本文關(guān)鍵詞： 鉛鋅礦資源 國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)安全 評(píng)價(jià) BP神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)　出處：《江西理工大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文　論文類(lèi)型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：論文以中國(guó)鉛鋅礦產(chǎn)資源國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)安全評(píng)價(jià)為研究對(duì)象,在詳細(xì)綜述國(guó)內(nèi)外關(guān)于國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)安全、國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)安全評(píng)價(jià)研究的基礎(chǔ)上,應(yīng)用定性分析與定量研究相結(jié)合等方法對(duì)中國(guó)鉛鋅礦產(chǎn)資源國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)安全評(píng)價(jià)進(jìn)行綜合分析,本論文的主要研究?jī)?nèi)容與結(jié)論如下:首先,詳細(xì)綜述了國(guó)內(nèi)外國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)安全的研究成果,對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)外關(guān)于礦產(chǎn)資源國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)安全評(píng)價(jià)的研究成果進(jìn)行了整理。其次,對(duì)中國(guó)鉛鋅礦資源供需市場(chǎng)進(jìn)行了深入分析,利用BP人工神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)建立了鉛鋅礦的需求情景模型,測(cè)算出2019-2031年中國(guó)精鉛和精鋅的消費(fèi)量。測(cè)算結(jié)果說(shuō)明雖然中國(guó)鉛鋅產(chǎn)資源豐富,但未來(lái)中國(guó)鉛鋅礦需求將逐步加大,需可持續(xù)利用開(kāi)發(fā)鉛鋅礦資源。第三,通過(guò)變權(quán)原理對(duì)中國(guó)鉛鋅礦產(chǎn)資源的國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)安全進(jìn)行了評(píng)價(jià),構(gòu)建了由六個(gè)一級(jí)指標(biāo)和十五個(gè)二級(jí)指標(biāo)組成的中國(guó)鉛鋅礦產(chǎn)資源國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)安全評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系;通過(guò)變權(quán)評(píng)價(jià)建立了基于變權(quán)理論的中國(guó)鉛鋅礦產(chǎn)資源國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)安全評(píng)價(jià)模型。第四,通過(guò)對(duì)2004-2019年的中國(guó)鉛鋅礦進(jìn)行國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)安全評(píng)價(jià),并在此基礎(chǔ)上對(duì)未來(lái)的鉛鋅礦產(chǎn)資源經(jīng)濟(jì)安全度進(jìn)行了全面分析。研究結(jié)果表明:本文所使用的情景預(yù)測(cè)法與評(píng)價(jià)模型具有較好的理論與實(shí)際推廣價(jià)值,可以為中國(guó)鉛鋅礦產(chǎn)資源國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)安全研究提供一定的的理論依據(jù)與決策參考。
[Abstract]:This paper takes the national economic security evaluation of lead and zinc mineral resources in China as the research object, on the basis of a detailed review of the domestic and foreign research on the national economic security and the national economic security evaluation. A comprehensive analysis of the national economic safety assessment of lead and zinc mineral resources in China is carried out by means of qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis. The main contents and conclusions of this paper are as follows: first of all, The research results of national economic security at home and abroad are summarized in detail, and the research results of national economic safety assessment of mineral resources at home and abroad are sorted out. Secondly, the supply and demand market of lead and zinc ore resources in China is deeply analyzed. Using BP artificial neural network, the demand scenario model of lead-zinc ore is established, and the consumption of refined lead and refined zinc in 2019-2031 in China is calculated. The results show that although China is rich in lead and zinc production resources, the demand for lead and zinc ore in China will gradually increase in the future. It is necessary to develop lead-zinc mineral resources in a sustainable way. Thirdly, the national economic security of China's lead-zinc mineral resources is evaluated by the principle of weight variation. A national economic security evaluation index system of lead-zinc mineral resources in China is constructed, which is composed of six primary indexes and fifteen second-class indexes. The national economic safety evaluation model of lead and zinc mineral resources in China based on variable weight theory is established by means of variable weight evaluation. 4th, and the national economic safety evaluation of lead and zinc deposits in China from 2004 to 2019 is carried out. On the basis of this, the economic safety degree of lead-zinc mineral resources in the future is comprehensively analyzed. The results show that the scenario prediction method and the evaluation model used in this paper have good theoretical and practical value in popularizing. It can provide some theoretical basis and decision reference for the study of national economic security of lead and zinc mineral resources in China.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：江西理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F426.1

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