中國碳排放的時間趨勢和地區(qū)差異研究——基于工業(yè)化過程中碳排放演進規(guī)律的視角
發(fā)布時間:2018-04-22 05:33
本文選題:碳排放 + 庫茲涅茨曲線; 參考:《山西財經(jīng)大學(xué)學(xué)報》2016年01期
【摘要】:基于全球工業(yè)化進程中碳排放演進的一般規(guī)律,研究了中國碳排放的時間趨勢和地區(qū)差異。研究發(fā)現(xiàn):從時間趨勢來看,中國碳排放尚處于碳排放強度反轉(zhuǎn)后期以及人均峰值到來前期的第二階段(S2),基于倒U頂點時間距離的估計,中國人均排放和總量排放的達峰時間分別在2026年和2047年;從地區(qū)差異來看,總量聚類分析顯示,Ⅲ類地區(qū)主要分布在環(huán)渤海及周邊省份,Ⅰ類地區(qū)集中在西部地區(qū),而技術(shù)聚類中的Ⅰ、Ⅱ、Ⅲ三類地區(qū)分布呈現(xiàn)由南向北過渡的特征。
[Abstract]:Based on the general rules of the evolution of carbon emissions in the process of global industrialization, the temporal trends and regional differences of carbon emissions in China are studied. It is found that China's carbon emissions are still in the second stage of the intensity reversal of carbon emissions and the pre-peak per capita peak from the time trend, based on the estimation of the time distance between the inverted U peaks. The peak time of per capita emission and total emission in China was 2026 and 2047, respectively. According to the regional differences, the total amount cluster analysis showed that the type 鈪,
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