本文選題：物質(zhì)流分析　切入點(diǎn)：生態(tài)足跡　出處：《中國(guó)礦業(yè)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：山西省是我國(guó)重要的煤炭生產(chǎn)基地。山西省煤炭資源的開(kāi)發(fā)利用,一方面為國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展提供了能源,促進(jìn)了地方經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展;另一方面,煤炭資源的高強(qiáng)度、大規(guī)模開(kāi)發(fā)對(duì)區(qū)域生態(tài)環(huán)境帶來(lái)了巨大的沖擊,產(chǎn)生了很大的環(huán)境壓力�！爸腥A人民共和國(guó)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)和社會(huì)發(fā)展第十三個(gè)五年規(guī)劃綱要,簡(jiǎn)稱‘十三五’規(guī)劃(2016-2020年)”中明確提出要實(shí)施“綠色發(fā)展,建設(shè)資源節(jié)約型、環(huán)境友好型社會(huì)”。因此,如何在資源約束、環(huán)境制約下繼續(xù)保持經(jīng)濟(jì)快速增長(zhǎng),科學(xué)合理地規(guī)劃和確定山西省煤炭產(chǎn)量,實(shí)現(xiàn)煤炭資源開(kāi)發(fā)與區(qū)域環(huán)境協(xié)調(diào)可持續(xù)發(fā)展,有著重要的理論和現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。本文著眼于實(shí)現(xiàn)山西省煤炭資源可持續(xù)發(fā)展,從生態(tài)系統(tǒng)安全的角度出發(fā),以可持續(xù)發(fā)展理論、一般均衡理論為理論基礎(chǔ),以物質(zhì)流分析、生態(tài)足跡為主要方法,系統(tǒng)研究了山西省煤炭資源開(kāi)發(fā)對(duì)區(qū)域環(huán)境產(chǎn)生的壓力,合理測(cè)算了山西省煤炭資源開(kāi)發(fā)的環(huán)境承載力,在此基礎(chǔ)上對(duì)山西省煤炭合理產(chǎn)量進(jìn)行了預(yù)測(cè),為推動(dòng)山西省煤炭資源的可持續(xù)發(fā)展進(jìn)行了有益的探索。首先,用物質(zhì)流分析方法對(duì)山西省2000-2014年煤炭資源開(kāi)發(fā)的物質(zhì)流指標(biāo)體系進(jìn)行了核算,從質(zhì)量角度分析研究了山西省煤炭資源開(kāi)發(fā)對(duì)自然環(huán)境產(chǎn)生的壓力;在此基礎(chǔ)上,運(yùn)用生態(tài)足跡方法,建立了煤炭資源開(kāi)發(fā)生態(tài)足跡清單,通過(guò)對(duì)山西省2000-2014年煤炭資源開(kāi)發(fā)生態(tài)足跡進(jìn)行測(cè)算,從面積角度分析研究了山西省煤炭資源開(kāi)發(fā)對(duì)自然環(huán)境產(chǎn)生的壓力。其次,建立了基于經(jīng)驗(yàn)?zāi)B(tài)分解(EMD)的環(huán)境承載力動(dòng)力學(xué)預(yù)測(cè)模型和煤炭資源開(kāi)發(fā)的環(huán)境承載力計(jì)算模型,提出以萬(wàn)元GDP煤耗占萬(wàn)元GDP能耗的比例來(lái)反映煤炭行業(yè)在總環(huán)境承載力中的份額,并計(jì)算出山西省2000-2014年煤炭資源開(kāi)發(fā)的最大環(huán)境承載力和最適環(huán)境承載力。最后,通過(guò)分析山西省煤炭資源開(kāi)發(fā)生態(tài)足跡、環(huán)境承載力與煤炭生產(chǎn)量之間的關(guān)系,進(jìn)而測(cè)算得出山西省煤炭資源開(kāi)發(fā)的合理產(chǎn)量應(yīng)為[100543.2958,121519.8009]萬(wàn)噸,并在此基礎(chǔ)上提出一些保障山西省煤炭合理產(chǎn)量的相關(guān)政策建議。
[Abstract]:Shanxi Province is an important coal production base in China. The exploitation and utilization of Shanxi's coal resources provide energy for the development of the national economy and promote the development of the local economy on the one hand, and the high intensity of the coal resources on the other. Large-scale development has had a tremendous impact on the regional ecological environment and generated great environmental pressure. "the 13th Five-Year Plan outline for the National Economic and Social Development of the people's Republic of China, For short, the 13th Five-Year Plan for 2016-2020 clearly proposes to implement "green development, building a resource-saving and environment-friendly society." therefore, how to continue to maintain rapid economic growth under resource constraints and environmental constraints, It is of great theoretical and practical significance to plan and determine Shanxi's coal production scientifically and reasonably, and to realize the coordinated and sustainable development of coal resources and regional environment. This paper aims at realizing the sustainable development of Shanxi's coal resources. Based on the theory of sustainable development, general equilibrium theory, material flow analysis and ecological footprint, the pressure of coal resources exploitation on regional environment in Shanxi Province is systematically studied from the point of view of ecosystem security. This paper reasonably calculates the environmental carrying capacity of coal resources development in Shanxi Province, and on the basis of this, forecasts the reasonable coal production in Shanxi Province, and makes a beneficial exploration to promote the sustainable development of coal resources in Shanxi Province. The material flow index system of coal resource development in Shanxi Province from 2000 to 2014 is calculated by using material flow analysis method, and the pressure on natural environment caused by coal resource development in Shanxi Province is analyzed and studied from the point of view of quality. By using the ecological footprint method, the ecological footprint inventory of coal resources development is established, and the ecological footprint of coal resources development in Shanxi Province from 2000 to 2014 is calculated. This paper analyzes and studies the pressure on the natural environment caused by the exploitation of coal resources in Shanxi Province from the aspect of area. Secondly, the dynamic prediction model of environmental carrying capacity based on empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and the calculation model of environmental carrying capacity of coal resource development are established. This paper puts forward that the proportion of coal consumption of ten thousand yuan GDP to ten thousand yuan GDP energy consumption reflects the share of coal industry in the total environmental carrying capacity, and calculates the maximum environmental carrying capacity and the optimum environmental carrying capacity of coal resources development in Shanxi Province from 2000 to 2014. Finally, Based on the analysis of the ecological footprint of coal resources development in Shanxi Province, the relationship between environmental carrying capacity and coal production is analyzed, and the reasonable output of coal resources exploitation in Shanxi Province is calculated to be [100543.295880 ~ 121519.8009] million tons. On this basis, some relevant policy suggestions are put forward to ensure the reasonable coal production in Shanxi Province.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國(guó)礦業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F426.21

