發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-03-02 14:09

  本文選題：災(zāi)害性事件　切入點(diǎn)：公安指揮決策　出處：《華中師范大學(xué)》2008年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】： 當(dāng)前,由于國(guó)內(nèi)外的種種原因,社會(huì)不安定因素較多。其中相當(dāng)部分的不穩(wěn)定因素可以通過(guò)防范、疏導(dǎo)等的手段,在其出現(xiàn)苗頭時(shí)來(lái)消除。從今年貴州的甕安群體性事件、上海的閘北分局襲警和新疆邊防戰(zhàn)士遇襲等案件來(lái)看,事件發(fā)生的成因和防范的決策及其評(píng)價(jià)等問(wèn)題,都需要我們認(rèn)真探討。 本文第一部分從分析災(zāi)害性事件的危害性和基本特征入手,探討了公安指揮決策的屬性、特點(diǎn)及作用,分析了公安指揮決策評(píng)價(jià)的實(shí)質(zhì)及意義。本文所指的災(zāi)害性事件是指突然發(fā)生的可能威脅到國(guó)家安全、人民生命財(cái)產(chǎn)安全,需要各級(jí)應(yīng)急組織在短時(shí)間內(nèi)作出反應(yīng),以防止損失與危害進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大的各種事件,它具有突發(fā)性、災(zāi)害性、不確定性、連帶性及信息不充分等特征。而處置災(zāi)害性事件的公安指揮決策,既具有一般決策的屬性,也具有自身的特殊性如快速性和暴力性等特點(diǎn),同時(shí)具有打擊犯罪、維護(hù)社會(huì)穩(wěn)定以及保護(hù)人民生命財(cái)產(chǎn)安全等重大作用。災(zāi)害性事件中公安指揮決策的優(yōu)化離不開(kāi)對(duì)它的評(píng)價(jià)即對(duì)此決策的效果進(jìn)行判斷,它不僅是決策活動(dòng)中重要的環(huán)節(jié),而且對(duì)提高決策執(zhí)行的可行度,克服決策執(zhí)行中的障礙,提升公安管理水平具有重大意義。 本文第二部分探討了災(zāi)害性事件中公安指揮決策的基本思維方法。公安指揮決策思維既需要再現(xiàn)性思維,也需要?jiǎng)?chuàng)造性思維。再現(xiàn)性思維表現(xiàn)為經(jīng)驗(yàn)性決策思維、理性決策思維的思維方式;創(chuàng)造性思維則表現(xiàn)為辯證思維、形象思維和靈感思維。創(chuàng)造、再現(xiàn)相輔相成,公安指揮決策思維是經(jīng)驗(yàn)性決策思維、理性決策思維和形象思維、靈感思維等思維形式的綜合運(yùn)用。經(jīng)驗(yàn)性決策思維具有自發(fā)性、直接性和非邏輯性等特點(diǎn),所以它的實(shí)用非常廣泛,但其局限性也很明顯,即它對(duì)客觀世界的反應(yīng)比較膚淺,無(wú)法應(yīng)對(duì)經(jīng)驗(yàn)以外的世界。理性思維具有實(shí)用性廣泛和理論指導(dǎo)性強(qiáng)等特點(diǎn)。但由于信息基礎(chǔ)的不準(zhǔn)確和社會(huì)環(huán)境的復(fù)雜性,僅靠理性思維常常會(huì)使工作陷于被動(dòng)。 本文第三部分探討了災(zāi)害性事件中公安指揮決策評(píng)價(jià)的類型與思維方法。公安指揮決策評(píng)價(jià)的類型從所處的階段上看,可以分為決策執(zhí)行前、執(zhí)行中和執(zhí)行后的評(píng)價(jià)。執(zhí)行前評(píng)價(jià)對(duì)決策的發(fā)展有預(yù)測(cè)性,執(zhí)行中評(píng)價(jià)目的是彌補(bǔ)不足、修正偏差,執(zhí)行后評(píng)價(jià)則可以總結(jié)經(jīng)驗(yàn),提高今后的決策水平。公安指揮決策評(píng)價(jià)的思維方法通常有支持評(píng)價(jià)模式、否定與修正模式。但也應(yīng)該清楚地看到災(zāi)害性事件中公安指揮決策評(píng)價(jià)存在了評(píng)價(jià)的不確定性、效果的多樣性和影響的廣泛性等問(wèn)題,以及人們對(duì)證據(jù)的認(rèn)識(shí)有主觀色彩等復(fù)雜性。 本文第四部分針對(duì)災(zāi)害性事件中公安指揮決策及評(píng)價(jià)活動(dòng)存在的問(wèn)題及其原因,探討了加強(qiáng)指揮決策及其評(píng)價(jià)合理性的要求。本文指出,只有通過(guò)科學(xué)認(rèn)識(shí)評(píng)價(jià)和決策之間的相互關(guān)系,全面加強(qiáng)決策和評(píng)價(jià)的制度建設(shè),著力改進(jìn)決策及其評(píng)價(jià)的思維方法,才能根除存在于當(dāng)前指揮決策及其評(píng)價(jià)中的思想誤區(qū),制定出正確決策,保障災(zāi)害性事件處置工作的有效實(shí)施。
[Abstract]:At present, due to various reasons at home and abroad, social unrest. The more unstable factors through a considerable part of the prevention, counseling and other means, in the emergence of signs to eliminate from the event. In group this year in Guizhou, Shanghai, Zhabei and Xinjiang branch of police border guards attack cases, problems the incident of the causes and prevention of the decision-making and evaluation, we need to seriously study.
The first part of this paper from the analysis of the basic characteristics of hazard and disaster event start, discusses the police decision-making attributes, characteristics and functions, analyzes the essence and significance of the police decision-making evaluation. This paper refers to the disastrous events refers to the sudden threat to national security, people's lives and property safety, need at all levels the emergency organization to respond in a short period of time, various events to prevent loss and damage to further expand, it has a sudden disaster, uncertainty, and related information limited. And the disposal of disaster events by public security command decision, not only has the general attributes of decision, also has its own particularity such as fast