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基于層次分析—灰色理論的南水北調(diào)中線穿黃隧洞施工風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評價(jià)研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-07-31 16:45
【摘要】:南水北調(diào)工程是我國近年來規(guī)劃和實(shí)施的一項(xiàng)重大的跨流域調(diào)水工程,穿黃隧洞工程是南水北調(diào)中線工程穿越黃河的關(guān)鍵性建筑物。隧洞主要經(jīng)過由飽和中細(xì)砂、粉質(zhì)壤土和半砂半土等組成的混合地層,水文地質(zhì)條件較復(fù)雜,具有較高難度的技術(shù)要求。另外,中線穿黃隧洞具有直徑大、距離長的特點(diǎn),屬于大型輸水隧洞工程,地下水壓力較大,對隧洞的施工設(shè)備和施工工藝要求較高。因此,開展南水北調(diào)中線穿黃隧洞施工風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評價(jià)研究,對于穿黃隧洞的施工風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理和控制具有重要的參考價(jià)值。論文結(jié)合南水北調(diào)中線穿黃隧洞項(xiàng)目,從項(xiàng)目的實(shí)際情況出發(fā),采用層次分析—灰色理論,開展了南水北調(diào)中線穿黃隧洞施工風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評價(jià)研究。論述了課題的研究背景及意義,水下隧洞施工風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評價(jià)的國內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀,以及論文的研究方法及主要內(nèi)容。闡述了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析的基本理論及方法,構(gòu)建了水下隧洞施工風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評價(jià)模型。并以實(shí)際工程為例,闡述了南水北調(diào)中線穿黃隧洞工程的概況、施工方式、隧洞斷面型式以及工程特點(diǎn),從風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識別方式、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素識別和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評價(jià)指標(biāo)體系等方面對南水北調(diào)中線穿黃隧洞施工風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行了識別,分別采用層次分析法和灰色聚類法對南水北調(diào)中線穿黃隧洞進(jìn)行了施工風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評價(jià),通過客觀、有效的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評價(jià)模型,分析了南水北調(diào)中線穿黃隧洞施工的各層次因素的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)等級及整體風(fēng)險(xiǎn)等級。
[Abstract]:The South-to-North Water transfer Project is a major trans-basin water transfer project planned and implemented in China in recent years. The Yellow River Tunnel Project is the key building for the South-to-North Water transfer Project to cross the Yellow River. The tunnel is mainly composed of saturated medium and fine sand silty loam and half sand and half soil. The hydrogeological conditions are complicated and the technical requirements are high. In addition, the middle line through the Yellow River tunnel has the characteristics of large diameter and long distance, it belongs to the large water conveyance tunnel project, the groundwater pressure is high, and the construction equipment and construction technology of the tunnel are required to be higher. Therefore, it is of great reference value for the construction risk management and control of the Yellow River Tunnel to carry out the risk evaluation study of the middle route of the South-to-North Water transfer Project through the Yellow River Tunnel. Based on the project of the Yellow River Tunnel in the middle line of South-to-North Water transfer Project and the actual situation of the project, the risk assessment of the construction of the tunnel through the Yellow River in the middle line of the South-to-North Water transfer Project is studied by using the analytic hierarchy process and grey theory. This paper discusses the research background and significance of the subject, the research status of underwater tunnel construction risk assessment at home and abroad, as well as the research methods and main contents of the paper. The basic theory and method of risk analysis are expounded, and the risk assessment model of underwater tunnel construction is constructed. Taking the actual project as an example, this paper expounds the general situation, construction mode, tunnel section type and engineering characteristics of the Yellow River Tunnel in the middle route of the South-to-North Water transfer Project. Risk factor identification and risk evaluation index system are used to identify the construction risk of the middle line of the South-to-North Water transfer Project through the Yellow River tunnel. The construction risk of the tunnel is evaluated by using AHP and grey cluster method, respectively, in the middle line of the South-to-North Water transfer Project. Based on the objective and effective risk assessment model, the risk grade and the overall risk grade of each level factor in the construction of the Yellow River tunnel in the middle route of the South-to-North Water transfer Project are analyzed.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:華北水利水電大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:TV554;TV51

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