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 陸俐吶;葛察忠;林愛(ài)軍;楊琦佳;李曉亮;;基于生態(tài)足跡和生態(tài)承載力的湖北省利川市可持續(xù)發(fā)展研究[J];中國(guó)人口·資源與環(huán)境;2016年S2期

2 安海忠;李華姣;;資源環(huán)境承載力研究框架體系綜述[J];資源與產(chǎn)業(yè);2016年06期

3 王軍;齊文躍;李俊孟;孔國(guó)強(qiáng);宋天奇;;中國(guó)煤炭產(chǎn)能評(píng)價(jià)與預(yù)測(cè)研究[J];中國(guó)煤炭;2016年06期

4 張言方;聶銳;劉平;王迪;;基于SD模型的我國(guó)煤炭產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩調(diào)控機(jī)制研究[J];統(tǒng)計(jì)與決策;2016年02期

5 胡雪萍;李丹青;;城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程中生態(tài)足跡的動(dòng)態(tài)變化及影響因素分析——以安徽省為例[J];長(zhǎng)江流域資源與環(huán)境;2016年02期

6 王紅;;基于物質(zhì)流分析的中國(guó)減物質(zhì)化趨勢(shì)及循環(huán)經(jīng)濟(jì)成效評(píng)價(jià)[J];自然資源學(xué)報(bào);2015年11期

7 胡雪萍;梁玉磊;;基于綜合生態(tài)承載力的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展可持續(xù)性研究[J];統(tǒng)計(jì)與決策;2015年10期

8 楊屹;加濤;;21世紀(jì)以來(lái)陜西生態(tài)足跡和承載力變化[J];生態(tài)學(xué)報(bào);2015年24期

9 王迪;聶銳;劉平;劉s，

本文編號(hào)：1684414