基于高標(biāo)準(zhǔn)糧田建設(shè)的鶴壁市耕地預(yù)測分析
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-11-22 11:06
【摘要】：鶴壁市作為河南省高標(biāo)準(zhǔn)糧田示范區(qū),肩負(fù)著保證糧食安全與實(shí)現(xiàn)農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化的重?fù)?dān)。運(yùn)用IDRISI軟件的CA-Markov方法,通過對2003年、2013年土地利用動(dòng)態(tài)變化的處理,得到鶴壁市2023年的土地利用模擬預(yù)測圖。結(jié)果表明:"十三五"期間鶴壁市耕地?cái)?shù)量小幅下降,但仍具有面積優(yōu)勢,平均減少動(dòng)態(tài)度僅0.93%;耕地重心30年間均在�？h內(nèi),未來浚縣將成為高標(biāo)準(zhǔn)糧田建設(shè)的核心區(qū)域;到2023年,耕地在內(nèi)部挖潛與占補(bǔ)平衡的作用下日益集中連片,且灌溉水平提高,注重綠色化發(fā)展,高標(biāo)準(zhǔn)糧田建設(shè)水平提升;未來耕地質(zhì)量退化減少,占補(bǔ)質(zhì)量趨于均衡,有利于高標(biāo)準(zhǔn)糧田區(qū)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:As a high-standard grain field demonstration area in Henan Province, Hebi City shoulders the burden of ensuring food security and realizing agricultural modernization. By using the CA-Markov method of IDRISI software, the land use simulation forecast map of Hebi City in 2023 was obtained by dealing with the dynamic changes of land use in 2003 and 2013. The results showed that the amount of cultivated land in Hebi City decreased slightly during the 13th Five-Year Plan period, but it still had the advantage of area, and the average reduction dynamic degree was only 0.93%. The center of gravity of cultivated land is in Junxian for 30 years. In the future, Junxian will become the core area of high standard grain field construction. By 2023, cultivated land in the role of internal potential and balance between occupation and compensation is increasingly concentrated and linked, and the level of irrigation has been improved, with emphasis on green development, and high standard grain field construction level has been improved. In the future, the quality of cultivated land will be reduced and the occupied and compensated quality will be balanced, which is beneficial to the sustainable development of high standard grain areas.
【作者單位】： 鄭州大學(xué)公共管理學(xué)院;鄭州大學(xué)水利與環(huán)境學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(編號:40971128) 科技部“十二五”農(nóng)村領(lǐng)域國家科技計(jì)劃課題項(xiàng)目(編號:2012BAD05B02-7)
【分類號】：F323.211
本文編號：2349163
[Abstract]:As a high-standard grain field demonstration area in Henan Province, Hebi City shoulders the burden of ensuring food security and realizing agricultural modernization. By using the CA-Markov method of IDRISI software, the land use simulation forecast map of Hebi City in 2023 was obtained by dealing with the dynamic changes of land use in 2003 and 2013. The results showed that the amount of cultivated land in Hebi City decreased slightly during the 13th Five-Year Plan period, but it still had the advantage of area, and the average reduction dynamic degree was only 0.93%. The center of gravity of cultivated land is in Junxian for 30 years. In the future, Junxian will become the core area of high standard grain field construction. By 2023, cultivated land in the role of internal potential and balance between occupation and compensation is increasingly concentrated and linked, and the level of irrigation has been improved, with emphasis on green development, and high standard grain field construction level has been improved. In the future, the quality of cultivated land will be reduced and the occupied and compensated quality will be balanced, which is beneficial to the sustainable development of high standard grain areas.
【作者單位】： 鄭州大學(xué)公共管理學(xué)院;鄭州大學(xué)水利與環(huán)境學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(編號:40971128) 科技部“十二五”農(nóng)村領(lǐng)域國家科技計(jì)劃課題項(xiàng)目(編號:2012BAD05B02-7)
【分類號】：F323.211
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