本文選題：氣候變化 + 風(fēng)暴潮災(zāi)害��； 參考：《地理科學(xué)進(jìn)展》2016年11期

【摘要】：風(fēng)暴潮是沿海地區(qū)在強烈的大氣擾動條件下產(chǎn)生的異常增水現(xiàn)象,并受海平面上升等因素的影響。中國風(fēng)暴潮災(zāi)害頻繁,其中尤以東南沿海地區(qū)發(fā)生頻率較高,災(zāi)害損失嚴(yán)重。本文從風(fēng)暴潮災(zāi)害的危險性、承災(zāi)體的易損性、綜合風(fēng)險區(qū)劃3個方面系統(tǒng)總結(jié)風(fēng)暴潮災(zāi)害的研究進(jìn)展及存在的主要問題;并以風(fēng)暴潮災(zāi)情特征及風(fēng)險評估為基礎(chǔ),探討氣候變化對風(fēng)暴潮災(zāi)害風(fēng)險的影響及其適應(yīng)對策。氣候變化引起的海平面上升將影響風(fēng)暴潮的趨勢、周期及風(fēng)險區(qū)域,因而亟待開展結(jié)合海平面上升等因素的綜合風(fēng)險評估。充分考慮氣候變化背景下沿海地區(qū)自然條件變化及社會經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展?fàn)顩r,注重短期與長期相結(jié)合,完善風(fēng)險評估體系。為適度、有序的適應(yīng)氣候變化下風(fēng)暴潮災(zāi)害風(fēng)險,中國在應(yīng)急預(yù)警機制、工程防御及政策法規(guī)等適應(yīng)能力建設(shè)方面不斷完善,以提高風(fēng)暴潮災(zāi)害的防災(zāi)減災(zāi)能力。
[Abstract]:Storm surge is an abnormal water increasing phenomenon in coastal areas under strong atmospheric disturbance, which is influenced by sea level rise and other factors.Storm surge disasters occur frequently in China, especially in southeast coastal areas.This paper systematically summarizes the research progress and main problems of storm surge disaster from three aspects: the danger of storm surge disaster, the vulnerability of disaster bearing body, and the comprehensive risk regionalization, and based on the disaster characteristics and risk assessment of storm surge, the paper systematically summarizes the research progress and main problems of storm surge disaster.This paper discusses the influence of climate change on storm surge disaster risk and its adaptive countermeasures.The rise of sea level caused by climate change will affect the trend, cycle and risk area of storm surge, so it is urgent to carry out a comprehensive risk assessment combined with sea level rise and other factors.Taking into account the changes of natural conditions and the development of social economy in coastal areas under the background of climate change, we should pay attention to the combination of short-term and long-term, and perfect the risk assessment system.In order to adapt to the storm surge disaster risk in a moderate and orderly manner, China has been improving its ability to prevent and reduce storm surge disasters in the aspects of emergency early warning mechanism, engineering defense, policies and regulations and so on.
【作者單位】： 中國科學(xué)院地理科學(xué)與資源研究所陸地表層格局與模擬重點實驗室;中國科學(xué)院大學(xué);國務(wù)院參事室;中國21世紀(jì)議程管理中心;
【基金】：國家科技支撐計劃項目(2013BAK05B04) 中國清潔發(fā)展機制基金贈款項目(2013034)~~
【分類號】：P731.23

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