本文選題：微波輻射計(jì) + 風(fēng)廓線��； 參考：《環(huán)境科學(xué)與技術(shù)》2016年S2期

【摘要】：利用氣象部門的常規(guī)和非常規(guī)(微波輻射計(jì)和風(fēng)廓線)氣象觀測、環(huán)境監(jiān)測中心站提供的空氣質(zhì)量監(jiān)測,研究了空氣質(zhì)量指數(shù)(AQI)與氣象要素的關(guān)系,在此基礎(chǔ)上用多元線性逐步回歸方法建立了AQI的統(tǒng)計(jì)模型,并結(jié)合氣象預(yù)報(bào)的客觀數(shù)值產(chǎn)品與主觀訂正產(chǎn)品,進(jìn)行了蘇州AQI預(yù)報(bào)。結(jié)果表明,常規(guī)和非常規(guī)氣象要素與AQI有顯著的相關(guān)性,其中微波輻射計(jì)和風(fēng)廓線探測的大氣垂直方向上的相對(duì)濕度、水平和垂直風(fēng)速、上下層溫差、以及物理量指數(shù)(A、I指數(shù))與AQI顯著負(fù)相關(guān);建立的模型預(yù)報(bào)結(jié)果與AQI實(shí)況之間具有顯著的正相關(guān)關(guān)系,模型預(yù)報(bào)在一定程度上改善了48 h主觀預(yù)報(bào)效果,具有一定的參考意義。
[Abstract]:The relationship between air quality index (AQI) and meteorological elements is studied by using conventional and unconventional meteorological observations (microwave radiometers and wind profiles) in meteorological departments and air quality monitoring provided by environmental monitoring center stations. On this basis, the statistical model of AQI is established by using multivariate linear stepwise regression method, and combined with objective numerical products and subjective correction products of meteorological forecast, the Suzhou AQI forecast is carried out. The results show that there is a significant correlation between conventional and unconventional meteorological elements and AQI, in which the relative humidity, horizontal and vertical wind speed, and temperature difference between the upper and lower layers of the atmosphere detected by microwave radiometer and wind profile are significant. There is a significant positive correlation between the predicted results of the model and the actual AQI, and the model prediction improves the effect of 48 h subjective forecast to a certain extent and has a certain reference significance.
【作者單位】： 蘇州市氣象局;中國科學(xué)院寒區(qū)旱區(qū)環(huán)境與工程研究所;江蘇省氣候中心;
【基金】：中國國家自然科學(xué)基金(Y411391001) 江蘇省氣象科研基金(KM201408,Q201617) 北極閣基金(BJG201402) 蘇州市氣象局自立科研課題項(xiàng)目(sz201301)
【分類號(hào)】：X51
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本文編號(hào)：1843292