油氣儲罐區(qū)多米諾事故耦合效應風險分析
發(fā)布時間:2018-04-25 07:28
本文選題:油氣儲罐 + 多米諾事故 ; 參考:《中國安全科學學報》2017年10期
【摘要】:為研究油氣儲罐區(qū)多米諾事故中耦合效應對事故擴展的影響,通過借鑒不同領域耦合效應的定義及內(nèi)涵,提出多米諾事故中耦合效應的定義,并構(gòu)建多災種多因素耦合情景及耦合效應影響因素圖;針對某一罐區(qū),運用貝葉斯網(wǎng)絡模型分析發(fā)生池火災時熱輻射的耦合效應,借助Netica軟件探討某儲罐發(fā)生池火災時事故的最大可能傳播路徑。結(jié)果表明:儲罐受到多熱輻射的共同影響即多熱輻射場耦合作用時,多米諾事故發(fā)生概率明顯增大;當儲罐V11發(fā)生池火災時,為預防多米諾事故的發(fā)生,需要重點對儲罐V21采取保護措施。
[Abstract]:In order to study the effect of coupling effect on accident expansion in domino accident in oil and gas storage area, the definition of coupling effect in domino accident is put forward by referring to the definition and connotation of coupling effect in different fields. The coupling scenarios of multiple disasters and the influence factors of coupling effects are constructed, and the coupling effects of thermal radiation during pool fires are analyzed by using Bayesian network model in a tank area. The maximum possible propagation path of pool fire in a storage tank is discussed by means of Netica software. The results show that the domino accident probability increases obviously when the storage tank is affected by multi-heat radiation, that is, the coupling effect of multi-heat radiation field, and when the tank V11 fire occurs, in order to prevent domino accident, Emphasis should be placed on the protection of the storage tank V 21.
【作者單位】: 南京工業(yè)大學安全科學與工程學院;江蘇省危險化學品本質(zhì)安全與控制技術重點實驗室;南京工業(yè)大學法學院;
【基金】:國家重點研發(fā)計劃項目(2016YFC0800100) 2016年度高!扒嗨{工程”項目
【分類號】:TE88
,
本文編號:1800381
本文鏈接:http://sikaile.net/kejilunwen/shiyounenyuanlunwen/1800381.html
教材專著