本文選題：山東省 + 農(nóng)業(yè)水資源��； 參考：《山東農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：我國的農(nóng)業(yè)水資源的研究主要集中在水質(zhì)污染迅速，水環(huán)境的惡化，水資源的價格機制不合理，缺乏有效的管理機制等問題，以及針對這些突出的問題提出深化水價改革，建立節(jié)水型社會等可行性建議。但是，較少涉及水資源對農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展支持能力的研究。我國現(xiàn)階段對于農(nóng)業(yè)水資源的理論研究重定性分析，缺少定量分析，重視單一層面研究和靜態(tài)研究，比較缺乏系統(tǒng)性、動態(tài)的研究。以上幾個方面為本水資源對農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展支持力度不足的原因以及優(yōu)化措施提供一定的借鑒作用。 本文在了認識農(nóng)業(yè)水資源支持能力內(nèi)涵的基礎(chǔ)上，建立SPSS數(shù)據(jù)模型分析水資源對農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展的重要性，同時以實證法分析水資源支持能力對農(nóng)業(yè)的發(fā)展的重要性，最終通過對山東省農(nóng)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整實現(xiàn)水資源對農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展支持力度的最大化。本文的內(nèi)容結(jié)構(gòu)安排如下： 第一部分，是本文的引言部分，該部分主要介紹了山東省農(nóng)業(yè)水資源的研究背景、目的及意義，然后就目前國內(nèi)外對農(nóng)業(yè)水資源的主要研究成果進行綜述，以此凸顯本文選題的意義以及合理性，并提出了本研究所使用的研究方法以及技術(shù)路線，指出了本研究中存在的不足。 第二部分，包括本文的第二章、第三章和第四章，主要介紹了關(guān)于農(nóng)業(yè)水資源的概念，以及山東省農(nóng)業(yè)水資源總量不足，人均、畝均水資源占有量低；地區(qū)分布不均，各地開發(fā)利用條件差別明顯；農(nóng)業(yè)水資源年際、年內(nèi)變化劇烈，以及農(nóng)業(yè)水資源利用效率低的特點。通過多元線性回歸分析得出山東省農(nóng)業(yè)水資源對農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)總值的貢獻很大的結(jié)論。這就要求我們加大對山東省農(nóng)業(yè)水資源的投入，利用有效措施來提高山東省農(nóng)業(yè)水資源的利用效率，以保證能夠提供充足的農(nóng)業(yè)水資源。 第三部分，主要是本文的第四章，主要通過常規(guī)趨勢法對山東省農(nóng)業(yè)水資源支持能力以及強度的分析，得出山東省現(xiàn)階段的農(nóng)業(yè)水資源的支持能力是基本可以支持農(nóng)業(yè)的需求發(fā)展的，但是仍然存在潛在的危機，農(nóng)業(yè)水資源的動態(tài)供需不足的結(jié)論。 第四部分，第五章和第六章，主要對山東省農(nóng)業(yè)水資源支持能力不足的制約因素進行分析，同時，提出了提高山東省農(nóng)業(yè)水資源支持能力的可行性建議。制約因素主要包括：農(nóng)業(yè)用水和工業(yè)用水存在價格差異、農(nóng)業(yè)水資源利用率低、“農(nóng)轉(zhuǎn)非”和水權(quán)沖突現(xiàn)象突出、農(nóng)業(yè)水資源管理存在制度瓶頸等因素降低了山東省農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展水資源的支持能力�？尚行越ㄗh主要包括：根據(jù)山東省農(nóng)業(yè)水資源的實際，增強山東省農(nóng)業(yè)水資源的支持能力，，優(yōu)化山東省的農(nóng)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)應(yīng)采取以下基本措施：對山東省的農(nóng)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)進行調(diào)整；發(fā)展“虛擬水”貿(mào)易戰(zhàn)略；深化水價改革，建立節(jié)水型社會，明晰穩(wěn)定水權(quán)，建立有效的節(jié)水機制；沖破水資源的管理瓶頸，加強水資源的統(tǒng)一管理。
[Abstract]:The research of agricultural water resources in our country mainly focuses on the problems of rapid water pollution, deterioration of water environment, unreasonable price mechanism of water resources, lack of effective management mechanism, and the deepening of water price reform in view of these outstanding problems. To establish a water-saving society and other feasible suggestions. However, there is little research on the ability of water resources to support agricultural development. At present, the theoretical research of agricultural water resources in our country emphasizes on qualitative analysis, lacks of quantitative analysis, pays attention to single level research and static research, and lacks systematic and dynamic research. The above several aspects provide some reference for the reasons of the insufficient support of water resources to agricultural development and the optimization measures. On the basis of understanding the connotation of agricultural water resources supporting ability, this paper establishes SPSS data model to analyze the importance of water resources to agricultural development, and at the same time analyzes the importance of water resources supporting ability to agricultural development by empirical method. Finally, the agricultural structure of Shandong Province is adjusted to maximize the support of water resources to agricultural development. The content structure of this article is as follows: The first part is the introduction of this paper, which mainly introduces the research background, purpose and significance of agricultural water resources in Shandong Province, and then summarizes the main research results of agricultural water resources at home and abroad. In order to highlight the significance and rationality of this topic, and proposed the research methods and technical routes used in this study, pointed out the shortcomings of this study. The second part, including the second chapter, the third chapter and the fourth chapter, mainly introduces the concept of agricultural water resources, the shortage of agricultural water resources in Shandong Province, the low per capita per mu water resources, the uneven regional distribution. The conditions of development and utilization are obviously different, the agricultural water resources change sharply in different years, and the utilization efficiency of agricultural water resources is low. Through multiple linear regression analysis, it is concluded that agricultural water resources in Shandong province contribute a great deal to agricultural GDP. This requires us to increase the investment in agricultural water resources in Shandong Province, and use effective measures to improve the utilization efficiency of agricultural water resources in Shandong Province, so as to ensure that adequate agricultural water resources can be provided. The third part, mainly is the fourth chapter of this article, mainly through the conventional trend method to Shandong Province agricultural water resources support ability and the intensity analysis, It is concluded that the supporting capacity of agricultural water resources in Shandong Province at the present stage can basically support the development of agricultural demand, but there is still a potential crisis, and the dynamic supply and demand of agricultural water resources is insufficient. The fourth, fifth and sixth chapters mainly analyze the restriction factors of agricultural water resources supporting capacity in Shandong Province, and at the same time, put forward the feasible suggestions to improve the agricultural water resources support capacity of Shandong Province. The constraints include: the price difference between agricultural water and industrial water, the low utilization rate of agricultural water, the prominent phenomenon of "agricultural conversion" and water right conflict. There are institutional bottlenecks in agricultural water resources management, which reduce the supporting capacity of agricultural development water resources in Shandong Province. The feasibility suggestions include: according to the reality of agricultural water resources in Shandong Province, strengthening the supporting capacity of agricultural water resources in Shandong Province, optimizing the agricultural structure of Shandong Province should take the following basic measures: adjust the agricultural structure of Shandong Province; Developing "virtual water" trade strategy, deepening water price reform, establishing water-saving society, clarifying and stabilizing water rights, establishing effective water-saving mechanism, breaking through the bottleneck of water resources management, strengthening the unified management of water resources.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：山東農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F323.213

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