本文關(guān)鍵詞：霧霾現(xiàn)象的主成分分析及治理的演化博弈模型　出處：《西北師范大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 霧霾 主成分分析 演化博弈 演化穩(wěn)定策略

【摘要】：環(huán)境是人們生存、生活的基本前提條件,但是,伴隨著科技的發(fā)展,人民生活水平的不斷提高,我們賴以生存的環(huán)境也受到了威脅.頻繁發(fā)生的霧霾天氣已經(jīng)非常嚴(yán)重的影響到了人們的工作、學(xué)習(xí)和身體健康.近幾年由霧霾導(dǎo)致的疾病發(fā)生狀況不斷呈上升趨勢,霧霾作為“健康殺手”已成為人類急需解決的問題和不能不面對的挑戰(zhàn).針對此種情況,如何采取有效措施加強(qiáng)霧霾治理是當(dāng)前面臨的重要問題.首先,本文運(yùn)用多元統(tǒng)計(jì)分析中的主成分分析法,就影響霧霾生成的幾個(gè)主要因素進(jìn)行分析,為政府治理霧霾的具體方針政策提供更加具體的參考;其次,運(yùn)用演化博弈理論對霧霾現(xiàn)象進(jìn)行了分析,通過建立博弈模型,針對無政府監(jiān)管和政府監(jiān)管兩種情形,對參與人的行為進(jìn)行了演化博弈理論的解釋,說明政府介入?yún)⑴c治理霧霾的必要性,并且得出政府與參與人群體博弈的演化穩(wěn)定策略(ESS);最后,通過對模型中參數(shù)的分析,提出了具體的建議,為政府制定治理霧霾的政策提出決策參考.
[Abstract]:Environment is the basic prerequisite for people to survive and live. However, with the development of science and technology, the people's living standards are constantly improving. The environment on which we live is also threatened. The frequent occurrence of haze weather has seriously affected people's work. Learning and physical health. In recent years, the incidence of diseases caused by haze has been on the rise. As a "health killer", haze has become an urgent problem and a challenge to human beings. How to take effective measures to strengthen smog control is an important problem. Firstly, this paper uses the principal component analysis in multivariate statistical analysis to analyze the main factors that affect the haze generation. To provide a more specific reference for the government to govern the specific principles and policies of haze; Secondly, using evolutionary game theory to analyze the haze phenomenon, through the establishment of a game model, for the anarchic supervision and government supervision, the behavior of the participants is explained by evolutionary game theory. The necessity of government intervention in governing haze is explained, and the evolutionary stabilization strategy of game between government and participant group is obtained. Finally, through the analysis of the parameters in the model, some specific suggestions are put forward, which can be used as a decision reference for the government to formulate policies for controlling smog.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西北師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：X513

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