine, aggressive remarks, the disputed territory, the amendment of the peace constitution appeared back, Sino Japanese relations also dropped to the freezing point in emergencies constantly. So, whether it is prime minister Abe Shinzo personally the leading Japanese political rightist intensified? Or is the leading cause of Abe Shinzo under the Liberal Democratic Party and New Komeito ruling coalition? The deduction was found in all two Japanese politics can not fully explain the overall right facts, but the analysis found the power gap between China and Japan continue to shrink until the Anti Japanese right-wing forces and gradually rampant until the leading Japanese politics and society are closely related to the right. Between the two has a causal relationship in power difference It is a decisive factor in the Japanese right-wing politics, and personal factors, political factors in political rightist plays a supporting role, the Japanese people's cognition in the Japanese political right deviation play mediating factors, in the foreseeable future than the Japanese, the Japanese rightist political phenomenon will be more serious, the conflict will only day to increase, with the comprehensive power China includes economic strength and military strength, further reduced. The anti realism theory and realistic perspective, with Abe Shinzo at the end of the cold war to the end of his second term as the main analysis period, characteristics of the Japanese rightist political development, research, performance and main reason. The thesis is divided into four parts: the first chapter of the academia, the Japanese rightist research made a general description, focuses on the case study of the Abe Shinzo era. The Japanese rightist politics is a political inclination The political thought, began in 1980s, and then gradually develop and grow, and culminating in the reign of Junichiro Koizumi and Abe Shinzo in the second period. The main performance advocate peace constitution, beautify its history of aggression, support and lead the Japanese senior officials visited the Yasukuni Shrine, islands, characteristics of dominant right, strengthened gradually. The form of pluralism and pragmatism. The second chapter begins with the ruling party in the prime minister's personal exploration of Japanese political right deviation in the role and the role of the prime minister. The average in time, the bill through program, send valve structure on the prime minister's shape and the politicians and technocrats to distinguish aspects of personal limitations of the right-wing prime minister in the development of politics in Japan, by changing the concept of the ruling party and the people of the ruling party's objective requirements and other aspects of analysis. Party right limitation in the development of politics in Japan, the prime minister and the ruling party in person to refute the Japanese right-wing politics leading cause in the play. The third chapter explores China and relative power gap and anti Japanese super reality and with Japan to narrow the gap between the speed and the relationship of the Japanese right-wing politics and its intrinsic relationship. By using the method of quantitative analysis on the economic strength and military strength as the index argument: the Japanese rightist political level and Japan power gap have a certain pattern, the higher the Japanese rightist political level, that Chinese power is rising gradually, and the power gap between China and Japan more and more small through the security dilemma, the public cognition of China, demonstrates the power gap between Japan and China changes will directly affect the security dilemma and China Japan changes in Japan The political right continuously, people on the one hand by the demonstration of cognitive rightist political influence, and promote a causal relationship between the rightist political development. The fourth chapter introduces the Countermeasures of prediction of the Japanese rightist political development and Chinese should be taken. The Japanese rightist political will continue to grow as not to people the will for the transfer of objective reality, but the cyclical fluctuation of its political rightist climax is subject to a variety of other factors, and the governments of China and Japan in the right-wing political control interval duration of periodic fluctuation, intensity and other aspects are still many places to work together.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：外交學(xué)院
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：D731.3

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