本文關(guān)鍵詞：我國三次產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟增長與能源消費的均衡關(guān)系研究　出處：《商業(yè)經(jīng)濟研究》2016年19期 　論文類型：期刊論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 三次產(chǎn)業(yè) ARDL模型 經(jīng)濟增長 能源消費 均衡關(guān)系

【摘要】：本文主要采用穩(wěn)健性較好的、具有小樣本特性的ARDL模型以及Toda-Yamamoto因果檢驗方法,對我國三次產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟增長與能源消耗之間的關(guān)系進行實證研究。研究結(jié)果顯示,就總體而言,我國社會主義市場經(jīng)濟的整體發(fā)展和能源消費之間存在著均衡關(guān)系,并且國內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值是能源消耗總量的Granger原因。三次產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟增長與能源消耗之間的關(guān)系:第一產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值與能效消費之間的關(guān)系是相對獨立的;第二產(chǎn)業(yè)和第三產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值與能源消耗之間長期處于均衡關(guān)系,并且表現(xiàn)為第二產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值是能源消費的Granger原因。
[Abstract]:This paper mainly adopts the robust ARDL model with small sample characteristics and the Toda-Yamamoto causality test method. Empirical study on the relationship between the economic growth of three industries and energy consumption in China. The results show that the overall situation. There is a balanced relationship between the overall development of China's socialist market economy and energy consumption. And the gross domestic product is the Granger reason of the total energy consumption. The relationship between the economic growth of the three industries and the energy consumption: the relationship between the value added of the primary industry and the energy efficiency consumption is relatively independent; The relationship between the added value of the secondary industry and the tertiary industry and the energy consumption is in equilibrium for a long time, and the second industry added value is the Granger reason of the energy consumption.
【作者單位】： 鄭州科技學(xué)院;
【分類號】：F124;F426.2
【正文快照】： 目前,我國處于經(jīng)濟社會發(fā)展的戰(zhàn)略機遇期,一方面我國工業(yè)經(jīng)濟發(fā)展迅速,另一方面能源消耗也在不斷增加(張麗峰,2008)。特別是進入21世紀以來,我國能源消耗的增長率高達9%。據(jù)相關(guān)部門預(yù)測,2020年之前是我國工業(yè)化以及城市化高速發(fā)展的階段,同時能源需求也會以較快的速度增長。，

本文編號：1392987