本文選題：城市供水系統(tǒng) + 改進(jìn)的層次分析法（IAHP）　； 參考：《青島理工大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：城市供水系統(tǒng)是城市形成的必要基礎(chǔ)，，是城市形成和發(fā)展的先決條件之一。城市供水系統(tǒng)安全與否，關(guān)系到城市的興衰。近年來(lái)，由于環(huán)境污染以及城市管網(wǎng)的老化破壞，城市供水系統(tǒng)的安全性正在面臨前所未有的挑戰(zhàn)。因此，對(duì)城市供水系統(tǒng)進(jìn)行安全評(píng)價(jià)，對(duì)于城市供水系統(tǒng)的管理建設(shè)將具有非常重要的意義。 本文將供水系統(tǒng)分為水源地與供水管網(wǎng)兩大部分進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià)。深入分析供水系統(tǒng)安全評(píng)價(jià)的研究現(xiàn)狀及發(fā)展方向，簡(jiǎn)要介紹安全評(píng)價(jià)的理論知識(shí)，利用故障樹(shù)分析法全面分析影響供水系統(tǒng)安全的因素，進(jìn)而建立安全評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系，在指標(biāo)體系的基礎(chǔ)上，建立安全評(píng)價(jià)等級(jí)表。通過(guò)查閱大量資料，不斷嘗試，將一些對(duì)層次分析法比較完善的改進(jìn)有機(jī)的結(jié)合在一起，并且和相關(guān)性關(guān)系計(jì)算組成一個(gè)新的改進(jìn)的層次分析法(IAHP)。應(yīng)用SPSS軟件對(duì)評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)的相關(guān)性進(jìn)行分析，采用三標(biāo)度法間接建立判斷矩陣，采用求解擬優(yōu)化一致性矩陣的方式提高矩陣的一致性，進(jìn)而確定權(quán)重，并利用MATLAB7.1編制程序計(jì)算，將應(yīng)用傳統(tǒng)的與改進(jìn)的層次分析法進(jìn)行對(duì)比分析。在此基礎(chǔ)上，建立以模糊模式識(shí)別模型和模糊綜合評(píng)判相結(jié)合的多層次多級(jí)復(fù)雜系統(tǒng)模糊評(píng)價(jià)模型，依靠該模型，并借助EXCEL的矩陣運(yùn)算功能提高運(yùn)算精確性，最后計(jì)算出安全評(píng)價(jià)等級(jí)。 依托“基于節(jié)能減碳的供水網(wǎng)絡(luò)多目標(biāo)多工況智能優(yōu)化技術(shù)研究”和“黃河中下游地區(qū)供水管網(wǎng)安全保障國(guó)家重大專(zhuān)項(xiàng)---基于供水安全的城市供水管網(wǎng)的優(yōu)化改擴(kuò)建技術(shù)”兩大課題，以東營(yíng)市水源地和青島市區(qū)管網(wǎng)為研究區(qū)域，依靠多層次多級(jí)復(fù)雜系統(tǒng)模糊評(píng)價(jià)模型，分別計(jì)算水源地及供水管網(wǎng)的安全等級(jí)。根據(jù)計(jì)算結(jié)果，分析系統(tǒng)運(yùn)行的問(wèn)題，并對(duì)存在問(wèn)題提出改進(jìn)建議。
[Abstract]:Urban water supply system is the necessary foundation of urban formation and one of the prerequisites for urban formation and development. Whether the urban water supply system is safe or not is related to the rise and fall of the city. In recent years, the safety of urban water supply system is facing unprecedented challenges due to environmental pollution and aging damage of urban pipe network. Therefore, the safety evaluation of urban water supply system will be of great significance to the management and construction of urban water supply system. In this paper, the water supply system is divided into two parts: water source and water distribution network. This paper deeply analyzes the research status and development direction of water supply system safety evaluation, briefly introduces the theoretical knowledge of safety evaluation, analyzes the factors affecting water supply system safety by using fault tree analysis method, and then establishes a safety evaluation index system. Based on the index system, the safety evaluation level table is established. By consulting a large amount of data, we try to combine some perfect improvements of AHP, and form a new improved Analytic hierarchy process (IAHP) with the calculation of correlation relationship. The correlation of evaluation index is analyzed by SPSS software, the judgment matrix is established indirectly by using three-scale method, the consistency of matrix is improved by solving the quasi-optimization consistency matrix, and the weight is determined, and the calculation program is compiled by MATLAB 7.1. The traditional analytic hierarchy process and the improved analytic hierarchy process are compared and analyzed. On this basis, the fuzzy evaluation model of multi-level and multi-level complex system based on the combination of fuzzy pattern recognition model and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is established. The model is relied on and the calculation accuracy is improved by the matrix operation function of excel. Finally, the grade of safety evaluation is calculated. Research on Multi-objective and Multi-condition Intelligent Optimization Technology of Water supply Network based on Energy Saving and carbon reduction and National Major Project of Water supply Network Safety guarantee in the Middle and Lower reaches of Yellow River: optimization and Reform of Urban Water supply Network based on Water supply Security Two major topics of expansion technology, Based on the fuzzy evaluation model of multi-level and multi-level complex system, the safety grade of water source and water supply network are calculated by taking Dongying water source area and Qingdao urban pipeline network as the research area. According to the calculation results, the problems of system operation are analyzed, and suggestions for improvement are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：青島理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：TU991

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