本文選題：碳足跡　切入點(diǎn)：城市住區(qū)　出處：《大連理工大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：自上個(gè)世紀(jì)末以來,全球氣候變化問題成為了全球關(guān)注的熱點(diǎn),限排、減排、碳交易也成了各個(gè)國家都在研究的重要課題。我國雖不是《框架公約》下負(fù)有減排任務(wù)的-方,但中國政府本著人道主義精神、對(duì)全人類負(fù)責(zé)的精神,已在公開場(chǎng)合明確宣布到2020年單位GDP碳排放比2005年下降45%的目標(biāo),為實(shí)現(xiàn)這一目標(biāo)中國的碳減排之路任重而道遠(yuǎn)。 城市住宅小區(qū)是人們生活的主要場(chǎng)所,也是碳排放的重要源頭之一,根據(jù)統(tǒng)計(jì)我國建筑業(yè)的碳足跡已占到所有碳足跡的30%左右。城市住區(qū)的建設(shè)面積正處于高速增長階段,而建筑業(yè)還遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)沒有達(dá)到可持續(xù)發(fā)展的要求,減排空間巨大。 本論文以我國城市住區(qū)碳足跡為研究對(duì)象、通過文獻(xiàn)研究、數(shù)據(jù)分析與演算以及利用聚類分析、關(guān)聯(lián)度分析、情景演化分析等方法開展研究。首先就城市住區(qū)碳足跡的相關(guān)基礎(chǔ)理論給予界定及分析。定義了城市住區(qū)碳足跡邊界、功能單位及排放源,并闡述了不同排放源的計(jì)算方法及排放因子。然后將我國城市住區(qū)碳足跡分為建筑相關(guān)、居民相關(guān)碳足跡兩方面,并分別建立模型、計(jì)算,并分別采用聚類分析及關(guān)聯(lián)度分析方法,得出影響碳足跡的主要因素。最后利用測(cè)算數(shù)據(jù),采用不同的預(yù)測(cè)方法對(duì)我國城市住區(qū)碳足跡進(jìn)行預(yù)測(cè)分析,并通過調(diào)節(jié)演化系數(shù),設(shè)定未來碳足跡的四種情景,得出不同情景下不同時(shí)期內(nèi)的碳足跡演化趨勢(shì)。
[Abstract]:Since the end of last century, global climate change has become the focus of global attention, emissions limitation, emission reduction, carbon trading has become an important issue for all countries.Although China is not the party with the task of reducing emissions under the Framework Convention, the Chinese Government, in the spirit of humanitarianism and responsibility to all mankind, has explicitly announced in public the target of reducing its GDP carbon emissions per unit by 45% by 2020 compared with 2005.China has a long way to go to achieve this goal.Urban residential district is the main place for people to live and one of the important sources of carbon emissions. According to statistics, the carbon footprint of construction industry in China has accounted for about 30% of all carbon footprint.The construction area of urban residential area is in the stage of rapid growth, but the construction industry is far from meeting the requirements of sustainable development, and the space for emission reduction is huge.In this paper, the carbon footprint of urban settlements in China is taken as the research object, through literature research, data analysis and calculation, as well as the use of cluster analysis, correlation analysis, scenario evolution analysis and other methods to carry out the research.Firstly, it defines and analyzes the basic theory of urban residential carbon footprint.The carbon footprint boundary, functional units and emission sources in urban settlements are defined, and the calculation methods and emission factors of different emission sources are described.Then, the carbon footprint of urban residential areas in our country is divided into two aspects: building related and resident related carbon footprint, and the models are established, calculated, and cluster analysis and correlation degree analysis are used to obtain the main factors that affect the carbon footprint.Finally, using the measuring data, using different forecasting methods to forecast and analyze the carbon footprint of urban residential areas in China, and setting four scenarios of future carbon footprint by adjusting the evolution coefficient.The evolution trend of carbon footprint under different scenarios and different periods was obtained.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：大連理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：TU984.12;X32

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本文編號(hào)：1718230