【摘要】：[目的]文章通過對(duì)北京市農(nóng)村住戶的能源消費(fèi)調(diào)查和數(shù)據(jù)分析,研究北京農(nóng)村能源消費(fèi)的總體現(xiàn)狀、不同地形、不同區(qū)之間的消費(fèi)差異以及主要能源消費(fèi)的影響因素。[方法]運(yùn)用描述性分析和多元回歸,基于北京市13個(gè)區(qū)214個(gè)村莊1 866住戶的調(diào)查數(shù)據(jù),重點(diǎn)分析北京農(nóng)村能源消費(fèi)情況以及煤炭、電和薪柴3種主要能源消費(fèi)量的影響因素。[結(jié)果]從能源普及率來看,北京農(nóng)村能源以電、煤炭和液化氣為主;從消費(fèi)量比重來看,以煤炭(60.4%)、薪柴(17.9%)、電(12.9%)為主,太陽能和沼氣清潔能源比重較低,煤炭幾乎全部用于家庭取暖;平原區(qū)和近郊區(qū)的電、煤炭、天然氣消費(fèi)量都明顯高于其他地區(qū),薪柴低于其他地區(qū),太陽能和液化氣消費(fèi)量的地區(qū)差別不大。地形特征和家庭常住人口對(duì)各種能源消費(fèi)量影響都很大,家庭收入主要影響電(正向)和薪柴消費(fèi)量(反向),對(duì)煤炭消費(fèi)量影響不明顯,峰谷電價(jià)對(duì)電消費(fèi)量影響較大,采暖面積對(duì)煤炭和電有影響,對(duì)薪柴消費(fèi)沒有影響;是否節(jié)能改造和對(duì)霧霾認(rèn)識(shí)對(duì)能源消費(fèi)量影響不確定。[結(jié)論]采取科學(xué)分類指導(dǎo)及措施,改變農(nóng)村冬季采暖方式,改造常規(guī)能源,加大對(duì)新能源、可再生能源的開發(fā)與利用,加大農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展和能源改造政策支持,以促進(jìn)北京農(nóng)村能源利用的優(yōu)化升級(jí)。
文內(nèi)圖片：
圖片說明：樣本特征
[Abstract]:[objective] through the investigation and data analysis of energy consumption of rural households in Beijing, this paper studies the overall situation of rural energy consumption in Beijing, different topography, consumption differences among different regions and the influencing factors of main energy consumption. [methods] descriptive analysis and multiple regression were used to analyze the rural energy consumption and the influencing factors of coal, electricity and fuelwood consumption in Beijing based on the survey data of 1 866 households in 214 villages in 13 districts of Beijing. [results] from the point of view of energy popularization rate, the rural energy in Beijing is mainly electricity, coal and liquefied gas, and the proportion of consumption is mainly coal (60.4%), fuelwood (17.9%) and electricity (12.9%). The proportion of solar energy and biogas clean energy is low, and almost all of coal is used for household heating. The consumption of electricity, coal and natural gas in plain area and suburbs is significantly higher than that in other areas, and the consumption of firewood is lower than that in other areas, and there is no difference between solar energy and liquefied gas consumption. Topographic characteristics and household resident population have great influence on all kinds of energy consumption, household income mainly affects electricity (positive) and fuelwood consumption (reverse), but has no obvious influence on coal consumption, peak and valley electricity price has great influence on electricity consumption, heating area has influence on coal and electricity, and has no effect on fuelwood consumption; whether energy saving transformation and haze cognition have uncertain influence on energy consumption. [conclusion] Scientific classification guidance and measures should be taken to change the rural winter heating mode, transform the conventional energy, increase the development and utilization of new and renewable energy, and increase the policy support for rural economic development and energy transformation, so as to promote the optimization and upgrading of rural energy utilization in Beijing.
【作者單位】： 北京農(nóng)學(xué)院;北京節(jié)能環(huán)保中心;北京住房公積金管理中心;
【基金】：北京市節(jié)能環(huán)保中心委托項(xiàng)目“北京農(nóng)村能源消費(fèi)調(diào)查研究”
【分類號(hào)】：F323.214

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