and violent, with the fight against crime, maintaining social stability and protect people's lives and property safety and other major role. The optimization decision of public security refers to the essential disaster event It is inseparable from its evaluation, that is, judging the effect of this decision. It is not only an important part of decision-making activities, but also of great significance for improving the feasibility of decision-making implementation, overcoming obstacles in decision-making and improving the level of public security management.
The second part discusses the basic way of thinking in the command and policy-making. Police command decision thinking requires reappearance thinking, also needs creative thinking. Reappearance thinking performance for empirical decision-making thinking, rational thinking; creative thinking includes dialectical thinking, image thinking and inspiration thinking. To create. Reproduction of complement each other, police command decision thinking is experiential decision-making thinking, rational thinking and image thinking, comprehensive use of inspiration and thinking of thinking form. Empirical decision-making thinking has the characteristics of direct and spontaneous, non logical, so it is very practical and extensive, but its limitations are very obvious, it is in response to the objective the world is shallow, unable to cope with the experience of the outside world. Rational thinking has the characteristics of practical and theoretical guidance and strong. But due to the information base The inaccuracy of the foundation and the complexity of the social environment often make the work passive only by rational thinking.
The third part discusses the types and ways of thinking in the command and policy-making evaluation. Type the police decision-making evaluation from the stage point of view, can be divided into the decision before the execution, execution and evaluation after the implementation of the evaluation on the development. Before the execution of the decision are pre measured, in the implementation of the purpose of the evaluation is to make up for lack of correct deviations, after the implementation of evaluation can sum up experience, improve the level of decision-making in the future. The thinking method of the police decision-making evaluation usually support evaluation model, negative revision model. But it should be clear that there is the evaluation of the uncertainty in the command and policy-making evaluation, such as extensive effect the diversity and influence, and awareness of evidence are subjective complexity.
In the fourth part, in view of the existing decision-making and evaluation activities of public security command disaster event in question and the reason, discusses the importance of decision-making and the rationality of the evaluation requirements. This paper points out that only through a scientific understanding of the relationship between evaluation and decision-making, strengthen system construction decision-making and evaluation, improve the thinking method of decision-making and evaluation. In order to eliminate the misunderstanding exists in the current command decision and evaluation, make correct decision, to ensure the effective implementation of disaster events disposal work.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：華中師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2008
【分類號(hào)】：D631.1

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本文編號(hào)：1556842