【摘要】：人防物資庫在和平時期可作為應(yīng)急物資庫使用,而在各種自然災(zāi)害中,地震這一突發(fā)自然災(zāi)害對國家公共安全有極大的危害,其突發(fā)性、破壞性、社會影響性大等特點都使得地震的應(yīng)急救援變得尤其重要,從地震的防御到震后的救援工作及保障工作的展開都是有效減少人員傷亡、減輕生命財產(chǎn)損失、安定民心的有效途徑。從地震災(zāi)害的歷史救援經(jīng)驗中我們可以知道,震后的72小時是救援的黃金時期,也是震后搶險救災(zāi)的關(guān)鍵時期,尤其在余震不斷、環(huán)境復(fù)雜等因素的制約下,在這段期間內(nèi)如何快速進行現(xiàn)場救援、提高救援率、如何分配物資人員裝備,更多的救助生命成為重中之重,也是現(xiàn)在地震研究的首要問題。目前,對地震應(yīng)急救援的研究大部分集中在應(yīng)急預(yù)案的制定及應(yīng)急預(yù)案操作性等問題上,傳統(tǒng)方法使用較多,且對其策略的研究相對較少。對將多Agent建模仿真應(yīng)用到地震應(yīng)急救援策略中的研究方面相對較少,基于此本文針對地震應(yīng)急救援的現(xiàn)場救援和后勤物資保障階段分別進行場景描述、分析,然后應(yīng)用多Agent方法對地震應(yīng)急救援進行建模,根據(jù)地震應(yīng)急救援的各個影響因素及特點,將現(xiàn)場救援具化為救援Agent、被救援Agent、余震Agent,將后勤物資保障具化為車輛Agent、物資庫Agent、災(zāi)區(qū)Agent,確定其模型結(jié)構(gòu),賦予每個Agent目應(yīng)的動作及行為規(guī)則,并定義各個Agent之間的交互規(guī)則,在多Agent仿真工具Repast S中用java語言對各個Agent進行實現(xiàn),對仿真參數(shù)進行設(shè)置并分析多次實驗結(jié)果,通過不同實驗結(jié)果的比較得出其人員配備、物資配給等地震應(yīng)急救援策略,以使救援速度最快、救援率最高,從而為以后地震應(yīng)急救援的預(yù)測和決策支持提供理論參考。
[Abstract]:Civil air defense stores can be used as emergency stores in peacetime. Among all kinds of natural disasters, earthquake, a sudden natural disaster, is extremely harmful to the public safety of the country, and it is sudden and destructive. The characteristics of great social influence make the emergency rescue of earthquake become particularly important. From earthquake prevention to rescue work after the earthquake and the development of support work, it is effective to reduce casualties and reduce the loss of life and property. An effective way to stabilize the people's mind. From the historical rescue experience of earthquake disasters, we can see that the 72 hours after the earthquake is the golden period of rescue and the key period of post-earthquake rescue and relief, especially under the constraints of the continuous aftershocks and the complex environment. During this period, how to carry out the field rescue quickly, how to improve the rescue rate, how to distribute the material personnel and equipment, and how to save more lives become the top priority, which is also the most important problem in the earthquake research. At present, most of the researches on earthquake emergency rescue are focused on the formulation of emergency plan and the operation of emergency plan. The traditional methods are used more frequently, and the research on its strategy is relatively less. The research on the application of multi-Agent modeling and simulation to earthquake emergency rescue strategy is relatively few. Based on this, the scene description and analysis of the scene rescue and logistics material support stage of earthquake emergency rescue are carried out respectively in this paper. Then the multi-Agent method is used to model the earthquake emergency rescue, and according to the influence factors and characteristics of earthquake emergency rescue, The scene rescue equipment is transformed into the rescue agent, the aftershock agent, the logistic material support is transformed into the vehicle, the material store, the disaster area, the model structure is determined, the action and behavior rules are assigned to each Agent, and the interaction rules between each Agent are defined. In the Agent simulation tool Repast S, the java language is used to implement each Agent. The simulation parameters are set up and the experimental results are analyzed several times. Through the comparison of different experimental results, the earthquake emergency rescue strategies such as staffing, material allocation and so on are obtained. In order to make the rescue speed the fastest and the rescue rate the highest, this paper provides a theoretical reference for the prediction and decision support of earthquake emergency rescue in the future.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：冶金自動化研究設(shè)計院
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：TP18;P315.9

【參考文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前6條

1 韓小妹;韓景倜;;基于CBR應(yīng)急保障物流體智能決策支持系統(tǒng)研究[J];計算機工程與應(yīng)用;2007年20期

2 張廣駿;李耀東;戴汝為;;應(yīng)用Repast S的復(fù)雜系統(tǒng)建模仿真[J];計算機仿真;2010年12期

3 曹慕昆,馮玉強;基于多Agent計算機仿真實驗平臺Swarm的綜述[J];計算機應(yīng)用研究;2005年09期

4 邵艷華;沈昭華;彭剛;李怡;;基于CAS的企業(yè)競爭模型與仿真研究[J];計算機應(yīng)用與軟件;2010年04期

5 侯殿方;郭徽;;從人防工程抗震性看防空防災(zāi)一體化建設(shè)的迫切性[J];科技風(fēng);2009年17期

6 傅游;杜宇;;基于Agent的Repast建模仿真平臺[J];信息技術(shù)與信息化;2009年02期

，

本文編號：2131820