發(fā)布時間：2018-04-21 22:25

  本文選題：資源型區(qū)域 + 路徑依賴�。� 參考：《經(jīng)濟(jì)問題探索》2017年10期

【摘要】：傳統(tǒng)的路徑依賴?yán)碚搹?qiáng)調(diào)初始的產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇對區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展具有決定性意義,能夠揭示資源衰竭型城市經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展出現(xiàn)困境的原因,但無法分析一些資源型城市在發(fā)展過程中走向復(fù)蘇或成熟這一現(xiàn)象�；诖�,首先分析產(chǎn)業(yè)路徑依賴的形成演化機(jī)制,在此基礎(chǔ)上研究其演化過程中所表現(xiàn)出的特性。研究發(fā)現(xiàn)由于區(qū)域內(nèi)生力量和外生力量在產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展過程中施加的影響強(qiáng)度和時機(jī)不同,產(chǎn)業(yè)路徑依賴在其形成發(fā)展過程中一方面可以表現(xiàn)出"鎖定"的剛性,另一方面表現(xiàn)為漸進(jìn)偏離的"粘性"。從這一特性角度,可以很好解釋產(chǎn)業(yè)路徑依賴形成過程中所出現(xiàn)的不同特征事實。其次,為了探索產(chǎn)業(yè)路徑依賴偏離的驅(qū)動因素,構(gòu)建產(chǎn)業(yè)依賴度變化模型,通過該模型將引起產(chǎn)業(yè)路徑依賴度變化的因素分解為工業(yè)內(nèi)部轉(zhuǎn)型、工業(yè)化和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)三個因素,并探討其貢獻(xiàn)度,這為制定產(chǎn)業(yè)偏離策略提供依據(jù)。同時,以絲綢之路經(jīng)濟(jì)帶核心區(qū)——新疆為例,探討了新疆石油產(chǎn)業(yè)在轉(zhuǎn)型發(fā)展過程中的路徑依賴驅(qū)動因素。最后,根據(jù)研究提出路徑偏離的策略以及政策建議。
[Abstract]:The traditional path dependence theory emphasizes that the initial choice of industry is of decisive significance to the development of regional industry, and can reveal the reasons for the predicament of the economic development of resource-exhausted cities. However, it is impossible to analyze the recovery or maturity of some resource-based cities in the process of development. Based on this, this paper first analyzes the evolution mechanism of industrial path dependence, and then studies the characteristics of industrial path dependence in the process of evolution. It is found that due to the difference in the intensity and timing of the influence exerted by regional endogenous forces and exogenous forces in the process of industrial development, industrial path dependence can, on the one hand, exhibit the rigidity of "locking" in the process of its formation and development. On the other hand, it is shown as the "stickiness" of gradual deviation. From this point of view, we can explain the different characteristics in the process of industrial path dependence formation. Secondly, in order to explore the driving factors of industrial path dependence deviation, a model of industrial dependence change is constructed, through which the factors that cause industrial path dependence change are decomposed into industrial internal transformation. Three factors, industrialization and regional economic structure, and their contribution degree are discussed, which provides the basis for the formulation of industrial deviation strategy. At the same time, taking Xinjiang as the core area of the Silk Road economic belt, this paper discusses the path dependence driving factors of Xinjiang petroleum industry in the process of transformation and development. Finally, according to the study, the strategy of path deviation and policy recommendations are put forward.
【作者單位】： 蘭州大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;貴州工程應(yīng)用技術(shù)學(xué)院經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家社會科學(xué)基金項目“絲綢之路經(jīng)濟(jì)帶建設(shè)中的我國西北段產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與空間布局研究”(14BJY086),項目負(fù)責(zé)人:郭愛君 國家自然科學(xué)基金項目“基于計算實驗的貨幣政策傳導(dǎo)系統(tǒng)演化研究”(71561007),項目負(fù)責(zé)人:王祥兵
【分類號】：F426.22
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本文編號：1784347